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naznatips

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naznatips on 22 January 2008

Erik Aston said:
Maybe I wasn't clear enough, Naz.

I agree that Balloon Fighter has little chance. We have plenty of evidence against him, as I stated. So why do you give him nearly 1/3 chances of being in? Drop him to 5%.

Geno too. It isn't necesarily a problem of Square owning him... It could also be that Nintendo and Square never worked out the details of IP ownership for a one-time deal, and Geno isn't enough reason to work it out now. Either way, drop him to 5%.

And Isaac needs to drop down to 10 or 20%. There's just no reason to assume he has a 50/50 chance. The franchise icon means nothing, and there's plenty of other franchises anyways.

Ah, well that's fine, I agree with those changes except Isaac, but I'll drop him to 40%. Until more likely franchises are suggested, I will keep him above the others. I'm dropping Mii too.

naznatips

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naznatips on 22 January 2008

Updated odds of entry list. Changes to this one include Balloon Fighter and Geno 5% percent drops as the result of a discussion with Eric Aston. I've also decided to drop Mii 5%, to keep the balance between his odds and the odss of the others, and Isaac 20%, though I will continue to place him has the highest odds new franchise character until a better option is suggested (could be just a stage). I also agree that he should be below Ridley, so fair enough.

Confirmed:

Mario
Link
Kirby
Pikachu
Fox
Samus
Zelda
Bowser
Donkey Kong
Yoshi
Peach
Ice Climbers
Shiek
Pit
Wario
Zero Suit Samus
Ike
Pokémon Trainer
Diddy Kong
Meta Knight
Snake
Lucas
Sonic
King Dedede
Olimar

Unconfirmed (est. odds of entry)

Luigi (99%)
Captain Falcon (99%)
Ganondorf (99%)
Jigglypuff (99%)
Ness (99%)
Mr. Game and Watch (95%)
Marth (85%)
Falco (75%)
Y. Link (15%)
Roy (10%)
Mewtwo (1%)
Dr. Mario (1%)
Lucario (99%)
Krystal (85%)
K. Rool (85%)
Animal Crossing Villager (65%)
Ridley (50%)
Isaac (40%)
Mii (35%)
Geno (25%)
Balloon Fighter (25%)
Black Shadow (20%)
Baby Mario & Luigi (1%)
Tails (1%)
Robotnik (1%)
Knuckles (1%)
Raiden (1%)
Bowser Jr. (1%)

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elgefe02 on 22 January 2008

naznatips said:

Here were the results of his poll on the old site if anyone forgot:

King Dedede(5) - Confirmed
Diddy Kong(4) - Confirmed
Geno(4)
Ike(4) - Confirmed
Ridley(4)
Captain Olimar & Pikmin(3) - Confirmed
Krystal(3)
Takamaru(3)
Windwaker Link(3)
Animal Crossing MC(2)
Claus(2)
Demiru(2)
Isaac(2)
Jeff(2)
Kawasima(2)
King K.Rool(2)
Lip(2)
Lucas(2) - Confirmed
Mega Man(2)
Oguma(2)
Ouendan(2)
Sukapon(2)

Assuming Geno is basically by default gone (due to difficulties of acquiring his intellectual property), 4 of the top 7 are already in the game. Otheres like Isaac and Animal Crossing MC who also scored high have fairly high odds as well. Krystal, being so near the top, of course has very good odds.

who proposed the characters for the poll? Sakurai or people?

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naznatips

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naznatips on 22 January 2008

elgefe02 said:

who proposed the characters for the poll? Sakurai or people?

Can't say I know the details of its creation, but it seems to have yeilded results, and judging by the characters who have been added I would say Sakurai actually considers it a major determining factor in character entry into the game.

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BCrayfish on 22 January 2008

@Chozo
Heh, I'd love to see the Runaway 5 pop up as an assist trophy, or at the very least some Happy Happyists utilizing paint attacks.

The more Earthbound/Mother love the better.

CIHYFS?