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Will Switch hit 50 Million by March 3rd 2020?

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Will Switch hit 50 Million by March 3rd 2020?

Yes 85 95.51%
 
No 4 4.49%
 
Total:89
Cerebralbore101 said:
S.Peelman said:
The real question is will it do it next week.

That would be a massive 2.2 million units sold in a week. What was the 2018 sales of the final week of the year? 

According to my calculations it will only need 1.2 million units sold to reach 50. Switch is currently sitting at 48.8 mill. It is doable...the 22,23,24 were huge days for sales.



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Cerebralbore101 said:
S.Peelman said:
The real question is will it do it next week.

That would be a massive 2.2 million units sold in a week. What was the 2018 sales of the final week of the year? 

50 - 48.8 (current) = 1.2 million to go. Based on this week's sales, I would say it has a VERY good shot of hitting 50 million by the end of 2019.

55 million by the end of March should be pretty doable as well. The only big Switch game I'm aware of on the schedule is Animal Crossing: New Horizons on March 20, but even without anything in Jan and Feb I don't think it matters too much. Switch can easily ride the Pokemon hype wave for the first couple months of the year to keep the strong sales going.



Is water wet?



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SammyGiireal said:
Cerebralbore101 said:

That would be a massive 2.2 million units sold in a week. What was the 2018 sales of the final week of the year? 

According to my calculations it will only need 1.2 million units sold to reach 50. Switch is currently sitting at 48.8 mill. It is doable...the 22,23,24 were huge days for sales.

*slaps self on forehead* How did I miss that? Of course it will make 50 million by March then!



The sentence below is false. 
The sentence above is true. 

50 million by end of 2019 easy.
55 million until march 3rd 2020: no way - not even close. Switch sold about 2 million units in january + february 2019.
55 million until march 31st 2020: i dont think so either, but its a close one. Switch sold about 3.3 million january until march 2019. Yes, now there is pokemon and switch lite and animal crossing on march 20th 2020, but I think It will not be enough to get to 55 million. lets say 55 million in 2nd half of april 2020. :)



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Without a doubt.




Wyrdness said:
Easily.

I'm expecting shipments of 52 million  to be confirmed by nintendo when they release there sales figures for the quater ending 31 december 2019. They will release this information at the end of Jaanuary.



At the rate it's going, yes it will, maybe even a little more.



Um, how is this even a question.



SammyGiireal said:
Dulfite said:

We know Switches head (2017) was big, and it's belly and thigh's are or will be massive (2018-2021), but what I want to know is how big are it's legs (2022-2023). That will be the deciding factor if it can get over 100 million or beat the PS4. 2022 and 2023 are critical to that.

I assume there will be some sort of hardware update announced or launched in 21-22. The Switch has done an excellent job of porting last gen games with improvements and current gen games with some cutbacks...but once the PS5 and Series X are out, it will get interesting for 3rd party devs as they will attempt ports (how can they not by then the Switch might have a 65-70 mill installed base) on the system.

If by hardware update you mean a full successor, sure. We'll likely see the switch 2 in 2022 and the power gap between it and ps5 will be even smaller than the one between switch and ps4.