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March NPD 2019 thread

Forums - Sales Discussion - March NPD 2019 thread

I am glad my pessimism was wrong. All consoles did better than I predicted, but they are still a bit low when combined.



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update hardware leaks.
Any leaks about software i missed?



thismeintiel said:
Marth said:
Switch: 383k
PS4: 253k
XB1: 221k

YoY
Switch: +24%
Ps4: -29%
XB1: -26%
thismeintiel said: 

NS - 350K
PS4 - 275K
XBO - 210K

Hmm, not too far off this month. Looks like those $249 XBO bundles are doing alright in brick and mortar, because XBO has little presence on Amazon recently.  Which really makes me wonder, what the hell is even the point of the discless version. You're getting much less  for the same price as a normal XBO. If it had a 4TB HDD, then ok, but it doesn't.

It's for the holidays probably. MS said that they will keep a $50 differrence in MSRP and last Holiday the S was going for $180. They probably want to hit that $130 pricepoint for the late gen buyers.



jason1637 said:
thismeintiel said:

Hmm, not too far off this month. Looks like those $249 XBO bundles are doing alright in brick and mortar, because XBO has little presence on Amazon recently.  Which really makes me wonder, what the hell is even the point of the discless version. You're getting much less  for the same price as a normal XBO. If it had a 4TB HDD, then ok, but it doesn't.

It's for the holidays probably. MS said that they will keep a $50 differrence in MSRP and last Holiday the S was going for $180. They probably want to hit that $130 pricepoint for the late gen buyers.

And not only the holidays. MS keeps having $50 off-1 week promotions pretty every month.

And that without taking into account that we are talking about MSRP here. And since the regular X1S pretty much always can be found for $249 if you look around, I would assume in a couple of months you'll be able to find the SAD edition for around $199 pretty easily.



jason1637 said:
thismeintiel said:

Hmm, not too far off this month. Looks like those $249 XBO bundles are doing alright in brick and mortar, because XBO has little presence on Amazon recently.  Which really makes me wonder, what the hell is even the point of the discless version. You're getting much less  for the same price as a normal XBO. If it had a 4TB HDD, then ok, but it doesn't.

It's for the holidays probably. MS said that they will keep a $50 differrence in MSRP and last Holiday the S was going for $180. They probably want to hit that $130 pricepoint for the late gen buyers.

I guess that makes sense.  Personally, I would spend the extra $50 and get the 4K drive, and all the benefits that comes with.  Anyway, you would think with them keeping their sales of $249 for the regular S SKUs going, $199 would have been a much better price.  As it is, this thing isn't even going to cause a blip when it releases.  It's not even in the Top 1,500 Hourly for video games on Amazon.



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thismeintiel said:
jason1637 said:

It's for the holidays probably. MS said that they will keep a $50 differrence in MSRP and last Holiday the S was going for $180. They probably want to hit that $130 pricepoint for the late gen buyers.

I guess that makes sense.  Personally, I would spend the extra $50 and get the 4K drive, and all the benefits that comes with.  Anyway, you would think with them keeping their sales of $249 for the regular S SKUs going, $199 would have been a much better price.  As it is, this thing isn't even going to cause a blip when it releases.  It's not even in the Top 1,500 Hourly for video games on Amazon.

If I didnt have a Xbox One already I'd probably would get the digital edition if it were $50 cheaper because I only have like 6 physical games and i own them digitally also anyway. I rarely buy physical games and I know lots of people who are the same.



jason1637 said:
thismeintiel said:

I guess that makes sense.  Personally, I would spend the extra $50 and get the 4K drive, and all the benefits that comes with.  Anyway, you would think with them keeping their sales of $249 for the regular S SKUs going, $199 would have been a much better price.  As it is, this thing isn't even going to cause a blip when it releases.  It's not even in the Top 1,500 Hourly for video games on Amazon.

If I didnt have a Xbox One already I'd probably would get the digital edition if it were $50 cheaper because I only have like 6 physical games and i own them digitally also anyway. I rarely buy physical games and I know lots of people who are the same.

Like I mentioned, if they were going with $249, knowing full well they were still selling their XBO S SKUs for the same price (and probably will for the foreseeable future, so the sales don't plummet) a 4TB HDD was a necessity to justify the purchase.  Right now, you can pay less for the drive one and still go all digital. Maybe save the drive for 4K movies and playing B/C Xbox and 360 games.  I don't know what the marketing department was thinking on this one.  They even lacked the foresight to not name it the XBO SAD.



The Switch is just a beast at this point



Marth said:
Switch: 383k
PS4: 253k
XB1: 221k

YoY
Switch: +24%
Ps4: -29%
XB1: -26%

Well, my PS4 estimate was spot on, though I underestimated the Switch and XBO by quite a bit.

I'll have to do a bunch of number-crunching, especially since it's the end of a quarter. I'll try to put some charts out some time tomorrow. I still have to eat dinner tonight, plus I wanted to give Mortal Kombat 11 a spin before I go to bed.



Mar1217 said:
Here we go for another try at predicting the most accurately I can :

Switch : 345K
PS4 : 260K
Xbone : 185K
Marth said:
Switch: 383k
PS4: 253k
XB1: 221k

YoY
Switch: +24%
Ps4: -29%
XB1: -26%

I underestimated both the Switch and Xbone by about 40K each while quasi spot-on with my PS4 prediction. It's not too bad I say since I prefer to underestimate my prediction than the other way around ^^

But yeah, kind of crazy how much the Switch has been dominating the year without even touching it's MSRP and still in it's lowest software period of the year. Summer's gonna blast us all :O



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