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How many more Switches will be sold by year's end?

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How many more Switches will be sold by year's end?

5 Million 6 8.70%
 
6 Million 1 1.45%
 
7 Million 4 5.80%
 
8 Million 5 7.25%
 
9 Million 3 4.35%
 
10 Million 17 24.64%
 
11 Million 13 18.84%
 
13 Million 11 15.94%
 
15 Million 5 7.25%
 
17 Million 4 5.80%
 
Total:69

sell-through will be a little over 48m by end of year. Possibly a bit more.

If we're going by current VGC numbers as the starting point.

9m = 17.8m year total.
10m = 18.8m year total. (lines up perfectly with my previous prediction in sig, so this is what I'm voting for.)
11m = 19.8m year total.
13m = 21.8m year total.

10/11 Million are the most reasonable answers I think, (48.3m/49.3m by years end)

13m is too high, 9m is a little too low.



Predictions (Made July 2019)

LTD: PS4 - 130m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 52m       2019 : PS4 - 15m, Switch - 18.8m, XBO - 4.8m        2020: Switch - 22m (Peak Year)


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Barkley said:

sell-through will be a little over 48m by end of year. Possibly a bit more.

If we're going by current VGC numbers as the starting point.

9m = 17.8m year total.
10m = 18.8m year total. (lines up perfectly with my previous prediction in sig, so this is what I'm voting for.)
11m = 19.8m year total.
13m = 21.8m year total.

10/11 Million are the most reasonable answers I think, (48.3m/49.3m by years end)

13m is too high, 9m is a little too low.

Yeah I feel like you could easily remove the pole options below 9m, and the ones above 15m.



in the 6 weeks from mid Nov to Dec 31 last year the Switch sold 7.2m

Realistically this year with Pokemon on the horizon I could see that number alone being closer to 10m especially when the Switch lite is considered the Switch is now something which falls into the possibilities of "presents for family members you care around the €200 region of"

Over the next 7 weeks until that point I would imagine the Switch will do around the 250k mark on the weekly basis so giving another 1.75m, so by the years end from now would expect the machine to shift between 11.5 and 12m units, all going well with the launch of Pokemon and Luigis Mansion 3.

For checking sake it's currently 38.3m this prediction would be it resting at 49.8m when the 31dec2019 sales are counted on this site.



Fancy hearing me on an amateur podcast with friends gushing over one of my favourite games? https://youtu.be/1I7JfMMxhf8

I guess 10-12 million units, do I am going with eleven million. This will probably be the best Q4 for Switch.



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

As much as I strongly dislike the direction Sword/Shield are going, they're going to push a stupid amount of Switches. I think another 15m by the end of the year.



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RingoGaSuki said:
As much as I strongly dislike the direction Sword/Shield are going, they're going to push a stupid amount of Switches. I think another 15m by the end of the year.

What direction is that? Sorry, I stopped playing that stuff with Pearl.



Random_Matt said:
RingoGaSuki said:
As much as I strongly dislike the direction Sword/Shield are going, they're going to push a stupid amount of Switches. I think another 15m by the end of the year.

What direction is that? Sorry, I stopped playing that stuff with Pearl.

Anime? Granted, I haven't played Pokémon since Silver but the art style/cuteness/sillyness introduced in later games is a big part of why I struggle to give the series another go (another is the constant hand holding/endless tutorial).

Some of it is of course due to nostalgia but I really do prefer the old art style.



RingoGaSuki said:
As much as I strongly dislike the direction Sword/Shield are going, they're going to push a stupid amount of Switches. I think another 15m by the end of the year.

23.8m sales in 2019? Definitely not going to happen.

Shipment forecast is only 18m units this FY, I think they'll beat it but they're not selling-through 23.8m in 2019. Even if demand was high enough to sell that many, Nintendo wouldn't supply enough Switch's to reach it.



Predictions (Made July 2019)

LTD: PS4 - 130m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 52m       2019 : PS4 - 15m, Switch - 18.8m, XBO - 4.8m        2020: Switch - 22m (Peak Year)


SwitchUP said:
Cerebralbore101 said:

I was asking how many sold during the holidays last year. 

I read it exactly the same way he did, Haha. No idea why, it was pretty clear.

I read it as "The Switch will pass the PS4 in 2020". To be clear, what did Kirby's post predict exactly? That in 2020, the Switch will beat the PS4? I don't think that's very surprising, though.



Why isn't there a poll option for 1 billion?