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Forums - Sales Discussion - When will Switch pass Wii?

 

When will Switch pass Wii?

Holiday 2021 31 19.38%
 
Early 2022 12 7.50%
 
Mid 2022 14 8.75%
 
Holiday 2022 34 21.25%
 
Early 2023 15 9.38%
 
Mid 2023 10 6.25%
 
Holiday 2023 15 9.38%
 
2024 or later 6 3.75%
 
Never 23 14.38%
 
Total:160

Gotta love that the second most popular poll option was "never" as recently as early 2020.



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curl-6 said:

Gotta love that the second most popular poll option was "never" as recently as early 2020.

A lot of people believed in that cliff.



Initially I voted mid 2022 its now going to happen late 2021 around six to nine months early. 



Voted mid 2022. Still, it could be worse. I could've voted "never" like every 6th person who voted in this poll



Welp



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Kakadu18 said:

November seems reasonable.
Amazing how things have changed in such a short time span. The PS4 will follow in H1 2022.

Welp, I overestimated it a bit or more like, I underestimated the shortages and didn't expect the OLED.



Wow its crazy looking back when I voted switch will outsell the wii in Holiday 2022, the switch exceeded my expectations by doing it a year earlier than expected.



Looking like it's going to by dead on new years week what's even more crazy is that Switch is going to finish the FY as the fifth top selling platform of all time having passed 6 platforms on route in 12 months and instead of passing the Wii in mid to late 2022 like some of us thought it'll be passing both the PS4 and GB to become the third best selling platform of all time.



Switch might pass Wii before Christmas. Will probably pass PS1 last week of the year.

Then Switch will be hunting GB and PS4 and probably them down around black friday next year or maybe at beginning of next December.

The real question of course is if Switch can span that massive gap between GB/PS4 all the way to DS/PS2. Really just depends on when Nintendo replaces the Switch. If successor comes out Spring '24 it ain't happening. Holiday '24 it's got a decent shot. Spring '25 or later and I'd say it's almost guaranteed Switch will end up the top selling system ever.



Is this still too early to call? At this point I can't tell if it's going to happen holiday 2021 or early 2022. I suppose holiday 2021 is more likely.