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Forums - Movies & TV - Tracking The Rise (Or Fall?) of Skywalker

thismeintiel on 01 January 2020

Tuesday estimates are in, and despite every other film on the list being up over last week's Tues, ROS fell 35%.

ROS made an estimated $13.1M on Tues. This is 52.7% lower than TLJ's $27.7M for the corresponding Tues. ROS total at the DBO now sits at $390.6M, 7.7% lower than TLJ's $423.4M. If this continues, ROS will finish with a DBO total of $572.4M vs TLJ's $620.2M.

If the FBO percentage holds from this past weekend, 50.1%, ROS will make $577.6M at the FBO, a WW total of $1.15B. This is 13.5% lower than TLJ's $1.33B.

If this decline continues, it hitting $1B may start to come into question. This would make it only the 2nd Episode in the series to not hit $1B, when taking inflation into consideration. The other being the poorly received AOTC in the prequel trilogy.



 

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DarthJarvis on 01 January 2020
NightlyPoe said:
thismeintiel said:
Tuesday estimates are in, and despite every other film on the list being up over last week's Tues, ROS fell 35%.

Again you spin.  Rise of Skywalker had just premiered last week.  The other movies were holdovers, some quite old.

This performance isn't a slide.  It's predictable.  Literally, I predicted it several times in this single thread days ago and could have predicted it a dozen years ago if you had told me that a generic blockbuster would premier December 20, 2019.

Stop.... 



Mr.GameCrazy on 01 January 2020
thismeintiel said:
Tuesday estimates are in, and despite every other film on the list being up over last week's Tues, ROS fell 35%.

ROS made an estimated $13.1M on Tues. This is 52.7% lower than TLJ's $27.7M for the corresponding Tues. ROS total at the DBO now sits at $390.6M, 7.7% lower than TLJ's $423.4M. If this continues, ROS will finish with a DBO total of $572.4M vs TLJ's $620.2M.

If the FBO percentage holds from this past weekend, 50.1%, ROS will make $577.6M at the FBO, a WW total of $1.15B. This is 13.5% lower than TLJ's $1.33B.

If this decline continues, it hitting $1B may start to come into question. This would make it only the 2nd Episode in the series to not hit $1B, when taking inflation into consideration. The other being the poorly received AOTC in the prequel trilogy.

I still think The Rise of Skywalker will reach $1 billion, but it will definitely not make more than The Last Jedi.



thismeintiel on 01 January 2020
NightlyPoe said:
thismeintiel said:
Tuesday estimates are in, and despite every other film on the list being up over last week's Tues, ROS fell 35%.

Again you spin.  Rise of Skywalker had just premiered last week.  The other movies were holdovers, some quite old.

This performance isn't a slide.  It's predictable.  Literally, I predicted it several times in this single thread days ago and could have predicted it a dozen years ago if you had told me that a generic blockbuster would premier December 20, 2019.

You two are the only ones spinning in this thread. That list of changes I gave you are ones listed by entertainment sites, not toxic fanboys, like you wish to believe.  Even many fans of TLJ are unhappy that TLJ was basically ignored and/or retconned, even though they ignore why it was necessary to happen.

Just face it, TLJ was a disappointment and Disney is trying to course correct. As ROS's box office is proving, the franchise has hardly been mended. It's opened lower and is dropping faster than the people at the-numbers thought it would. Even with a Xmas holiday weekend boost, its second weekend fell 59%. Who knows what it would have done without that.



 

DarthJarvis on 02 January 2020
NightlyPoe said:
thismeintiel said:

You two are the only ones spinning in this thread. That list of changes I gave you are ones listed by entertainment sites, not toxic fanboys, like you wish to believe.

Regardless of your source, your post was still incorrect.

You're grasping. 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/paultassi/2020/01/02/star-wars-rise-of-skywalker-didnt-just-fix-the-last-jedi-it-erased-it/amp/

Erased it. That's harsh words. 



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thismeintiel on 02 January 2020

ROS 2nd Wed numbers are in. ROS made $17.1M, which is 21.6% lower than TLJ's $21.8M for the same day. ROS's LTD sits at $407.8M, 8.4% lower than TLJ's $445.2M at for the same point in time. If this continues, ROS will finish with a DBO total of $568.1M.

Currently, the FBO makes up 50% of the WW BO. If this continues ROS will end up with a FBO of $568.1M, 20.3% lower than TLJ's $712.4M. This would be a WW total of $1.14B, 14.3% lower than TLJ's $1.33B.



 

thismeintiel on 02 January 2020

You guys keep that underperfomance and retcon spin alive. Who needs SW, when you have this great entertainment.



 

Mr.GameCrazy on 02 January 2020

Could you add a link to Box Office Mojo and The Numbers for reference to the movie's box office numbers? :)

Just a little feedback.



thismeintiel on 02 January 2020
Mr.GameCrazy said:

Could you add a link to Box Office Mojo and The Numbers for reference to the movie's box office numbers? :)

Just a little feedback.

Went ahead and put a link to the ROS vs TLJ comparison page on The Numbers at the bottom of the OP.



 

Mr.GameCrazy on 02 January 2020
thismeintiel said:
Mr.GameCrazy said:

Could you add a link to Box Office Mojo and The Numbers for reference to the movie's box office numbers? :)

Just a little feedback.

Went ahead and put a link to the ROS vs TLJ comparison page on The Numbers at the bottom of the OP.

Thanks. :)