I don't think we'll get a new Mario Bros on Switch. We've already got a WiiU Port and Mario Maker. Next on the list is 3d Land/World esque game, either port or new. Though I'd prefer Odyssey 2.

I always thought that the peak is this year. Nintendo is peaking now until Pokemon. After the first months of Pokemon sales, the peak is gone. Nintendo usually peaks earlier and NSW has all the attributes to an early "peaker" device.

There's a chance that after Pokemon, Nintendo will release number 2 of all its first party titles again, then third party will move away from them making next-gen games for the home consoles, then they will get to draughts until next system.

I think what's far more likely is More unique games and series from the handhelds. As for third parties, the Switch won't be as left out as you think.AAA games are becoming fewer and fewer each generation due to how expensive they are to make now. Not to mention, 8th gen consoles will continue to be supported for quite a while after 9th gen since they already have a built-in audience and are still very easy for smaller teams to support. So the Switch will continue to get most of everything that's not AAA.

Zelda averaged 4m the bulk of BOTW's sales are newcomers to the series this is because BOTW's approach is closer to games like GTA where even if you've never followed the franchise it's still easy to jump into and have fun, the fans already have it argument doesn't really work here as BOTW's approach appeals to a much bigger group than Zelda fans.

I think it will be even tbh. Around 19-20 million both years. If I had to give a slight edge, it would be 2019

I don't think Switch will peak later then 2019.

Nearly zero chance of that happening without price cut and I'm not counting on it happening either in the long-term. By the end of this year, the vast majority of Nintendo's leading game franchises will have released thus the Switch will likely end up experiencing sagging sales next year ...

For the last 2 major Zelda titles (Skywatd Sword and Breath of the Wild) weren't there a few years between the initial announcement and the eventual release?

I mean, I'd love to see BotW 2 sooner rather than later but I'd be amazed if it comes out in 2020.

We're assuming that PS5 and Scarlet don't hit some snag: Sony's done enough dumb things recently that a new 'Giant Enemy Crab for 600 USD' is possible, and Halo I. seems to be having a reception issue.

To me the question is what will third party support be after the next gen consoles launch. Porting Doom and Witcher 3 are huge achievements despite their graphical downgrades. But if systems 3-5 times as powerful as the XB1X become the norm then those ports will become so impossible even Panic Button won't be able to do it.

The rumors of a new upgraded Switch model may help, but the boost in power and new hardware features needed to receive ports of 9th gen games would be insane, practically a generational leap over the current model. I don't see how Nintendo can release an upgrade powerful enough to keep up while not abandoning those who bought a Switch over the first 3 years of its lifespan, since if it released such a model then 9th-gen games that came to the Switch would be exclusive to the newer model. I guess they dipped their toe in that with the Nu3DS, but outside of the SNES virtual console and Xenoblade that had very little that was exclusive to it.