It will though. 4m over the next 3 years is more likely to happen than not.
3 millions this year and maybe 1 million in 2021 with 500K in 2022. I think not!
Is that your prediction? Or is that what you're saying won't happen. I'm assuming the latter cause those numbers bring LT to 50.5m lol.
It might not hit 3m next year, but you're underestimating 2021,2022.
If we take 360's decline as an example.
360 2012 = 10.67m
360 after 2012 = 11.5m
XBO equivalent would be
XBO 2019 = 4.87m
XBO after 2019 = 5.24m
Those numbers would put it at 51.24m. It might not reach that, but it will reach 50m.
LTD: PS4 - 125m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 51m
2020: PS4 - 10m, Switch - 21.5m, XBO - 2.5m, PS5 - 4.5m, XBX - 2.8m