predictors/variables are rather weak:
1. power - we've seen horse power has never been the deciding factor towards which console manufacturer comes out on top
2. future proof: other than the power argument, not sure there is anything else to it at this point in time (that we know of)
3. predecessor: while this is somewhat true for Sony (with the minor exception that is the PS3), we know that for a fact the previous gen's sales predicts rather poorly new console sales
4. NS & its lack of power/resolution, again, this goes back to point number 1. Also 4K TV these days support hdmi , so not sure why it is claimed that future TV's won't accept its input format, unless the OP meant that the NS's resolution is lower than what is supported by 4(and >)K TVs and as such NS sales will be adversely impacted. I don't think there is a consensus (or the vaguest clue for that matter) around this, not yet anyway
I would suggest wait till more info is available before making predictions, a few other predictors I can think of that might help more than the factors mentioned in the OG post:
price, price, price
ease of dev
targeted segment (the twin console era for example)
etc