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Global Hardware 2 November 2019

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trunkswd said:
zorg1000 said:

With both NSMB Deluxe & Mario Maker 2 both releasing this year, I have a hard time seeing a new 2D Mario releasing next year.

Odyssey 2 would be great but it has the same issue as BotW2 or Pokemon in that they will sell a ton of software and will move a good amount of hardware but their strength will be dimished by the fact that they all already have installments on Switch.

And I agree that we probably wont see a flat out price cut next year, added value bundles are more likely.

Overall I expect sales to slow down next year, not a huge decline though, maybe something like down 10-15% YoY so still very high sales.

I forgot about NSMB Deluxe coming out earlier this year. The thing is The Switch Lite will be available for all of 2020, while in 2019 it is only available for 3.5 months. Sales should be up year-on-year through summer 2020. Animal Crossing is bigger than any release in 2019, other than Pokemon Sword / Shield. I expect a lot more Japanese games coming to the Switch as it is the only platform that is still selling well there. 

I dont really see Japanese support changing in any major way. Up to this point it has mostly been smaller niche titles, late ports, remasters and the occasional medium sized exclusive.

The next mainline titles in the big franchises like Monster Hunter, Final Fantasy, Dragon Quest, Resident Evil, Kingdom Hearts, etc are years away from releasing so that's not really a factor for Switch next year.

In terms of system selling 3rd party titles, it would either be some surprise hit new IP or a collaboration on a Nintendo IP.

And I agree that Lite+Animal Crossing will keep it up YoY in Q1 & Q2 but depending on what releases in Q3 I could see it being down (still up YTD though). Mario Maker, Fire Emblem, 2D Zelda, improved model & Lite model is tough to compete with. Then Q4 I expect to be down unless they have some really aggressive holiday deals.



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Also I just noticed: Switch > PS4 + Xbone combined in North America.



switch is doing well because of the 3ds to switch upgraders its more of a handheld



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zorg1000 said:
trunkswd said:

I forgot about NSMB Deluxe coming out earlier this year. The thing is The Switch Lite will be available for all of 2020, while in 2019 it is only available for 3.5 months. Sales should be up year-on-year through summer 2020. Animal Crossing is bigger than any release in 2019, other than Pokemon Sword / Shield. I expect a lot more Japanese games coming to the Switch as it is the only platform that is still selling well there. 

I dont really see Japanese support changing in any major way. Up to this point it has mostly been smaller niche titles, late ports, remasters and the occasional medium sized exclusive.

The next mainline titles in the big franchises like Monster Hunter, Final Fantasy, Dragon Quest, Resident Evil, Kingdom Hearts, etc are years away from releasing so that's not really a factor for Switch next year.

In terms of system selling 3rd party titles, it would either be some surprise hit new IP or a collaboration on a Nintendo IP.

And I agree that Lite+Animal Crossing will keep it up YoY in Q1 & Q2 but depending on what releases in Q3 I could see it being down (still up YTD though). Mario Maker, Fire Emblem, 2D Zelda, improved model & Lite model is tough to compete with. Then Q4 I expect to be down unless they have some really aggressive holiday deals.

Dragon quest , I believe will lauch Switch/Ps4/PC. Square Enix no more obey Horii will.  Maybe a Monster and remake Dragon Quest IX.

Monster Hunter, Capcom need to launch something. The investor asks Capcom every time about it. The better world is Monster Hunter World Portable Version. lazy like Capcom.



Read the complete article here.

Year on Year Sales & Market Share Charts - November 2, 2019 

Year to Date Sales Comparison (Same Periods Covered)

Market Share (Same Periods Covered)

 

2016 – (Week ending January 9 to November 6)

2017 – (Week ending January 7 to November 4)

2018 – (Week ending January 6 to November 3)

2018 – (Week ending January 5 to November 2)

Total Sales and Market Share for Each Year

Last edited by trunkswd - on 08 November 2019

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I also post daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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Skeeuk said:
switch is doing well because of the 3ds to switch upgraders its more of a handheld

Switch is doing well because of the switch. 



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trunkswd said:

The Switch lifetime total here is 40.7 million, but the front page says 41.1 million, which is correct?



curl-6 said:
trunkswd said:

The Switch lifetime total here is 40.7 million, but the front page says 41.1 million, which is correct?

Somehow the graph got a bit messed up for the Switch. Not sure how that happened as it shows the correct number when I opened up my excel spreadsheet. Let me redo them. I'll have it up in a tiny bit. 

Edit: Fixed 

 

Last edited by trunkswd - on 08 November 2019

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo

I stream on Twitch and have my own Youtube

Writer of the Gap Charts | VS Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare | USA Preorders Features

I also post daily news on the Video Game Industry.

If you want to contact me, send me a PM on here or tweet me @TrunksWD

trunkswd said:
PAOerfulone said:

Granted, the 3DS was well passed the 10 million mark at this point in its life cycle. By November 2, 2013, the 3DS as closing in on 14 million.
But the 3DS also peaked very early in its life cycle. It already got a price cut and a hardware revision within a year and half of its release. Starting next year, we're going to start seeing the Switch close the gap between it and the 3DS, considerably.

This has given me a good idea for new Gap Charts article. Switch vs 3DS in Japan. 

Oh yes absolutely, would be a good idea and interesting chart.



Agente42 said:
zorg1000 said:

I dont really see Japanese support changing in any major way. Up to this point it has mostly been smaller niche titles, late ports, remasters and the occasional medium sized exclusive.

The next mainline titles in the big franchises like Monster Hunter, Final Fantasy, Dragon Quest, Resident Evil, Kingdom Hearts, etc are years away from releasing so that's not really a factor for Switch next year.

In terms of system selling 3rd party titles, it would either be some surprise hit new IP or a collaboration on a Nintendo IP.

And I agree that Lite+Animal Crossing will keep it up YoY in Q1 & Q2 but depending on what releases in Q3 I could see it being down (still up YTD though). Mario Maker, Fire Emblem, 2D Zelda, improved model & Lite model is tough to compete with. Then Q4 I expect to be down unless they have some really aggressive holiday deals.

Dragon quest , I believe will lauch Switch/Ps4/PC. Square Enix no more obey Horii will.  Maybe a Monster and remake Dragon Quest IX.

Monster Hunter, Capcom need to launch something. The investor asks Capcom every time about it. The better world is Monster Hunter World Portable Version. lazy like Capcom.

I’d be all over a remake of DQ9



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