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Nintendo FY2018 results, Switch 34.74M, Software 187.52M

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo FY2018 results, Switch 34.74M, Software 187.52M

Is this year expected to be Switch´s peak year?... they´re only expecting 18m for this year, so if it turns out this year is indeed Switch´s peak, does that seem underwhelming to you guys?



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Dulfite said:
Rather than focusing on the fact that they missed their lofty goal, can we not simply appreciate how far the switch has come compared to Wii U? Only the Wii after the GameCube was probably a greater comeback in gaming history.

Yeah but did the Wii really have a great impact on gaming history ?

I think what the Switch achieves here is more important for gaming history 



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haxxiy said:
DonFerrari said:
Good numbers, specially on SW.
But seems like the "pessimistic" won, they didn't hit the target for FY18 and their forecast for this year is 18M, so very far from 20-25M some were expecting here. At least 18M I believe is easily achievable by them, but doesn't seem like they'll pass PS4 at the end of cycle.

It was always a pipe dream, considering we do know how much the Wii and the 3DS sold in this very site and could make a reasonable estimate. But VGC has been like this for Nintendo hardware for over ten years already, if you want to know.

Software, on the other hand, seems pretty good. Except for the Yoshi game, which deserved more.

Edit - oh, that's just Yoshi's initial shipment. Didn't realize it had just released haha. So that's good.

20M I think is achievable this year, 25M was the too much optimism for me.

SW really is where it is shining a lot.

It still early to estimate what will be the end total, but 80-100M seems a safety bracket.

Dulfite said:
Rather than focusing on the fact that they missed their lofty goal, can we not simply appreciate how far the switch has come compared to Wii U? Only the Wii after the GameCube was probably a greater comeback in gaming history.

Some would say PS3 was the greatest comeback because it was made within the own generation without having to kill prematurely and cause all the discussions of Switch being gen 9.



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DonFerrari said:
haxxiy said:

It was always a pipe dream, considering we do know how much the Wii and the 3DS sold in this very site and could make a reasonable estimate. But VGC has been like this for Nintendo hardware for over ten years already, if you want to know.

Software, on the other hand, seems pretty good. Except for the Yoshi game, which deserved more.

Edit - oh, that's just Yoshi's initial shipment. Didn't realize it had just released haha. So that's good.

20M I think is achievable this year, 25M was the too much optimism for me.

SW really is where it is shining a lot.

It still early to estimate what will be the end total, but 80-100M seems a safety bracket.

Dulfite said:
Rather than focusing on the fact that they missed their lofty goal, can we not simply appreciate how far the switch has come compared to Wii U? Only the Wii after the GameCube was probably a greater comeback in gaming history.

Some would say PS3 was the greatest comeback because it was made within the own generation without having to kill prematurely and cause all the discussions of Switch being gen 9.

Moving from 3rd place to 2nd place is the greatest comeback in gaming history?



Kinda lame that Switch didn't quite reach the revised goal of 17m, but 16.95m isn't far off from my own expectations, because sell-through was bound to be higher than shipments for the most recent quarter. For some perspective, the PS4 shipped 17.7m units in its second full fiscal year, aided by a $50 price cut. So while Switch sales might seem disappointing due to the high expectations that were set initially with the 20m forecast, Switch remains in the position to sell more units than the PS4 in its lifetime. After all, Switch has yet to truly harness the handheld market which was never going to happen at $300.

The forecast of 18m for the current fiscal year is exactly the number I expected, because it makes sense to be more conservative after last year's forecast that counted on all optimistic events to become true didn't pan out as planned. Switch sell-through momentum going into the current fiscal year is better all around the world compared to one year ago, a guaranteed 5m+ seller is scheduled for a late June release as opposed to last year where it took until October. On top of that, a price reduction is due because no console has gone more than three years before it got its first price cut; said price reduction will most likely go hand in hand with a revision which is currently rumored to launch by the end of June, but we'll have to wait and see.

It's unlikely that 2019 will be Switch's peak year, because price cuts down the line will Switch turn into a personal item, so multiple units per household will become much more common than they are right now. That's the thing that most people forget about Switch: They believe that Switch is selling like a Nintendo handheld, but in reality its sales up till now are first and foremost those of a home console. As far as longevity is concerned, that depends on how long Nintendo and third parties will make games for it. Nintendo has no other console to support anymore, so the typical dip in sales that many people are expecting isn't going to happen, because next up for Nintendo's top developers is their second Switch game whereas in the past they made a game for a different console. Third party support has been steadily improving, so each and every week will continue to see lots of new releases where worthwhile games aren't going to be rare occurences.



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Hmm, well they technically barely missed their forecast by 50K so I don't know how disapppointing it actually should be but they sure had better sell-through this quarter overall so it is clear they were just getting the excess of shipments for the holiday season out of the way.

As usual, their software is THE beast though. SSBU has become the best seller in the franchise while MK8DX has already shipped 16,67M units :O Botw continue to impress with some massive legs and other stuff like Splatoon 2, Super Mario Odyssey cruises along the way.

Also might I say how glad I am that Yoshi shipped more than 1M copies in it's first 2 days !



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I'm less certain of a Switch Mini from their forecast. We could see a revision of those prediction if a mini hit the market. Maybe they won't reduce price this year.



Did not expect Labo to be a million seller.

And they did just over a trillion yen in net sales (unless I'm reading the report wrong).

1 trillion yen = ~ 9 billion USD



RaptorChrist said:
Did not expect Labo to be a million seller.

And they did just over a trillion yen in net sales (unless I'm reading the report wrong).

1 trillion yen = ~ 9 billion USD

Only Nintendo that can sell 1million cardboard. 



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RaptorChrist said:
Did not expect Labo to be a million seller.

And they did just over a trillion yen in net sales (unless I'm reading the report wrong).

1 trillion yen = ~ 9 billion USD

Total Labo shipments were 1.39m during the quarter that the Variety Kit and Robot Kit released in. Of those 1.39m, the lion share went to the Variety Kit. It was basically a million seller (or at least very close to it) during its launch quarter, but saw virtually no additional shipments since then.

Last edited by RolStoppable - on 25 April 2019

Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club