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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Professionals who predicted the success of the Wii

@FJ Warez

exactly my point...if he would've put in some effort he may have actually got some profit out of it...

I mean IW must be LOL'ing at him as he really blew his chance to compete with COD4 as the must have Hardcore shooting title of the holidays...



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

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Some very funny predictions: http://wiki.joshuajamesslone.name/tiki-index.php?page=Analyst+predictions



-UBISOFT BOYCOTT!-

darthdevidem01 said:
@FJ Warez

exactly my point...if he would've put in some effort he may have actually got some profit out of it...

I mean IW must be LOL'ing at him as he really blew his chance to compete with COD4 as the must have Hardcore shooting title of the holidays...

 Or maybe, judging by the sales of the game on the 360, they would only have sold marginally more copies (if any), and spent more money to do so...  Keep in mind, the vast majority of Valve fans are PC gamers on Steam.  Why would they want to move to a console?



Please, PLEASE do NOT feed the trolls.
fksumot tag: "Sheik had to become a man to be useful. Or less useful. Might depend if you're bi."

--Predictions--
1) WiiFit will outsell the pokemans.
  Current Status: 2009.01.10 70k till PKMN Yellow (Passed: Emerald, Crystal, FR/LG)

Well the PS3 is kind of a disaster for Sony.

It's doing ok, don't get me wrong, but it was sold to the shareholders as a moneymaking machine.
Next week Sony will still report big losses on its gaming division.



outlawauron said:
Michael Patcher.

Before both the PS3 and Wii launched, he predicted the Wii would come on top for the year.

I've heard you or someone else say this before, and I'm still quite confident this is revisionist history.

In January, a month after the PS3/Wii's launch, Pachter said something like this. However, I specifically remember him estimating 10% marketshare for the Wii pre-launch. If you have proof otherwise, please post it!  



http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a324/Arkives/Disccopy.jpg%5B/IMG%5D">http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a324/Arkives/Disccopy.jpg%5B/IMG%5D">

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i want to see a thread that somebody made before either console came out that says the wii will break a billion records. and by a billion i dont actually mean a billion for any of you fanboys out there that were thinking of correcting me.



the nintendo wii will outsell the ps3 and the 360 combined by the end of 2008.                           

        PS3 will out sell the 360 june 2010.                                                                      

  GOTY of 2008 is super smash brothers brawl.... hopefully.

END OF 08 PREDICTIONS:

Wii: 45 million         xbox360: 26 million       PS3: 19 million (made beginning of 08)

wii: 44 million         xbox 360: 24 million      PS3: 21 million (made june 08)

wii code: 8094-5344-2140-1400

brawl code: 5412-9565-3232   

Bodhesatva said:
outlawauron said:
Michael Patcher.

Before both the PS3 and Wii launched, he predicted the Wii would come on top for the year.

I've heard you or someone else say this before, and I'm still quite confident this is revisionist history.

In January, a month after the PS3/Wii's launch, Pachter said something like this. However, I specifically remember him estimating 10% marketshare for the Wii pre-launch. If you have proof otherwise, please post it!


 In TaurusVGC's post the bottom has Patcher's 10-15 % of the market of the wii prediction...

Kind of raises the question of how these analysts keep their Jobs,  




I HAVE A DOUBLE DRAGON CAB IN MY KITCHEN!!!!!!

NOW A PUNISHER CAB!!!!!!!!!!!!!

MontanaHatchet said:
And he also said that the PS3 was a total disaster.

One right and one wrong still makes a crappy rate of predictions.

He only made one prediction (the Wii)...however he also made an assessment (the PS3).

At the time of this comment people still thought the PS3 would stomp the Wii by a wide margin and despite the fact that many people were bashing Sony about how badly they screwed the launch. His assessment of the situation was spot on at the time and his prediction for the Wii was as well.

If he had said "I predict sony will go bankrupt!" or "I think the PS3 will be a dead console in 6 months." that would have been a prediction. Actually I think its clear from his comment he expected Sony to keep pushing forward with the PS3 which is of course what they did. He never said they couldn't right the ship, and they still haven't yet either.



To Each Man, Responsibility
Bodhesatva said:
outlawauron said:
Michael Patcher.

Before both the PS3 and Wii launched, he predicted the Wii would come on top for the year.

I've heard you or someone else say this before, and I'm still quite confident this is revisionist history.

In January, a month after the PS3/Wii's launch, Pachter said something like this. However, I specifically remember him estimating 10% marketshare for the Wii pre-launch. If you have proof otherwise, please post it!


Wedbush's Michael Pachter, percentages (worldwide? US?) through 2010/2011, made May 2005
http://www.gamespot.com/news/2005/05/20/news_6126354.html
in five years it will look like this:: Microsoft at 30-35 percent, Sony at 45-55 percent, and Nintendo at what's left.

 






@Sqrl

that's what i thought too, because of that, the tread was about Wii predictions, but it seems that people think the part about PS3 is more interesting...