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August NPD 2019

Forums - Sales Discussion - August NPD 2019

Its amazing that sales data is so hidden in the gaming industry. This to me is proof that sales numbers are being used for marketing purposes. This is why certain "companies" slash the prices of certain games to "dollar store" prices and force bundle games to "juice" the numbers. Kudos to NPD for noticing that shady practice and only counting REVENUE.



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HerlockSholmes said:
A little bit late, but if I did not mess up, these are the possible ranges for the August results. Got June and July somewhere as well.

[NSW] 238K - 262K
[PS4] 178K - approx. 200K (not up YoY, otherwise Switch would be the upper bound)
[XB1] 98K - 102K

Thanks, and welcome to VGC!

This is actually pretty close to the #1 predictor in Era's August prediction thread, which was:

Switch: 240K
PS4: 180K
XBO: 90K

Looking forward to what you have for June & July.



Thank you, kind sir !

You've done some great detective work there, Sherlock !



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Again: I could be wrong with my method somehow/somewhere, but I'm like 90-95% sure that the results should be in those ranges:

June:

[NSW] 342K - 352K
[PS4] 188K - 229K (probably above 200K, below are some edge cases)
[XB1] 158K - 165K

July:

[NSW] 247K - 258K
[PS4] 176K - 184K
[XB1] 103K - 109K

August:

[NSW] 238K - 262K
[PS4] 178K - 200K (approx.)
[XB1] 98K - 102K

Last three months:

[NSW] 827K - 872K (up 5 - 10% YoY; last year NSW also had strong sales after E3)
[PS4] 542K - 613K (down 19 - 29% YoY; so a better performance than in April and May where it had a tough YoY comparison due to GoW)
[XB1] 359K - 376K (down 34 - 37% YoY; let's see if they got something up their sleeve for the rest of the year)

Last edited by HerlockSholmes - on 29 September 2019

HerlockSholmes said:
Again: I could be wrong with my method somehow/somewhere, but I'm like 90-95% sure that the results should be in those ranges:

June:

[NSW] 342K - 352K
[PS4] 188K - 229K (probably above 200K, below are some edge cases)
[XB1] 158K - 165K

July:

[NSW] 247K - 258K
[PS4] 176K - 184K
[XB1] 103K - 109K

O frag! Nintendo's really killing it in June!



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Shadow1980 said:
Third month in a row and no numbers. Is there even a point in these threads anymore?

The trends and the charts are still useful. They are going to get discussed somewhere so might as well do it here.

I agree that the US needs a real sales tracker. How Famitsu and Media Create are able to do that for free is what I'd be interesting in knowing. 



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HerlockSholmes said:

Again: I could be wrong with my method somehow/somewhere, but I'm like 90-95% sure that the results should be in those ranges:

June:

[NSW] 342K - 352K
[PS4] 188K - 229K (probably above 200K, below are some edge cases)
[XB1] 158K - 165K

July:

[NSW] 247K - 258K
[PS4] 176K - 184K
[XB1] 103K - 109K

August:

[NSW] 238K - 262K
[PS4] 178K - 200K (approx.)
[XB1] 98K - 102K

Last three months:

[NSW] 827K - 872K (up 5 - 10% YoY; last year NSW also had strong sales after E3)
[PS4] 542K - 613K (down 19 - 29% YoY; so a better performance than in April and May where it had a tough YoY comparison due to GoW)
[XB1] 359K - 376K (down 34 - 37% YoY; let's see if they got something up their sleeve for the rest of the year)

Awesome, thanks for the numbers



The Switch domination the last 3 months



HerlockSholmes said:

Again: I could be wrong with my method somehow/somewhere, but I'm like 90-95% sure that the results should be in those ranges:

June:

[NSW] 342K - 352K
[PS4] 188K - 229K (probably above 200K, below are some edge cases)
[XB1] 158K - 165K

July:

[NSW] 247K - 258K
[PS4] 176K - 184K
[XB1] 103K - 109K

August:

[NSW] 238K - 262K
[PS4] 178K - 200K (approx.)
[XB1] 98K - 102K

Last three months:

[NSW] 827K - 872K (up 5 - 10% YoY; last year NSW also had strong sales after E3)
[PS4] 542K - 613K (down 19 - 29% YoY; so a better performance than in April and May where it had a tough YoY comparison due to GoW)
[XB1] 359K - 376K (down 34 - 37% YoY; let's see if they got something up their sleeve for the rest of the year)

Thanks! The estimates I already have recorded are close to or within these ranges, probably not enough to bump the data points on my charts more than a pixel or two.

Speaking of which, I'll finally update my charts for the first time in three months. I just have to mow the lawn before it gets dark and then eat dinner, because these updates take me a while.

VideoGameAccountant said:
Shadow1980 said:
Third month in a row and no numbers. Is there even a point in these threads anymore?

The trends and the charts are still useful. They are going to get discussed somewhere so might as well do it here.

I agree that the US needs a real sales tracker. How Famitsu and Media Create are able to do that for free is what I'd be interesting in knowing. 

Y'know, I wonder if it would be worthwhile to contact Famitsu and see what it would take for them to start tracking sales in the U.S. I mean, they're a freakin' video game magazine and they've been putting out weekly numbers for free for over 20 years. Twenty years! Maybe we do need a company that's not some nebulous market research company.



StarDoor said:
JRPGfan said:

The other side of the coin, is 9? out of the top20, arn't avalible on the Switch.

Thats almost half of the top20 games, cant be played on a switch.

Interesting. You do realize that 9 out of the top 20 are Nintendo exclusives, right?

And yet I don't see you saying, "That's almost half of the top 20 games that can't be played on PS4." Funny how that works.

If you look at it and take in games in other regions it's also possible to say that 12 of the 20 are playable on the Switch not 11/20. Still though, compare the fact that the top listing of games in any capacity has Nintendo titles in it compared to their last machine when it would be lucky to see a single WiiU title in the top 20 at the 2 year mark in that systems life, crazy to think, the Switch is coming up on 3x the sales of the WiiU in half the time of being on the market (if we counted the Switch launch as the official death day for the WiiU)



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