Well if it has taken 11 months to get 1m back for the PS3 then it is going to be a long time. For the PS3 to over-take the 360 by the end of 2009 means the PS3 has to sell 500k a month and the 360 not sell anything. Now seeing as these are the numbers for the past 3 months
Sept = PS3:232k. 360:347k Wii:667k
Aug = PS3:185k. 360:195k Wii:453k
July = PS3:225k 360:205k Wii:555k

It would seem quite silly to think the PS3 out of nowhere will go on to post Wii type numbers. That is not going to happen. So to expect the PS3 to outsell the 360 by the end of 2009 is fantasy land stuff.

So then lets assume the PS3 stays at its average of 200k a month. 200 x 24 months (2 years) = 4.8m. Meaning that by the end of 2010 at it's current ratio the PS3 could make up 4.8m units if the 360 does not sell 1 unit. Again not very likely.

So my prediction is that IF the PS3 can increase sales and not decrease sales then it has a chance for 2011 to overtake the 360. However i just can't see it happening. So i predict never.

Q4 2009 - Q1 2010

I do wonder how anybody on this site takes you seriously.

Q4 2009

hi i'm new here and you can also find me on xbox.com forums, and heres my opinion,

consider this,

right now accordingly to vgcharts after calculating with an actual calcutator the ps3 is about 6 million short with 16.61 consoles sold compare to 360s 22.42 now again heres where my opinion comes in. can ps3 sell 2 millon ps3s each year begining 2009 and on? because lets say they do it will take them 3 years to sell 6 million...1 year= 2mill, 2nd year total=4million, 3rd year total 6 million, now what if the 360 continues to sale consoles while ps3 is trying to sell those 2 mill a year woudnt even at the 3rd year the ps3 still come out short unless you think 360 sales is gong to freeze over night or something then ps3 will at least catch up but thats not the case and the 360 wil continue to sale and its number will keep in increasing.

so my point is if sony cant sell 2 million ps3 each year i dont think they will ever catch up to the 360 and if they do by its 3rd year the new xbox will be out and a new console war will be in play.

Your whole post is just fanboy orientated the question -

"Predictions - When Will PS3 overtake 360 WW?"

That is not a question you have tried to state a fact that the PS3 will overtake the 360 and that is WRONG, if you would of worded it -

"Predictions - When "IF EVER" Will PS3 overtake 360 WW?"

You see non fanboy biased ...............

"The closing date for these predictions was 5th July 2008, and so should be viewed with that in mind.

The question was - 'When (if at all) do you think the PS3 will overtake the 360 in total WW sales, according to VGChartz data?'"

IF you bothered to read the first post.

Q1 2010

To the recent posters throwing out dates: the OP won't put you on the list, the thread is pretty old. Remember, they weren't here to see the recent 360 surge, it was doing pretty bad at the time. For the record, I'll take a bite:

Q4 2011.

The 360 should be about 6mil ahead by the start of next year, with some decent momentum. If the PS3 ends up outselling the 360 by a bit more than 2mil a year (not unreasonable), it will take nearly 3 years from that point. I think the "never" option is much more likely than the PS3 catching up before Q4 2010.

Maybe in 2012. But I even doubt that.
Exclusice games would be the key for the PS3, but all the 3rd partie devs go multi. GT5 alone ist not enough.