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Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan Sales Week 30, Jul 22 - 28 2019, Famitsu

I am thinking that the announcement of the new Switch models are affecting hardware sales. A decent new game gets released, Fire Emblem, and hardware sales go down from last week. Guess I'll have to wait for the Switch Lite to see if I'm right.



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Well, hopefully the digital sales helped Fire Emblem to go close to 200k.

Last edited by Keybladewielder - on 31 July 2019

I think fire emblem 3 houses will have some good legs though just by the good reception and word of mouth.
I was really iffy about it before release but now I'm 16 hours in and can barely stop playing.



zorg1000 said:
Barkley said:

Fire Emblem Awakening did 242,600 FW.

Fire Emblem Fates did 303,666 FW.

Fire Emblem Echoes did 131,668 FW.

So it just did better than echoes. TBH wasn't sure what to expect from it.

The voucher program in Japan is a much better deal than other regions

Fire Emblem is ~$70 is Japan while 2 vouchers are ~$90 so you basically get it for 50% off in Japan so digital is likely pretty high.

Still likely below Awakening & Fates though.

Super Mario Maker's debut really underscores how big an impact the voucher deal had.

Famitsu had lauch week(end) for SMM2 at 196,000 units at a 40-60% of initial shipment. Nintendo reported total shipments of 520,000 in the same three day period.  So if first weekend sales was half of the initial shipment, that's still 125,000 digital sales. 



Looking at Nintendo's shipment figures for Super Mario Maker 2, it seems the voucher programme they're running is likely pushing digital sales in Japan - I've seen estimates that Super Mario Maker 2's first week sales were 33 to 40% digital.

As others have pointed out, if Three Houses has a similar digital ratio, you're looking at a combined physical/digital first week of around 200,000. Still a ~40k step down from Awakening and a big step down from Fates, but in Fates's case the comparison isn't very fair. Fates had three retail SKUs in Japan and some customers will have bought both Birthright and Conquest. Plus, 3DS had an install base of around ~19 million when Fates came out, more than double the 8 million install base Switch has right now.

I'd say 200k is still on the lower end of what people would have expected, but my guess is lower Japanese sales will be more than made up for in other markets. I'm still expecting Three Houses to top 3 million globally and become the best-selling Fire Emblem game.



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Pretty surprised to see HW go down on a bigger release, but it's understandable considering the revisions on their way.

As for Three Houses sales, I'm not surprised it's way down. The game is becoming a bit more western focused (not as drastically as Final Fantasy but still there), and digital sales are a factor. I do wish we could get some hard data to see how much the voucher program is actually influencing sales.



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The Lite effect is starting to bite; I still think they should've waited til like late August to announce it.



I think people maybe jumping the gun on initial sales of Fire Emblem 3 houses, it is down in Japan over some of the previous games. I think with the mobile game spurring interest in the series world wide, it will probably be the biggest seller in the franchise hands down. I don't know when I've seen consistent headlines of a Fire Emblem game being at the top of pretty much every territories charts.



Next weeks Switch Hardware should be down quite a bit more, with the preorders for the Lite having opened now.