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Forums - Movies & TV - Tracking The Rise (Or Fall?) of Skywalker

Regardless of the film itself, I believe Disney should have been smarter and released this in may this year, in order to not compete with Frozen. That could have made it a little more successful, but then again, no Christmas.



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OTBWY said:
Regardless of the film itself, I believe Disney should have been smarter and released this in may this year, in order to not compete with Frozen. That could have made it a little more successful, but then again, no Christmas.

Frozen 2 was out for an entire month before ROS released and did just $13M that weekend.  Frozen had nothing to do with how ROS performed.  Definitely doesn't have anything to do with how it is performing, now.  Like you alluded to, the Xmas break actually gave it a boost.  It wouldn't have that boost in May.  It also would have confirmed the rumors that there were massive reshoots going on because the film was not testing well with audiences, which probably would have lowered confidence and interest in the movie.



ROS made $2.4M on its 3rd Wed. This is 43.3% lower than the $4.23M that Rogue One made on the corresponding day. Currently, ROS sits at $460.9M at the DBO, 2.1% higher than RO's $451.4M for the same point in time. If this continues, ROS will make end up with a DBO total of $543.4M vs RO's $532.2M.

Currently, the FBO makes up 51.3% of the WW BO. If this continues ROS will end up with a FBO total of $576.6M, 8.2% higher than RO's $532.9M. A WW BO total of $1.12B, 5.7% higher than RO's $1.06B.



NightlyPoe said:

There is no narrative or twist to be found here.  Rise of Skywalker is performing exactly how you'd expect a movie that opened with $175 million to perform with this calendar.

I'll go ahead and predict next week as well.  Rise of Skywalker will suffer a significantly worse week-to-week decline than The Last Jedi over this upcoming (3rd) weekend.  Conversely, its weekly decline for the weekdays next (3rd) week will be significantly better than The Last Jedi's.

Looks like this prediction didn't pan out.  Drops for TLJ's 3rd week: Mon-48%, Tue-72%, Wed-76%.  Drops for ROS's 3rd week: Mon-81%, Tue-70%, Wed-86%.



I knew this movie was going to drop like Palpatine down a shaft came New Year. The reception for multiple rewatches or late adopters simply wasn't there, and that's considering people would hate watch it anyway since it's the last movie of the trilogy.




 

 

 

 

 

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Well. My banking on word of mouth for this one causing better legs than Last Jedi didn’t pan out. Maybe I just really wanted to be positive. Even though its a better movie, pretty terrible performance by Rise of Skywalker.



ROS made $3.92M on its 4th Fri. This is 35.5% lower than the $6.08M that Rogue One made on the corresponding day. Currently, ROS sits at $467M at the DBO, 1.2% higher than RO's $461.4M for the same point in time. If this continues, ROS will make end up with a DBO total of $538.6M vs RO's $532.2M.

Currently, the FBO makes up 51.2% of the WW BO. If this continues ROS will end up with a FBO total of $561.4M, 5.3% higher than RO's $532.9M. A WW BO total of $1.1B, 5.7% higher than RO's $1.06B.

It's also interesting to note that ROS is already losing theaters in its 4th weekend.  With previous installments, Disney was able to negotiate no one dropping their films til the 5th weekend.  This goes for RO, as well.  I'm guessing after the disappointments of TLJ and Solo, they don't have the same power to keep their films in theaters for that long.

Last edited by thismeintiel - on 11 January 2020

So this is how the Disney trilogy ends. With a loud, thunderous, "meh!"



haxxiy said:

I knew this movie was going to drop like Palpatine down a shaft came New Year. The reception for multiple rewatches or late adopters simply wasn't there, and that's considering people would hate watch it anyway since it's the last movie of the trilogy.


S.Peelman said:

Well. My banking on word of mouth for this one causing better legs than Last Jedi didn’t pan out. Maybe I just really wanted to be positive. Even though its a better movie, pretty terrible performance by Rise of Skywalker.

It's going to take much more than a convoluted retcon job go fix this franchise.  TLJ just left too much of a bad taste in many fans' mouths.  What they should really do is just wipe TLJ and ROS out of existence and follow up TFA with a couple of decent films.  Keep Snoke as the main villian.  Maybe have him turn out to be Plagueis and be a little more gray, instead of pure evil like Palpatine.  Add some actual weaknesses to Rey and stop having her OP.  Do something interesting with Finn and the Knights of Ren.  You can still have Luke die, but bring the old Luke back and have him make an ultimate sacrifice that even means a damn.

Instead of repairing the blot on the franchise that was the prequels, they took a hammer to the franchise to mold it into some mindless, hollow shadow of its former self.



thismeintiel said: 
S.Peelman said:

Well. My banking on word of mouth for this one causing better legs than Last Jedi didn’t pan out. Maybe I just really wanted to be positive. Even though its a better movie, pretty terrible performance by Rise of Skywalker.

It's going to take much more than a convoluted retcon job go fix this franchise.  TLJ just left too much of a bad taste in many fans' mouths.  What they should really do is just wipe TLJ and ROS out of existence and follow up TFA with a couple of decent films.  Keep Snoke as the main villian.  Maybe have him turn out to be Plagueis and be a little more gray, instead of pure evil like Palpatine.  Add some actual weaknesses to Rey and stop having her OP.  Do something interesting with Finn and the Knights of Ren.  You can still have Luke die, but bring the old Luke back and have him make an ultimate sacrifice that even means a damn.

Instead of repairing the blot on the franchise that was the prequels, they took a hammer to the franchise to mold it into some mindless, hollow shadow of its former self.

It would be better if they weren’t canon. It’ll never happen though. These exist now. They’re called “VII, VIII and IX”, they can’t be unmade.

Personally I’m not bothered by Palpatine. On the contrary, he should’ve been there all along. It was weird that Palpatine was always supposed to be the biggest Force power out there, but then all of a sudden there happened to be another one; Snoke. Anyway that’s beside the point. Snoke, Palpatine or someone else, there just should’ve at least have been a consistent plan.

Last edited by S.Peelman - on 12 January 2020