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Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan sales : Wii Fit versus Ring Fit (launch aligned)

Relax folks, it might sell over 500K in the next few weeks if Nintendo can supply that many.

Demand is clearly there for Ring Fit Adventure, Nintendo will ship a large amount for the holiday weeks and this will help their hardware sales. There is really nothing else to compete with Ring Fit and Pokemon on the software front this December. They will take the 1st and 2nd slot in the Software charts. But if Nintendo supply enough copies Ring Fit Adenture can sell more than Pokemon during December.

Just look at what new evergreens like Super Mario Party and Pokemon did between week 49 and week 1 last year:

Week 49
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 1.220.535 / NEW <68,52%>
Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! - 93.787 / 1.012.247 (-1%)
Super Mario Party - 69.861 / 489.767 (+40%)
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 20.995 / 1.881.751 (+62%)
Splatoon 2 - 19.083 / 2.740.677 (+57%)

Week 50
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 406.617 / 1.627.152 (-67%)
Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! - 108.773 / 1.121.020 (+16%)
Super Mario Party - 97.529 / 587.295 (+40%)
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 29.422 / 1.911.174 (+40%)
Minecraft - 27.625 / 431.410 (+63%)

Week 51

Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 452.617 / 2.079.769 (+11%)
Super Mario Party - 155.060 / 742.355 (+59%)
Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee!- 144.770 / 1.265.790 (+33%)
Dragon Quest Builders 2  - 97.673 / NEW
Minecraft  - 48.359 / 479.769 (+75%)

Week 52

Super Smash Bros. Ultimate  - 275.417 / 2.355.186 (-39%)
Super Mario Party - 98.682 / 841.037 (-36%)
Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee!  - 65.497 / 1.331.287 (-55%)
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 41.872 / 2.000.142 (-11%)
Dragon Quest Builders 2 - 34.589 / 132.262 (-65%)

Week 1

Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 258.974 / 2.614.160 (-6%)
Super Mario Party - 95.102 / 936.140 (-4%)
Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! - 68.308 / 1.399.595 (+4%)
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 55.758 / 2.055.899 (+33%)
Dragon Quest Builders 2 - 47.176 / 179.438 (+36%)

2018 Holiday Top 3:

  1. Smash - 2.613.860
  2. Super Mario Party - 516.234
  3. Pokemon Let's Go - 481.135

2019 Holiday Top 3:

  1. Pokemon Sword/Shield >1M
  2. Ring Fit Adventure >500K 
  3. Luigi Mansion/Super Mario Party >300K

If Nintendo supplies 1M Ring Fit copies in the next few weeks I honestly think they could sell that many in Japan by Week 2 of 2020. I'm sceptical of this so expect Nintendo to only ship 500K copies for holiday weeks 49 to week 1.

Oh forgot Super Mario Party will be a factor this holiday as well due to JoyCon Bundle



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Marth said:
Yeah Ring Fit could still be the game that carries Nintendos Q4 FY/Q1 CY until Animal Crossing releases.

It probably will be, unless Tokio Mirage Sessions does much better than it did on Wii U



OOoohh that counter offensive from the Ring Fit.



Ring Fit Adventure gets new stocks.

It's super-effective!



Nintendo should definitely turn this into a fitness series using the ring and come out with at least one game a year for it. Its clearly popular in Japan and you see people enjoy playing it on Twitch (a platform that really doesn't have many Switch games, pretty much MK8, Smash, SMO, Pokemon, Mario Maker, and Ring Fit). It seems to fill in that Wii Fit niche well of casual working out as a game. Could be an easy way for Nintendo to knock out a 2+ million seller a year as an annual series.



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so ahmmm *looking at the graph*... which one's which?



RolStoppable said:
Kristof81 said:
so ahmmm *looking at the graph*... which one's which?

The blue line is Wii Fit.

I will add a legend next time and improve the presentation.



Chart is updated.

The Ring Fit doesn't give up but the challenge will be tough for him...

In 1 month from now the sales of the Wii Fit will start to seriously calm down, the Ring Fit still has a chance to catch up.



I didn't expect Ring Fit to be this successful, looking foward to WW numbers from Nintendo.



Updated.

Now starts the interesting part, from next week the sales of the Wii fit will start to seriously slow down:

37859 next week, (which is less than the last week of the Ring fit), while the Ring Fit still have some shortages to solve and is likely to accelerate.