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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predictions - When Will PS3 overtake 360 WW?

-wrong post-



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maybe 2011



So PS3 is behind by 6.4 mln. of x360.
If we use NPD numbers for USA instead of VG, then it`s only ~6 mln. behind.

16 weeks passed, 36 weeks left.
6 last weeks will sell a lot.
So 30 average weeks with GTA4 and MGS4, and LBP and KZ2 or R2 release between them.

30 weeks with +50k outselling on average = 1,5 mln.
30 weeks with +100k outselling on average = 3 mln.

Q1 2009 - i think, unless FFXIII comes in Q2 2009.
Though, with 299$ price it could be by Q4 2008.
But i believe definetely by Q1 2009 and not sure about Q4 2008, since it`s hard to predict how pricecut will effect sales and when PS3 slim is coming.



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

I'm not sure, the ps3 does have it's big games, but in a seriousness what do they ever boost a system maybe 100k to 200k but microsoft doesn't have all of it's cards on the table, which is a stark contrast of what sony has done, but that could be due to them not having any big power plays yet
frankly I think the general sales will hold relatively steady for atleast the next 6 months, so I'd say the ps3 will continue to out sell the 360 by 120k a month for the next 6 months so the difference will only drop by 720k, if that held the difference would be about 5.75 million,
after that it gets to tough to call, but I think mid 2010 the ps3 will take the lead and by 2011 the 360 will see a replacement and with in 6 months so will the ps3



I HAVE A DOUBLE DRAGON CAB IN MY KITCHEN!!!!!!

NOW A PUNISHER CAB!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Q3 09..

by then FFXIII should cause a JAP boost



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

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Q2 2009 I think, could be Q1, it kinda depends on a lot of things.



Q1 2009!



I'll play it safe and say Q3 2009.
Could be sooner depending on the size and timing of price cuts, but I'll say Q3 2009 for now.



  

end of Q3 2009 (Xmas)



Time to Work !

Q3 2009, assuming big games are released beforehand and they win holidays.



Leatherhat on July 6th, 2012 3pm. Vita sales:"3 mil for COD 2 mil for AC. Maybe more. "  thehusbo on July 6th, 2012 5pm. Vita sales:"5 mil for COD 2.2 mil for AC."