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Global Hardware 2 November 2019

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SwitchUP said:
Switch is doing well. I just bought the pokemon switch mini for my 11 year old daughter for Christmas. I'm excited to have my little buddy play games with me. I will get pokemon for her, I think I will get sword. I dont know much about them. What's the difference, and what would the aficionados here recommend? I would appreciate your input, friends. Thanks.

The differences between versions are very minimal, such as a few different Pokémons and version exclusive characters. Overall it doesn’t matter which version, a young kid would enjoy either one. I am personally getting sword because the main Pokémon looks cooler. One thing I could say though is that their is one fairy looking pony that is only in shield that I am sure a young girl would love, as my sister is in love with it. 



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aris4me said:
These numbers to the Switch!!! Who could see it 3 years ago?

A handful of us on this site speculated as far back as 2014/2015 that Nintendo was going to merge their handheld and software into a single unified platform that would be a huge success.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

trunkswd said:
zorg1000 said:

I agree and I'm curious what they have in store for next year to keep momentum high.

The big holiday titles will make sure Winter sales are strong then Animal Crossing will move alot of units in Spring so I can see the first half of the year being up YoY but they are going to need to do alot to make sure sales dont start declining in the 2nd half.

This year had Mario Maker (last week of H1), Fire Emblem, 2D Zelda, Luigi's Mansion, Pokemon and a surprise hit in Ring Fit plus an improved model and a cheaper revision.

That's a stacked lineup to contend with so I expect the 2nd half of 2020 to be when we start seeing sales decline. Potential releases like BotW2 & Pokemon Gen 4 remakes will be big sellers and move hardware but diminishing returns will come into play so perhaps a price cut is in order (Hybrid-$249.99, Lite-$169.99).

Animal Crossing will move units. What will be the big release(s) in holiday 2020? That is tough to answer. I'd love to see Mario Odyssey 2 or a full blown Mario 64 remake. BotW2 is probably a bit further off. I wonder if a New Super Mario Bros. Switch makes sense or if Mario Maker 2 has satisfied the desire for 2D Mario games. A Pokemon remake would sell plenty as the series always has done. 

Nintendo likes making profits over its console sales, so a price cut next year only makes sense is if they can still profit. I'd see the Lite dropping to $180 and standard Switch dropping to $249, but not lower. More likely Nintendo does a bundle with MK8D than drops the price. 

With both NSMB Deluxe & Mario Maker 2 both releasing this year, I have a hard time seeing a new 2D Mario releasing next year.

Odyssey 2 would be great but it has the same issue as BotW2 or Pokemon in that they will sell a ton of software and will move a good amount of hardware but their strength will be dimished by the fact that they all already have installments on Switch.

And I agree that we probably wont see a flat out price cut next year, added value bundles are more likely.

Overall I expect sales to slow down next year, not a huge decline though, maybe something like down 10-15% YoY so still very high sales.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

The Switch-Xbone gap is down to 2.6 million. Not long now.



trunkswd said:
mZuzek said:
It's still a bit surreal to me that the Switch will outsell the Xbox One this year. Didn't think it'd happen so fast.

Agreesd. I was expecting the Switch to surpass the Xbox One in 2020. Then Nintendo announced the Switch Lite. Switch can even surpass the SNES this year. 

There are still some who doubt about this ? It is a 100% given unless the 3rd world war starts during Q3...There was only 8 millions to catch up, for your info, Q3 makes the Switch up by 64% from last year. Should be less at the end...But still huge.



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zorg1000 said:
trunkswd said:

Animal Crossing will move units. What will be the big release(s) in holiday 2020? That is tough to answer. I'd love to see Mario Odyssey 2 or a full blown Mario 64 remake. BotW2 is probably a bit further off. I wonder if a New Super Mario Bros. Switch makes sense or if Mario Maker 2 has satisfied the desire for 2D Mario games. A Pokemon remake would sell plenty as the series always has done. 

Nintendo likes making profits over its console sales, so a price cut next year only makes sense is if they can still profit. I'd see the Lite dropping to $180 and standard Switch dropping to $249, but not lower. More likely Nintendo does a bundle with MK8D than drops the price. 

With both NSMB Deluxe & Mario Maker 2 both releasing this year, I have a hard time seeing a new 2D Mario releasing next year.

Odyssey 2 would be great but it has the same issue as BotW2 or Pokemon in that they will sell a ton of software and will move a good amount of hardware but their strength will be dimished by the fact that they all already have installments on Switch.

And I agree that we probably wont see a flat out price cut next year, added value bundles are more likely.

Overall I expect sales to slow down next year, not a huge decline though, maybe something like down 10-15% YoY so still very high sales.

I forgot about NSMB Deluxe coming out earlier this year. The thing is The Switch Lite will be available for all of 2020, while in 2019 it is only available for 3.5 months. Sales should be up year-on-year through summer 2020. Animal Crossing is bigger than any release in 2019, other than Pokemon Sword / Shield. I expect a lot more Japanese games coming to the Switch as it is the only platform that is still selling well there. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo

I stream on Twitch and have my own Youtube

Writer of the Gap Charts | VS Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare | USA Preorders Features

I also post daily news on the Video Game Industry.

If you want to contact me, send me a PM on here or tweet me @TrunksWD

Exactly. I'm not entirely sure about worldwide, but 2020 should be the Switch's peak year in Japan due to Pokemon+Switch Lite momentum going strong into the year and Animal Crossing New Horizons not long afterwards + most 3rd party Japanese developers should start really showing their support for the system.



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

PAOerfulone said:

Exactly. I'm not entirely sure about worldwide, but 2020 should be the Switch's peak year in Japan due to Pokemon+Switch Lite momentum going strong into the year and Animal Crossing New Horizons not long afterwards + most 3rd party Japanese developers should start really showing their support for the system.

Saying Switch is dominating Japan is an understatement. The Switch has a good chance of selling as well, if not better than the 3DS did lifetime. The 3DS has sold 24.5 million units in Japan. The Switch just crossed 10 million sold in Japan. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo

I stream on Twitch and have my own Youtube

Writer of the Gap Charts | VS Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare | USA Preorders Features

I also post daily news on the Video Game Industry.

If you want to contact me, send me a PM on here or tweet me @TrunksWD

trunkswd said:

Saying Switch is dominating Japan is an understatement. The Switch has a good chance of selling as well, if not better than the 3DS did lifetime. The 3DS has sold 24.5 million units in Japan. The Switch just crossed 10 million sold in Japan. 

Granted, the 3DS was well passed the 10 million mark at this point in its life cycle. By November 2, 2013, the 3DS as closing in on 14 million.
But the 3DS also peaked very early in its life cycle. It already got a price cut and a hardware revision within a year and half of its release. Starting next year, we're going to start seeing the Switch close the gap between it and the 3DS, considerably.



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

PAOerfulone said:
trunkswd said:

Saying Switch is dominating Japan is an understatement. The Switch has a good chance of selling as well, if not better than the 3DS did lifetime. The 3DS has sold 24.5 million units in Japan. The Switch just crossed 10 million sold in Japan. 

Granted, the 3DS was well passed the 10 million mark at this point in its life cycle. By November 2, 2013, the 3DS as closing in on 14 million.
But the 3DS also peaked very early in its life cycle. It already got a price cut and a hardware revision within a year and half of its release. Starting next year, we're going to start seeing the Switch close the gap between it and the 3DS, considerably.

This has given me a good idea for new Gap Charts article. Switch vs 3DS in Japan. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo

I stream on Twitch and have my own Youtube

Writer of the Gap Charts | VS Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare | USA Preorders Features

I also post daily news on the Video Game Industry.

If you want to contact me, send me a PM on here or tweet me @TrunksWD