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Forums - Sales Discussion - When will the switch outsell the ps4?

 

When will the switch outsell the ps4?

Second half of 2022 33 11.54%
 
First half of 2023 24 8.39%
 
Second half of 2023 35 12.24%
 
First half of 2024 15 5.24%
 
Second half of 2024 16 5.59%
 
First half of 2025 7 2.45%
 
Second half of 2025 5 1.75%
 
Later than above 2 0.70%
 
Never 149 52.10%
 
Total:286
Wman1996 on 11 January 2020

Not happening. The PS4 will hit at least 120 million. The Switch has a good chance of outselling the Wii and original PlayStation, but not much more than that. And that would still be a crazy achievement.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 151 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 57 million (was 60 million, then 67 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

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p0isonparadise on 11 January 2020

Early 2025.



AJNShelton on 11 January 2020
Nu-13 said:
SKMBlake said:
By the end of 2025.

But it won't be really fair, I think Nintendo will release at least 5 models of the Switch, which can go like:
- Switch
- Switch Lite
- Switch XL (a bezel-less 7" or 8" screen)
- Switch Lite Pro
- Switch Pro

You have a wrong definition of fairness.

Why ?



AJNShelton on 11 January 2020
xl-klaudkil said:
I remembered people thought the wii could beat the ps2 because of its monster sales.

Lets just wait and see if the switch can keep selling as high as its doing now for another 3 years.

Why wouldn't it ? The Switch's sale numbers path isn't similar to the Wii's.

People bought the Wii for Wii Sports, which led to a massive sale drop once they realised it doesn't do much of this for they were looking for (aka not expensive video games and accessories).

Now people are buying the Switch for Zelda, Mario, Pokémon and many more. And they are buying it for exaclty what it is: a gaming console.



JWeinCom on 11 January 2020

Probably never.



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Blood_Tears on 11 January 2020

It wouldn't matter either way nowadays since Switch had to go the handheld route with the lite and a 100 dollar price discount in order to tie PS4's best year of 2017. Pointless to compare PS4 with a handheld.



peachbuggy on 11 January 2020
Blood_Tears said:
It wouldn't matter either way nowadays since Switch had to go the handheld route with the lite and a 100 dollar price discount in order to tie PS4's best year of 2017. Pointless to compare PS4 with a handheld.

To be fair, for the Ps4's peak year it had a 33% discount in the last 2 months to reach those numbers



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xl-klaudkil on 11 January 2020
SKMBlake said:
xl-klaudkil said:
I remembered people thought the wii could beat the ps2 because of its monster sales.

Lets just wait and see if the switch can keep selling as high as its doing now for another 3 years.

Why wouldn't it ? The Switch's sale numbers path isn't similar to the Wii's.

People bought the Wii for Wii Sports, which led to a massive sale drop once they realised it doesn't do much of this for they were looking for (aka not expensive video games and accessories).

Now people are buying the Switch for Zelda, Mario, Pokémon and many more. And they are buying it for exaclty what it is: a gaming console.

So you are saying switch will be the first gaming system ever to not decline in sales?

It will keep selling 20+ each year?

Some people here think the 100mill mark is easy to do.



 

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http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

Nu-13 on 11 January 2020
SKMBlake said:
Nu-13 said:

You have a wrong definition of fairness.

Why ?

Because whether we see that many revision for the nintendo switch or not, how would that be unfair?



Nu-13 on 11 January 2020
xl-klaudkil said:
SKMBlake said:

Why wouldn't it ? The Switch's sale numbers path isn't similar to the Wii's.

People bought the Wii for Wii Sports, which led to a massive sale drop once they realised it doesn't do much of this for they were looking for (aka not expensive video games and accessories).

Now people are buying the Switch for Zelda, Mario, Pokémon and many more. And they are buying it for exaclty what it is: a gaming console.

So you are saying switch will be the first gaming system ever to not decline in sales?

It will keep selling 20+ each year?

Some people here think the 100mill mark is easy to do.

Given the sales it already achieved, the curve and time frame, 100m is easy unless something catastrophic happens.