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Forums - Sales Discussion - NPD: PS4 2016 vs Switch 2019

 

How much more will Switch sell compared to PS4?

Switch will not outsell PS4 7 15.56%
 
500k-1 million 2 4.44%
 
1 million-1.5 million 12 26.67%
 
1.5 million-2 million 6 13.33%
 
2 million-2.5 million 5 11.11%
 
2.5 million-3 million 5 11.11%
 
Over 3 million 8 17.78%
 
Total:45
Dulfite on 30 September 2019
zorg1000 said:
Dulfite said:

Did the improved Switch improve sales? I didn't think so looking at the numbers. They didn't even market it. I bet there are many more people that knew about the Wii U over the better battery Switch, and that is saying something. The PS4 pro, everyone and the mothers knew about. So those aren't really fairly comparable.

It did, at least in Japan.

From April 1-Aug 25 it averaged 42.5k/week.

The hybrid model has averaged 70k in the 4 weeks since the improved model launched.

As for the US, it's hard to tell but comparing the July to Aug drop from 2018 to 2019 might give us an idea.

July 2018-263k (Octopath #1, Captain Toad #14)

Aug 2018-203k (MH Generations #14)

July 2019-~250k (Fire Emblem #2, Marvel #4)

Aug 2019-~240k (Astral Chain #10)

Last year had a ~23k MoM drop while this year had a ~4% drop, and looking at YoY July was down ~5% while Aug was up ~18%.

Similar software performance from new titles so I think the MoM/YoY differences are due the improved model.

Astral Chain is no doubt a bigger system seller than MH Generations ( re release of a mostly Japanese only appealing series.



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zorg1000 on 30 September 2019
Dulfite said:
zorg1000 said:

It did, at least in Japan.

From April 1-Aug 25 it averaged 42.5k/week.

The hybrid model has averaged 70k in the 4 weeks since the improved model launched.

As for the US, it's hard to tell but comparing the July to Aug drop from 2018 to 2019 might give us an idea.

July 2018-263k (Octopath #1, Captain Toad #14)

Aug 2018-203k (MH Generations #14)

July 2019-~250k (Fire Emblem #2, Marvel #4)

Aug 2019-~240k (Astral Chain #10)

Last year had a ~23k MoM drop while this year had a ~4% drop, and looking at YoY July was down ~5% while Aug was up ~18%.

Similar software performance from new titles so I think the MoM/YoY differences are due the improved model.

Astral Chain is no doubt a bigger system seller than MH Generations ( re release of a mostly Japanese only appealing series.

Sure, but it's not nearly big enough to move that many units, especially since it only had 2 days of tracking.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Ryng on 30 September 2019

Yeah Switch is doing better than i expected this year, in USA it will totally crush PS4 sales. September is an easy +400K month, probabily +500K.

Q4 will be easy up YOY compared to the 3.4M of 2018, and PS4 in 2016 only didn't even sold 3 million.



p0isonparadise on 06 November 2019

Updated the OP with September estimates from Era.



Bofferbrauer2 on 06 November 2019

570k lead and Pokemon and the holiday season are yet to come... yeah, I don't see the Switch losing that one anymore.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

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p0isonparadise on 28 January 2020

Updated with recent NPD leaks.

-Switch's 2019 easily beats PS4's 2016. Both consoles got revisions (Switch Lite, PS4 Slim, PS4 Pro)
-Switch managed to sell 2 million in December, making it the first console to do so since the Wii in 2010.
-Switch selling 6.5 million in 2019 is larger than any year PS4 has done. Its also the highest yearly sales since 2011.



Ryng on 28 January 2020

Thanks for the comparation, was interesting to see.



TruckOSaurus on 28 January 2020

Good thread that was fun to follow throughout the year. If you eventually do a similar thread for Switch 2020 vs PS4 2017, can you post the link here?



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LGBTDBZBBQ on 28 January 2020

Nice thread



LGBTDBZBBQ on 28 January 2020
RolStoppable said:
These results should silence all who doubted that Switch can beat the PS4's lifetime sales in the USA.

How much do you think Switch will end up at the end(USA)?