Japan Sales Week 30, Jul 22 - 28 2019, Famitsu

Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan Sales Week 30, Jul 22 - 28 2019, Famitsu

Looking at Nintendo's shipment figures for Super Mario Maker 2, it seems the voucher programme they're running is likely pushing digital sales in Japan - I've seen estimates that Super Mario Maker 2's first week sales were 33 to 40% digital.

As others have pointed out, if Three Houses has a similar digital ratio, you're looking at a combined physical/digital first week of around 200,000. Still a ~40k step down from Awakening and a big step down from Fates, but in Fates's case the comparison isn't very fair. Fates had three retail SKUs in Japan and some customers will have bought both Birthright and Conquest. Plus, 3DS had an install base of around ~19 million when Fates came out, more than double the 8 million install base Switch has right now.

I'd say 200k is still on the lower end of what people would have expected, but my guess is lower Japanese sales will be more than made up for in other markets. I'm still expecting Three Houses to top 3 million globally and become the best-selling Fire Emblem game.

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Pretty surprised to see HW go down on a bigger release, but it's understandable considering the revisions on their way.

As for Three Houses sales, I'm not surprised it's way down. The game is becoming a bit more western focused (not as drastically as Final Fantasy but still there), and digital sales are a factor. I do wish we could get some hard data to see how much the voucher program is actually influencing sales.

The Lite effect is starting to bite; I still think they should've waited til like late August to announce it.

I think people maybe jumping the gun on initial sales of Fire Emblem 3 houses, it is down in Japan over some of the previous games. I think with the mobile game spurring interest in the series world wide, it will probably be the biggest seller in the franchise hands down. I don't know when I've seen consistent headlines of a Fire Emblem game being at the top of pretty much every territories charts.

Next weeks Switch Hardware should be down quite a bit more, with the preorders for the Lite having opened now.