Quantcast
When will the switch outsell the ps4?

Forums - Sales Discussion - When will the switch outsell the ps4?

When will the switch outsell the ps4?

Second half of 2022 6 4.48%
 
First half of 2023 3 2.24%
 
Second half of 2023 9 6.72%
 
First half of 2024 7 5.22%
 
Second half of 2024 11 8.21%
 
First half of 2025 5 3.73%
 
Second half of 2025 3 2.24%
 
Later than above 1 0.75%
 
Never 89 66.42%
 
Total:134
xl-klaudkil said:
I remembered people thought the wii could beat the ps2 because of its monster sales.

Lets just wait and see if the switch can keep selling as high as its doing now for another 3 years.

Well if you sum 2020 + 2021 + 2022 sales, it will probably average similarly to 2019. Though I expect higher numbers in 2020 and lower in 2022.



Around the Network

2025/6 if at all. Ps4 isn't going to magically stop selling and i'm going to assume it has at least good legs. If the legs are somewhere in between ps2/3 legs then we are still looking at possibly 135m LT sales. The Switch either needs to have a much higher peak than the Ps4 or outleg it, (not sure if that's likely) or some combination of both. If I had to put my house on it, i'd say the Switch will just fall short of outlegging it and max out at 127m-ish. Both will have done extremely well though and of course there are plenty of other variables which could affect this prediction.



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

Not happening. The PS4 will hit at least 120 million. The Switch has a good chance of outselling the Wii and original PlayStation, but not much more than that. And that would still be a crazy achievement.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

PS4: 130 mil (was 100 million) Xbox One: 55 mil (was 50 mil) Switch: 96 million (was 73 million)

3DS: 77 mil (was 73 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

Early 2025.



Nu-13 said:
SKMBlake said:
By the end of 2025.

But it won't be really fair, I think Nintendo will release at least 5 models of the Switch, which can go like:
- Switch
- Switch Lite
- Switch XL (a bezel-less 7" or 8" screen)
- Switch Lite Pro
- Switch Pro

You have a wrong definition of fairness.

Why ?



"Quagmire, are you the type of guy who takes 'no' for an answer ?"
"My lawyer doesn't allow me to answer that question"

PSN ID: skmblake | Feel free to add me

Around the Network
xl-klaudkil said:
I remembered people thought the wii could beat the ps2 because of its monster sales.

Lets just wait and see if the switch can keep selling as high as its doing now for another 3 years.

Why wouldn't it ? The Switch's sale numbers path isn't similar to the Wii's.

People bought the Wii for Wii Sports, which led to a massive sale drop once they realised it doesn't do much of this for they were looking for (aka not expensive video games and accessories).

Now people are buying the Switch for Zelda, Mario, Pokémon and many more. And they are buying it for exaclty what it is: a gaming console.



"Quagmire, are you the type of guy who takes 'no' for an answer ?"
"My lawyer doesn't allow me to answer that question"

PSN ID: skmblake | Feel free to add me

Probably never.



It took Switch about 3 years to reach half of PS4's numbers.
If PS4 stops selling today, and Switch keeps selling at the same pace for another 3 years, it'd reach PS4.

But PS4 won't stop selling yet, and Switch's next 3 years are less likely to be as good as its first 3.

I'm not sure if Switch will even get that high. But if it does, then I'd say first half of 2024.



It wouldn't matter either way nowadays since Switch had to go the handheld route with the lite and a 100 dollar price discount in order to tie PS4's best year of 2017. Pointless to compare PS4 with a handheld.



Blood_Tears said:
It wouldn't matter either way nowadays since Switch had to go the handheld route with the lite and a 100 dollar price discount in order to tie PS4's best year of 2017. Pointless to compare PS4 with a handheld.

To be fair, for the Ps4's peak year it had a 33% discount in the last 2 months to reach those numbers



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!