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Famitsu Sales: Week 25, 2019 (June 17th - June 23rd) - Yokai Watch 4 pushes Switch hardware... down

Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 25, 2019 (June 17th - June 23rd) - Yokai Watch 4 pushes Switch hardware... down

Hopefully in the west it beats expectation and honestly if there's a bigger importance on the west for the faranchise that could increase the chances of it being ported to PS4.



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Any ideas why Zelda Breath of the Wild is constantly selling better than Super Mario Odyssey? I thought a mainline 3D Mario is Nintendo's strongest franchise... Well, the liftetime sales are better than Zelda, but the lags are a bit disappointing.



siebensus4 said:
Any ideas why Zelda Breath of the Wild is constantly selling better than Super Mario Odyssey? I thought a mainline 3D Mario is Nintendo's strongest franchise... Well, the liftetime sales are better than Zelda, but the lags are a bit disappointing.

Because Breath of the Wild is a dramatic new direction for the IP (or more accurately, a return to its origins) while Super Mario Odyssey is nothing new.

3D Mario isn't close to being Nintendo's strongest franchise, neither in Japan or globally. However, it's true that Nintendo pushes 3D Mario as if it was their best horse in the stable.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

Well next week should be interesting at least..



YNWA

siebensus4 said:
Any ideas why Zelda Breath of the Wild is constantly selling better than Super Mario Odyssey? I thought a mainline 3D Mario is Nintendo's strongest franchise... Well, the liftetime sales are better than Zelda, but the lags are a bit disappointing.

I suspect you are mistaking 'internet fervor' with 'sales fervor': If the former was accurate Metroid would outsell everything and 2D Mario's would be pants sellers. 



The Democratic Nintendo fan....is that a paradox? I'm fond of one of the more conservative companies in the industry, but I vote Liberally and view myself that way 90% of the time?

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Switch's 2nd worst week of the year, and yet worse weeks are yet to come in October. June, May, and October really drag down HW sales. I would be curious on what the worst famitsu weeks were in 2018.



Farsala said:
Switch's 2nd worst week of the year, and yet worse weeks are yet to come in October. June, May, and October really drag down HW sales. I would be curious on what the worst famitsu weeks were in 2018.
Week 2018 Weekly 2018 Cumulative 2019 Weekly 2019 Cumulative Difference Weekly Difference Cumulative
1 159.636 159.636 225.698 225.698 66.062 66.062
2 31.189 190.825 83.136 308.834 51.947 118.009
3 38.749 229.574 71.672 380.506 32.923 150.932
4 39.473 269.047 51.556 432.062 12.083 163.015
5 46.517 315.564 66.448 498.510 19.931 182.946
6 43.522 359.086 61.042 559.552 17.520 200.466
7 40.655 399.741 64.313 623.865 23.658 224.124
8 41.294 441.035 49.139 673.004 7.845 231.969
9 43.801 484.836 66.453 739.457 22.652 254.621
10 45.746 530.582 67.624 807.081 21.878 276.499
11 47.841 578.423 55.478 862.559 7.637 284.136
12 51.563 629.986 56.812 919.371 5.249 289.385
13 41.402 671.388 49.852 969.223 8.450 297.835
14 36.341 707.729 46.850 1.016.073 10.509 308.344
15 32.427 740.156 54.101 1.070.174 21.674 330.018
16 32.476 772.632 40.338 1.110.512 7.862 337.880
17 35.498 808.130 42.108 1.152.620 6.610 344.490
18 54.534 862.664 41.735 1.194.355 -12.799 331.691
19 27.907 890.571 41.736 1.236.091 13.829 345.520
20 30.341 920.912 32.564 1.268.655 2.223 347.743
21 31.673 952.585 25.936 1.294.591 -5.737 342.006
22 36.271 988.856 33.154 1.327.745 -3.117 338.889
23 36.449 1.025.305 33.590 1.361.335 -2.859 336.030
24 44.824 1.070.129 34.321 1.395.656 -10.503 325.527
25 46.750 1.116.879 29.058 1.424.714 -17.692 307.835
26 50.678 1.167.557
27 43.648 1.211.205
28 47.317 1.258.522
29 53.644 1.312.166
30 47.446 1.359.612
31 48.975 1.408.587
32 50.549 1.459.136
33 53.536 1.512.672
34 46.413 1.559.085
35 41.125 1.600.210
36 46.206 1.646.416
37 36.153 1.682.569
38 36.751 1.719.320
39 43.197 1.762.517
40 46.590 1.809.107
41 44.572 1.853.679
42 43.863 1.897.542
43 38.448 1.935.990
44 40.344 1.976.334
45 53.385 2.029.719
46 180.585 2.210.304
47 113.341 2.323.645
48 107.450 2.431.095
49 278.313 2.709.408
50 285.513 2.994.921
51 300.661 3.295.582
52 186.806 3.482.388

April to E3 in June was the worst stretch last year with Golden Week being the only week above 40k.

October (week 40-43) was fine last year, so no reason to be worried about that month specifically. Especially because Dragon Quest XI S is scheduled for a late September release while Luigi's Mansion 3 could make late October (release month has yet to be confirmed, tentative Q4 right now).

Also, there's the widely expected revision that is supposed to be smaller and cheaper. If it gets released this year, then Switch will finish 2019 comfortably ahead of 2018.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

RolStoppable said:
Farsala said:
Switch's 2nd worst week of the year, and yet worse weeks are yet to come in October. June, May, and October really drag down HW sales. I would be curious on what the worst famitsu weeks were in 2018.
Week 2018 Weekly 2018 Cumulative 2019 Weekly 2019 Cumulative Difference Weekly Difference Cumulative
1 159.636 159.636 225.698 225.698 66.062 66.062
2 31.189 190.825 83.136 308.834 51.947 118.009
3 38.749 229.574 71.672 380.506 32.923 150.932
4 39.473 269.047 51.556 432.062 12.083 163.015
5 46.517 315.564 66.448 498.510 19.931 182.946
6 43.522 359.086 61.042 559.552 17.520 200.466
7 40.655 399.741 64.313 623.865 23.658 224.124
8 41.294 441.035 49.139 673.004 7.845 231.969
9 43.801 484.836 66.453 739.457 22.652 254.621
10 45.746 530.582 67.624 807.081 21.878 276.499
11 47.841 578.423 55.478 862.559 7.637 284.136
12 51.563 629.986 56.812 919.371 5.249 289.385
13 41.402 671.388 49.852 969.223 8.450 297.835
14 36.341 707.729 46.850 1.016.073 10.509 308.344
15 32.427 740.156 54.101 1.070.174 21.674 330.018
16 32.476 772.632 40.338 1.110.512 7.862 337.880
17 35.498 808.130 42.108 1.152.620 6.610 344.490
18 54.534 862.664 41.735 1.194.355 -12.799 331.691
19 27.907 890.571 41.736 1.236.091 13.829 345.520
20 30.341 920.912 32.564 1.268.655 2.223 347.743
21 31.673 952.585 25.936 1.294.591 -5.737 342.006
22 36.271 988.856 33.154 1.327.745 -3.117 338.889
23 36.449 1.025.305 33.590 1.361.335 -2.859 336.030
24 44.824 1.070.129 34.321 1.395.656 -10.503 325.527
25 46.750 1.116.879 29.058 1.424.714 -17.692 307.835
26 50.678 1.167.557
27 43.648 1.211.205
28 47.317 1.258.522
29 53.644 1.312.166
30 47.446 1.359.612
31 48.975 1.408.587
32 50.549 1.459.136
33 53.536 1.512.672
34 46.413 1.559.085
35 41.125 1.600.210
36 46.206 1.646.416
37 36.153 1.682.569
38 36.751 1.719.320
39 43.197 1.762.517
40 46.590 1.809.107
41 44.572 1.853.679
42 43.863 1.897.542
43 38.448 1.935.990
44 40.344 1.976.334
45 53.385 2.029.719
46 180.585 2.210.304
47 113.341 2.323.645
48 107.450 2.431.095
49 278.313 2.709.408
50 285.513 2.994.921
51 300.661 3.295.582
52 186.806 3.482.388

April to E3 in June was the worst stretch last year with Golden Week being the only week above 40k.

October (week 40-43) was fine last year, so no reason to be worried about that month specifically. Especially because Dragon Quest XI S is scheduled for a late September release while Luigi's Mansion 3 could make late October (release month has yet to be confirmed, tentative Q4 right now).

Also, there's the widely expected revision that is supposed to be smaller and cheaper. If it gets released this year, then Switch will finish 2019 comfortably ahead of 2018.

October this year will have another tax hike though, and last time that happened, the market performed very poorly. DQXI S might turn the tides though.

I think Nintendo, Sony and MS are worried about politics so they are withholding the much needed price cuts or revisions.  I have been waiting for a revision or price cut for a very long time, so I certainly hope it still happens.



Next weeks will be interesting to watch.

Juli was packed full last year: Captain Toad, Sonic Mania Plus, Octopath Traveler, Shining Resonance: Refrain, Taiko Drum, Megaman X collection, Ys VIII... that will be very hard to keep up with this year as most big titles come out after Obon week this year.

So against that big lineup, we got this year: Marvel Ultimate Alliance 3, Attack on Titan 2: Final Battle, God Eater 3, Fire Emblem: 3 Houses and Rune Factory 4 Special. Not a whole lot, and mostly coming around the end of the month (Crash Team racing just didn't make it, coming out August 1st)

August should be more evenly matched, and then September the Switch starts it's afterburner. Sales in September were comparatively weak and SMP didn't bring much of a sales boost in October (though it's probably one of the reasons for the higher weekly sales this year), so in these two months the Switch this year should grow it's lead even without any new model or pricecut.

I expect about 500k lead over last year by the time Pokemon comes out. The big question is: will that be enough to hold against the PLG/SSBU 1-2 punch from last year? Or is the help of a revision/permanent pricecut needed to stay ahead?



NateH said:
wombat123 said:
I'm not that worried about Yo-Kai Watch's decline because I believe its sales will come from the west since YW4 feels more catered to us than Japan...as long as Nintendo advertises it. Add to that the disgruntled Pokedex fans and the general positive comments about YW4's graphics, especially when compared to Sw|sh's, and I can see the west picking up the slack for the series' decline in Japan.

lol, what are you talking about? Japan was the only country this series was ever popular, it never had a significant following in the Occident. If it even gets released in the West, it's not going to be flying off the shelves because of thousands of disgruntled Pokémon fans running to buy it. That logic is so frankly stupid, 'console war'-tier garbage that people will buy one if they're unhappy with the other, as opposed to just buying neither.

Also, your assertion that the normal Pokémon-buying public at large is angry at the shrunken Pokédex but totally cool with Yo-kai Watch 4 having only 109 yōkai in the game out of like 700 or whatever is weird too.


I probably have a different idea of the game finding its sales in the west compared to you. I'm not saying that it's going to steal 5m+ from Sw|sh and give Pokemon a run for its money but rather, sell 1m+ outside of Japan with no effect on Pokemon's sales and keep the series alive if it's marketed decently and not sent out to die. The original sold 1m+ in the west with some advertising, an install base that wasn't dead for anything that wasn't Pokemon just yet and none of the hype the series enjoyed in Japan, so it is possible. Yo-Kai Watch 4 also seems like an easier sell compared to the 3DS games outside of Japan, which is why I'm optimistic.

As for Pokedex anger, I actually don't even see it as a huge factor; just another possibility in a list of possibilities as to how YW4 can find some success.  I don't think millions of people will flock to buy Yo-Kai Watch 4 because of the Pokedex uproar but I do think that for a small amount of those fans, the Pokedex was a big thing that kept them from seeing some of the faults that mainline Pokemon games had and, as a result, may look at something like Yo-Kai Watch 4 with more objectivity.  I don't see it as 'Pokemon vs. Yo-Kai Watch' but rather an event that could give Yo-Kai Watch 4 some free advertising to a couple of thousand people.