Quantcast
Bet your VG$: Which year will the peak-year of the Switch?

Forums - Sales Discussion - Bet your VG$: Which year will the peak-year of the Switch?

         

Which year will be the peak year of the Switch?

2019 7 $1,976.00 24.14%
 
2020 18 $5,038.30 62.07%
 
happened already in 2018 0 $0.00 0.00%
 
later than 2020 4 $1,908.55 13.79%
 
 
Totals: 29 $8,922.85  
Game closed: 06/30/2019

Idk what VG$ are but 2020



"Quagmire, are you the type of guy who takes 'no' for an answer ?"
"My lawyer doesn't allow me to answer that question"

PSN ID: skmblake | Feel free to add me

Around the Network

100 on 2020
Im betting for mini switch next year. Otherwise Id though 2019.



How do you earn VG$?

And about this, I'll think about it for a bit, I think it's gonna be extremely close.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

This year. Pokémon will release and it's going to sell just about as much as it doesn't deserve to.



800 on 2020.



Around the Network

I think it will be after 2021 as Switch + Plus will be hitting its stride by then



I dunno whether or not to bet. I don't want to loose any coins lol. I originally have always thought 2020 would be peak sales, but I have thought deeper into this and started to question if it could be 2019. The thought of loosing coins has made me focus harder lol.

Half of me is saying 2020 cos the sales are still showing no signs in peaking yet. The Next PS5 and Xbox Scarlett won't be out till (probably) November 2020, so the Switch will continue to sell the most its ever sold (in terms of same months from previous years) from January 2020 to end of October 2020. Also Animal Crossing & the Switch's large game-library will drive it's hardware sales throughout 2020.

But the other half of me is saying Pokemon Sword/Shield will be out Christmas 2019 which will drive Switch sales massively over 2019's Christmas period like no other holiday season in the Switch's history. Whereas the PS5 and Xbox Scarlett will be out in Christmas 2020 and they could eat into the Switch's potential sales over the 2020 November/December period where holiday sales are the most vital.

I think Switch sales will peak between Nov-Dec 2019, and also in Jan-Oct 2020 (in terms of same month from other years). So it's a question on what months have the most influence over console sales- Nov-Dec Vs Jan-Oct. 
Because Nov-Dec console sales are typically larger than January-October sales, I might vote 2019. But I want to vote 2020 cos I really love Nintendo.

...I will think about this more before I vote any coins.

I have a feeling that the Switch will sell (on average) 200,000 more per month in Jan-Oct 2020, compared to Jan-Oct 2020, and therefore sell 2 million more in Jan-Oct 2020 compared to Jan-Oct 2019. So if the Switch's sales drop more than 2 million in Nov/Dec 2020 compared to Nov-December 2019 then the Switch won't sell as much in 2020 compared to 2019.
So I'm now on the fence of 2019 winning, but im close to the fence as the Switch's 2020 sales could still depend on what currently-unannounced exclusives Nintendo may release in 2020, and if new Switch model released in 2019 or 2020 (and how expensive the new PS5 and Xbox Scarlett will be on initial release too lol).

Last edited by 00Xander00 - on 19 June 2019

I have (or have/had in the household): ZX-81, Commidore 64, Amega, Sega Master System, Super Nintendo, Sega Megadrive, Gameboy, Playstation, Nintendo 64, Windows 95, Gameboy Colour, Windows 98, Sega Dreamcast, Gameboy Advance, PS2, Gamecube, Xbox, Windows XP, Nintendo DS, Xbox 360, Wii, PS3, Windows Vista, iPhone, Windows 7, 3DS, Wii U, PS4, Windows 10 & PSVR. Plus, I will be getting the New Nintendo Switch sometime in 2019 :D

and I Don't have: Magnovox Odyssey, Any Atari's, Any Macintosh computers, Nes, Sega Gamegear, Virtual Boy, Sega Saturn, N-gage, Xbox One, PSP, PSVita & Andoid Phone. Plus any non-main-stream consoles/platforms I haven't mentioned.

100 on 20



2019

Why? Pokemon Sword and Shield and the fact that playstation and xbox are both in a lull this holiday. Nintendo has the market all to themselves for the most part.



flashfire926 said:
How do you earn VG$?

Basically being active on VGChartz. GameDB-activity gives you VG$, so does increasing your user-level. And if you risk you VG$, in the Prediciton league or in thread bets like here. If you bet right you win VG$ back.

00Xander00 said:

I dunno whether or not to bet. I don't want to loose any coins lol. I originally have always thought 2020 would be peak sales, but I have thought deeper into this and started to question if it could be 2019. The thought of loosing coins has made me focus harder lol.

That's why I think for questions like these posed in this thread a bet is better than a poll.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018

Predictions: Switch / Switch vs. XB1 in the US / Three Houses first quarter