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Famitsu Sales: W48, 2019 (Nov 25 - Dec 01)

Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: W48, 2019 (Nov 25 - Dec 01)

Supermario28 said:

Switch 2019 (3,543,024) overtakes full 2018 sales (3,482,388) by 60,636 units!

Current lead YOY: +1,111,929

4 weeks to hold this lead. 

In the next 4 weeks switch would need to sell an average of 262,823/week in order to keep the lead as it is now. 

I don't think the lead will grow by the end of December. It's already going to be hard to keep this lead knowing SSBU released last year.

We'll see.

As big as Smash is, I'm sure the addition of the Lite will offset smash increase, then there's also a mainline pokemon and RFA that's going to push hardware for the rest of the year. I'd be very surprised if Switch is not up YoY compared to last year. I'd give launchweek (next week) to last year, but expecting every other week to be up the rest of the year.



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We are enteing the Switch holiday domination in Japan.



Pocky Lover Boy! 

Mbolibombo said:
Supermario28 said:

Switch 2019 (3,543,024) overtakes full 2018 sales (3,482,388) by 60,636 units!

Current lead YOY: +1,111,929

4 weeks to hold this lead. 

In the next 4 weeks switch would need to sell an average of 262,823/week in order to keep the lead as it is now. 

I don't think the lead will grow by the end of December. It's already going to be hard to keep this lead knowing SSBU released last year.

We'll see.

As big as Smash is, I'm sure the addition of the Lite will offset smash increase, then there's also a mainline pokemon and RFA that's going to push hardware for the rest of the year. I'd be very surprised if Switch is not up YoY compared to last year. I'd give launchweek (next week) to last year, but expecting every other week to be up the rest of the year.

I think it's very optimistic to think both week 50 and 51 will be above 300k and week 52 around 200K.

But i'm excited to find out! It would be huge if you are right.



Xbox not half bad for what it can pull in Japan. PS4 is really dying by now. It needs a pricecut yesterday.

Ring Fit... what could you have reached if you had stock...



Another week of the hybrid SKU being up year over year on its own. The full year of 2018 (3.482m) has been topped this week, so now it's only a question of how big of a lead can be brought across the finish line in four weeks.

Week 2018 Weekly 2018 Cumulative 2019 Weekly 2019 Cumulative Difference Weekly Difference Cumulative
1 159.636 159.636 225.698 225.698 66.062 66.062
2 31.189 190.825 83.136 308.834 51.947 118.009
3 38.749 229.574 71.672 380.506 32.923 150.932
4 39.473 269.047 51.556 432.062 12.083 163.015
5 46.517 315.564 66.448 498.510 19.931 182.946
6 43.522 359.086 61.042 559.552 17.520 200.466
7 40.655 399.741 64.313 623.865 23.658 224.124
8 41.294 441.035 49.139 673.004 7.845 231.969
9 43.801 484.836 66.453 739.457 22.652 254.621
10 45.746 530.582 67.624 807.081 21.878 276.499
11 47.841 578.423 55.478 862.559 7.637 284.136
12 51.563 629.986 56.812 919.371 5.249 289.385
13 41.402 671.388 49.852 969.223 8.450 297.835
14 36.341 707.729 46.850 1.016.073 10.509 308.344
15 32.427 740.156 54.101 1.070.174 21.674 330.018
16 32.476 772.632 40.338 1.110.512 7.862 337.880
17 35.498 808.130 42.108 1.152.620 6.610 344.490
18 54.534 862.664 41.735 1.194.355 -12.799 331.691
19 27.907 890.571 41.736 1.236.091 13.829 345.520
20 30.341 920.912 32.564 1.268.655 2.223 347.743
21 31.673 952.585 25.936 1.294.591 -5.737 342.006
22 36.271 988.856 33.154 1.327.745 -3.117 338.889
23 36.449 1.025.305 33.590 1.361.335 -2.859 336.030
24 44.824 1.070.129 34.321 1.395.656 -10.503 325.527
25 46.750 1.116.879 29.058 1.424.714 -17.692 307.835
26 50.678 1.167.557 59.184 1.483.898 8.506 316.341
27 43.648 1.211.205 75.481 1.559.379 31.833 348.174
28 47.317 1.258.522 55.823 1.615.202 8.506 356.680
29 53.644 1.312.166 45.596 1.660.798 -8.048 348.632
30 47.446 1.359.612 42.689 1.703.487 -4.757 343.875
31 48.975 1.408.587 36.613 1.740.100 -12.362 331.513
32 50.549 1.459.136 46.338 1.786.438 -4.211 327.302
33 53.536 1.512.672 46.339 1.832.777 -7.197 320.105
34 46.413 1.559.085 30.072 1.862.849 -16.341 303.764
35 41.125 1.600.210 90.553 1.953.402 49.428 353.192
36 46.206 1.646.416 77.392 2.030.794 31.186 384.378
37 36.153 1.682.569 51.619 2.082.413 15.466 399.844
38 36.751 1.719.320 239.740 2.322.153 202.989 602.833
39 43.197 1.762.517 196.489 2.518.642 153.292 756.125
40 46.590 1.809.107 89.137 2.607.779 42.547 798.672
41 44.572 1.853.679 56.680 2.664.459 12.108 810.780
42 43.863 1.897.542 54.067 2.718.526 10.204 820.984
43 38.448 1.935.990 69.438 2.787.964 30.990 851.974
44 40.344 1.976.334 119.397 2.907.361 79.053 931.027
45 53.385 2.029.719 88.772 2.996.133 35.387 966.414
46 180.585 2.210.304 180.136 3.176.269 -449 965.965
47 113.341 2.323.645 179.992 3.356.261 66.651 1.032.616
48 107.450 2.431.095 186.763 3.543.024 79.313 1.111.929
49 278.313 2.709.408
50 285.513 2.994.921
51 300.661 3.295.582
52 186.806 3.482.388


Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

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Supermario28 said:
OTBWY said:

Incredible hold. Definitely up 1 million YoY

More detailed pacman

It would need 234,841 units per week in order to be up 1 milion YOY.

It's gonna be tough!

With the Switch Light's lower price point it should be able to do it. Heck I honestly think it has a chance to end the year at 4.8m 



YNWA

Supermario28 said:
Mbolibombo said:

We'll see.

As big as Smash is, I'm sure the addition of the Lite will offset smash increase, then there's also a mainline pokemon and RFA that's going to push hardware for the rest of the year. I'd be very surprised if Switch is not up YoY compared to last year. I'd give launchweek (next week) to last year, but expecting every other week to be up the rest of the year.

I think it's very optimistic to think both week 50 and 51 will be above 300k and week 52 around 200K.

But i'm excited to find out! It would be huge if you are right.

Switch has had a pretty huge momentum since the September. All weeks but one has been up, the one were it wasnt it was basically flat and it was also the Pokemon+Smash bundle week. I expect the momentum to continue.

This week the OG switch alone was bigger than last year. Lite is only adding, not taking sales from the OG. I dont find it very optimistic to think the last 3 weeks of the year will be up. Heck even 2017 week 51 was bigger than week 51 last year, and this only with XC2 as a holiday title.



Supermario28 said:
OTBWY said:

Incredible hold. Definitely up 1 million YoY

More detailed pacman

It would need 234,841 units per week in order to be up 1 milion YOY.

It's gonna be tough!

It wont be that tough, this week was 187k and it should consistently rise for the next 3 weeks before have a moderate drop the week after that. Here are the last 4 weeks of the year in 2017/2018.

2017

165k

220k

270k

135k

Total-790k (just under 200k/week)

2018

270k

270k

270k

175k

Total-1015k (just over 250k/week)

Even if not as high as 2018, it should be comfortably higher than 2017. Also a big December game isnt necessary for a huge holiday, look at 3DS sales in 2012 where the big holiday title released in early Nov.

210k

320k

410k

250k



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

8.5k PS4's lol.

Can home consoles recover in Japan?

Snes + Genesis = 21m                                       (27% of sales in Japan)
N64 + PS1 + Saturn = 33m                                (23% of sales in Japan)
Gamecube + PS2 + Dreamcast + Xbox = 30m   (14% of sales in Japan)
PS3 + Wii + 360 = 24.9m                                  (9% of sales in Japan)
PS4 + WiiU + XBO = 12m                                  (7.5% of sales in Japan)

For comparison handhelds:

Gameboy = 32.5m      (27% of sales in Japan)
GBA = 17m                (21% of sales in Japan)
DS+PSP = 53m          (22% of sales in Japan)
3DS + Vita = 30.5m   (33.5% of sales in Japan)

So in recent times, 33% of handhelds sold in Japan, only 7.5% Home Consoles.



LTD: PS4 - 125m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 51m

2020: PS4 - 10m, Switch - 21.5m, XBO - 2.5m, PS5 - 4.5m, XBX - 2.8m

Barkley said:

8.5k PS4's lol.

Can home consoles recover in Japan?

Snes + Genesis = 21m                                       (27% of sales in Japan)
N64 + PS1 + Saturn = 33m                                (23% of sales in Japan)
Gamecube + PS2 + Dreamcast + Xbox = 30m   (14% of sales in Japan)
PS3 + Wii + 360 = 24.9m                                  (9% of sales in Japan)
PS4 + WiiU + XBO = 12m                                  (7.5% of sales in Japan)

For comparison handhelds:

Gameboy = 32.5m      (27% of sales in Japan)
GBA = 17m                (21% of sales in Japan)
DS+PSP = 53m          (22% of sales in Japan)
3DS + Vita = 30.5m   (33.5% of sales in Japan)

So in recent times, 33% of handhelds sold in Japan, only 7.5% Home Consoles.

Switch is already at 9.7m, so last generation's 12m (and eventual 13m) will be comfortably beaten. After all, the PS5 is going to sell several millions too.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club