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Forums - Politics Discussion - Official 2020 US Election: Democratic Party Discussion

HylianSwordsman said:

Since he's likely going to miss every debate and get forgotten now, I just wanted to plug Mike Gravel one last time. He was never going to win, but he deserved better. Here's a cool interview he did, where he talks about the establishment of a Legislature of the People, which is about what it sounds like, a legislative body that works as a more direct democracy than our representative democracy we currently live under. He also talks about being anti-war, pro Green New Deal, and says that one of his big issues is denuclearization. He notes that we're planning on spending $1.7 trillion(!) on renovating and expanding our nuclear arsenal, and that if past trends of double cost overruns with the military persist here, we could end up wasting $4 trillion on a weapon that would kill us all if we ever used it. The interview article calls him the Anti-Joe Biden. He's a really interesting candidate and it's a shame we won't hear more from him.

https://www.jacobinmag.com/2019/06/mike-gravel-interview-2020-presidential-election

Isnt he the one that said that he doesnt want ot be President but is just running to spread these policies? IIRC his twitter is ran by 2 teenage boys that convinced him to rum.



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jason1637 said:
Jumpin said:

I'm not American, so I am not accustomed to this sort of media. Do you not see that as cruel and disrespectful?

Nah not really. It's a bit mean spirited but they gave pretty valid reasons why they have these opinions.

In most western European media, that would have been considered as a clear attack and that she doesn't care of journalistic values - and would probably been fired on the spot. The only ones who can do something similar are comedians, but at least they do it in good faith, not as a smear.



haxxiy said:
Mnementh said:

Education is always a good answer, as education gives real power into the hand of people. But as always, if you have rich parents, you have much better chances for good education. Tuition free college and student debt cancellation are steps in the right direction here.

But overall, and this is not only a problem in America, it is for most of the developed world: moderate politicians in all these countries have cozied up with big corporations and their interests. Thta may differ in the detail (which industry and how far the politicians are willing to go), but the general trend is there. As the world changes - and as Andrew Yang correctly diagnosed it is because of automation - more and more blue collar workers are left behind.

The right-wing tries to blame the immigrants, and it is the same around the world: Victor Orban in Hungary, Le Pen in France, the AfD in Germany, Trump in the US - they all blame the problems on the immigrants.

That's why I love Bill de Blasios comment in the first debate: "The immigrants didn't do that to you. The big corporations did that to you!"

It is not enough to say the right wing and their fear mongering about imigrants is wrong. You have to offer hope, a way forward, an option for change (see how that contains Obamas promises Hope and Change, which he didn't fulfill). But that means you have to kick the big corporations in the ass. Many centrists aren't willing to do that. So they cannot offer a way forward, they can only offer platitudes. Or war (you realize how many centrists talk in favor of military intervention as a "human" thing). So the alternative to Trump, Orban, Le Pen are politicians that are willing to take on big corporations. Like Bernie Sanders. But the centrists actually fear them, as they currently can present themself as the alternative to the right wing. If Lefties can be an established alternative, no one needs centrists anymore.

There is a joke I know: "A banker, a worker and an immigrant sit at a table with 10 cookies. The banker takes 9 cookies and says to the worker: The immigrant wants to steal your cookie!"

A lot of left wing parties in Europe and elsewhere make Bernie Sanders look like a corporate bureaucrat. None are gaining significantly in votes. The only one who came to power, in Greece, is fading fast and losing ground to the centrists. On the other hand, a lot of parties like the Greens in Germany, the LibDems in UK etc. are cosmopolitan parties who specifically apeal to immigrants and younger, highly educated voters and are often supplanting traditional alternatives to the left and even the more extreme parties I mentioned before.

If this argument against corporations etc. can't take off in Europe, there's zero chance it will in the US, where growth and wage growth are far higher than in Europe, with lower unemployment. I think you have severely overestimated the size of this "left behind" blue collar group and its electoral impact. In fact, poverty in Appalachia etc. is at an all-time low, nowhere close to the severe economic depression it suffered in the middle of the past century. It just so happens these people are in the same states where poorly educated Whites exist in large numbers.

Case in point, Maine and Iowa shifting strongly to Trump despite diversified economies in good condition. And Reagan, of all people being elected during the time information technologies were eliminating millions of clerical jobs in banking etc. And nowadays, according to polls, 68% of the American population disagreeing with the idea of breaking up large corporations and going against the free market.

Are you correct on this? Look, you can pick a lot of economical data to tell different stories. At the time of Reagan the job-loss through automation was at the start, most people didn't feel threatened yet. This did change over time. And another point is: empoyment data might be well, but for which price. How many people now have to work two, three jobs to support their family? There actually was a time, then one person could feed a complete family with one blue collar job. This isn't happening anymore for many people. So the employment statistics might fool you. The job-loss through automation didn't always led into complete unemployment, but they led into lesser paid jobs.

And you have to ask, where economic success land. In the past years more and more at the few richest people:

(source)

So the top 0.1% of families already owns over 20% of the overall wealth in the US, a number not reached since the 1930s.

A common measurement to show inequalities (wealth, income or whatever) is the Gini-index. It too tells us, that we reach the 20s and 30s again in welth distribution:

(source)

Again we see a rising inequality.

And yes, that actually means people are left behind. If you capture overall economic data, it doesn't show how this is distributed. But these graphs show, that actually the success of the economy is resulting less and less in something tangible for the poor. So the rich people tell on media how everything is fine, the economy is well, while many people around the country feel an intellectual dissonance, as the proclaimed success of the economy isn't felt by them.

That is what I mean by the feeling to be left behind. It is not only a feeling, many people are actually left behind. And as long as the democratic establishment is denying this, these people might fall for politicians portaying an easy scapegoat: immigrants (and as I said, immigrant-scapegoating is a common theme around the world for right-wing politicians).

So you don't get these people back as democratic electors, without giving them some different explanation. And the explanation is quite easy and obvious: the big corporations and the rich people owning them are taking up more and more of the economic gains. But a strong part of the democratic party (and other politicians around the world) are denying this fact. This leaves the door open for the right-wing populists.



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First of all, I'd like to apologize to everyone here for my previous positive remarks about Marianne Williamson. She struck me as a complete, and furthermore highly arrogant and annoying, loon on the debate stage and clearly didn't belong there. In my defense, my initial impression of her was based on this interview by Kasie Hunt wherein, as you can see, she seemed 500,000% more competent. The main thing that drew me to her campaign was the second half of that interview where she discussed foreign policy and embraced the kind of nuanced, complex view of it that I have. At various points, she spoke disapprovingly obviously of the Iraq War and (in a separate interview) of our support for Saudi Arabia's war on Yemen, but also insisted that we should continue to offer support to the Kurdish anarchists in Syria until they have successfully unified their armies and proposed a unique position on what we should do vis-a-vis our ongoing role in Afghanistan: that we should survey Afghan women on what our future role in the country should be, given that they have the most to lose from the legitimization of the Taliban that any peace agreement with the Taliban would yield. I instantly liked her after that because the other Democrats are all embracing less nuanced foreign policy views that I agree with less. So she DOES have a brain in there somewhere, I promise! But she's absolutely abysmal in the debate format wherein she can't speak on her own terms...or, you know, stick to the topic at hand and offer policy solutions apparently.

But I think one of the takeaways from this second debate night for me was that, not just Marianne Williamson, but simply put, people with no governing experience in general aren't qualified for the highest office in the land. Speaking of which, I've heard a lot about Andrew Yang and had seen a couple interviews with him where I thought he was okay (he was never a favorite of mine) I guess before the debate, but the debate clarified for me that he shouldn't be running. Don't get me wrong: he's a nice guy and I actually agree with the idea of establishing a universal guaranteed income that he's running on. But what I came away with from hearing him talk was that he's a businessman who talks like one and that I think is a problem for him. For example, when he was asked early on how he would finance his universal guaranteed income policy, I found I could barely understand anything in his explanation because it was offered in the language of The Economist magazine, not English. I also just think that one-issue campaigns are always misguided (including that of Washington Governor Jay Inslee too). Mr. Yang explained in his closing remarks that a one-issue campaign such as his can bring together "a much broader coalition" than the other candidates are capable of building to defeat President Trump. Based on the long history of one-issue presidential campaigns I've seen so far in my 37 years of living, I disagree with that logic. While single-issue campaigns offend few people, they also galvanize few people, which is why they always fail, and badly.

Also, many have spoken about the minimal air time Andrew Yang got, partially as the result of his polite refusal to interrupt other candidates and rigid dedication to the official speaking time limits. That tack showed him to be a nice guy, but also left me with the impression that the hyper-aggressive Donald Trump would eat him alive in the debates next year if he were nominated; like Yang wouldn't be able to get a word in edgewise because he wouldn't fight any of Trump's inevitable interruptions and attacks. I think you have to be more assertive than what Mr. Yang displayed Thursday night to defeat someone like Trump.

Anyway, and I hope I don't sound terribly elitist for suggesting this, but I've really come to feel after these debates that, between candidates like these and our current president, it would really behoove us to elect somebody who is capable of doing the job this time and who halfway understands what it entails. There are a lot of candidates in this field who can offer that. After watching these debates, here are my personal favorites, in order of preference:

1) Elizabeth Warren
2) Kirsten Gillibrand (though she won't win)
3) Kamala Harris
4) Bernie Sanders

Nobody else running is seriously in my realm of consideration at this point. I mean Julian Castro and Cory Booker proved themselves, for example, to be very competent candidates and I liked Tim Ryan's spirit at least, but I'm voting for someone not just based on their level of competence, but also based on the extent to which I agree with them on the issues and the above four candidates I find the most agreeable by the right combination of both of those metrics. I also really, really want our next president to be a woman -- someone who can understand and relate to someone like me better than our current rapist in chief -- so sorry if that offends anyone.

Speaking of Kirsten Gillibrand, yeah I figured she'd get nowhere from the outset, but she's a highly competent candidate who is broadly aligned with a lot of my own thinking on the issues, as well as a lot of my general priorities. I get that people are annoyed by the fact that she interrupted other candidates a few times in Thursday's debate to get in on the conversation, but contrast that sentiment to how people are complaining about the fact that Andrew Yang didn't! I think there's a double-standard there in people's expectations. The reality of the matter is that Kirsten Gillibrand was polling well below 1% support going into the debate and was virtually invisible in the media and accordingly needed to get people's attention in some way. She knew she needed the visibility this debate would provide her with badly and that this was one of only two such chances to gain traction and probably the better of them and hence I think calculated that there was greater risk in remaining invisible. She clearly had spent an inordinate amount of time preparing for this debate and knew that she had to make herself as visible as possible therein.

As to the complaint the she wrongly attached herself to Bernie Sanders...yeah okay, again, she stood at less than 1% in the polls going in while Bernie was averaging 16.6% according to Real Clear Politics, so I think she figured that even if only one-tenth of Bernie Sanders voters gave her a second look as a result, that would be an improvement for her campaign. Indeed, really all the candidates who have been judged as having fared well in these debates have accomplished that feat in part by attaching themselves to another, better-known rival in some way, like Kamala Harris did vis-a-vis Joe Biden, Julian Castro did vis-a-vis Beto O'Rourke, etc. etc.

That said, I don't think Gillibrand has a chance because, after Hillary Clinton, I think that Democratic voters are just simply biased against the idea of nominating a full-time feminist candidate. Part-time feminists like Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren are acceptable, but not women who prioritize women's issues, even if from an otherwise completely different worldview than what Clinton represented. A lot of the answers she gave SHOULD have earned her a bigger response in the room by all logic.

What other commentary to offer here? Oh! Hey @KLAMarine, remember when you explained to me before the debates began about how Biden totally does support racially integrated busing now? Did you check out the highlight from Thursday night's debate by chance to see confirmed which of us was right? It was only the single most defining exchange of the whole event! Just thought I'd point out how wrong you were. And @HylianSwordsman, I think my previously-voiced concerns about the Democrats potentially gravitating toward actual confiscation of guns were borne out more fully in the second debate night wherein one candidate actually proposed to do exactly that (Eric Swalwell). Although Swalwell's proposal only related to assault weapons and thus wouldn't affect me, I think that any attempt at actually confiscating firearms in this country is very dangerous when you have lots of heavily armed militias out there openly threatening to start a civil war if federal agents come for their guns. Our situation, in that regard, is very different from that of other countries that have more or less disarmed their populations. I think we have to be more careful and embrace a moderate approach to reducing the volume of guns in circulation here (like reasonable purchasing regulations and voluntary gun buyback programs), even when it comes to assault weapons.

Also, a lot has been said about Tulsi Gabbard of late here. My thoughts on her are that she strikes as...well it's as if Michael Flynn were running for president. She strikes me not so much as anti-war as downright anti-Western with how she doesn't just oppose American military interventions in the abstract, but actually praises foreign dictators and police states and the wars they fight against their own populations. I saw one interview where she explained how supposedly we (the United States) were supporting "Al Qaeda" (her term for ISIS) in Syria by not actively supporting the glorious regime of Bashir Al Assad and his heroic chemical weapon strikes and application of rape as a weapon of war. He's such a great guy who has just been fighting "terrorists"! Apparently, Kurdish anarchists fighting (and at this point successfully defeating) ISIS on the one hand and "Al Qaeda" on the other are the same thing in her mind. She promises a "century of peace" if elected to a four-to-eight-year presidency. I seriously think she might be getting paid. I don't get the internet's passion for this candidate. It scares me a little. She's probably the single most genuinely dangerous candidate.

Last edited by Jaicee - on 30 June 2019

New poll.


Biden still has a strong lead, Harris is at 3rd place now, and DeBlasio finally hit 1%.



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Woo de Blasio!
I was a fan of his “Elizabeth Warren’s attack dog” strategy in the first night =)

He’s clearly running for Vice President.

Jaicee, I really liked Gillibrand, but she came off to me as much more of an economic progressive rather than a social justice priority type. I don’t really know much about her, but it seemed her focus was environmentalism and universal healthcare.

I actually liked Williamson and began following her social media as a result. I agree she shouldn’t be President, but I think she has value and direction. I wonder if she’d universally legalize marijuana in the US?

...or ayahuasca =)

Last edited by Jumpin - on 30 June 2019

I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

jason1637 said:
New poll.
Biden still has a strong lead, Harris is at 3rd place now, and DeBlasio finally hit 1%.

Biden had 38% in the last poll, so he took a major hit. Harris is up from 6% to 12%. de Blasio had 1% before in Morning Consult.

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

Last edited by Mnementh - on 30 June 2019

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jason1637 said:
New poll.
Biden still has a strong lead, Harris is at 3rd place now, and DeBlasio finally hit 1%.

That's -5 for Biden, -1 Buttigieg, +6 Harris, -2 O'Rouke, and surprisingly -1 for Warren.

Also surprisingly Castro still sits at 1%. It's almost as if nobody remembered the first debate...



Jaicee said:

Speaking of Kirsten Gillibrand, yeah I figured she'd get nowhere from the outset, but she's a highly competent candidate who is broadly aligned with a lot of my own thinking on the issues, as well as a lot of my general priorities. I get that people are annoyed by the fact that she interrupted other candidates a few times in Thursday's debate to get in on the conversation, but contrast that sentiment to how people are complaining about the fact that Andrew Yang didn't! I think there's a double-standard there in people's expectations. The reality of the matter is that Kirsten Gillibrand was polling well below 1% support going into the debate and was virtually invisible in the media and accordingly needed to get people's attention in some way. She knew she needed the visibility this debate would provide her with badly and that this was one of only two such chances to gain traction and probably the better of them and hence I think calculated that there was greater risk in remaining invisible. She clearly had spent an inordinate amount of time preparing for this debate and knew that she had to make herself as visible as possible therein.

As to the complaint the she wrongly attached herself to Bernie Sanders...yeah okay, again, she stood at less than 1% in the polls going in while Bernie was averaging 16.6% according to Real Clear Politics, so I think she figured that even if only one-tenth of Bernie Sanders voters gave her a second look as a result, that would be an improvement for her campaign. Indeed, really all the candidates who have been judged as having fared well in these debates have accomplished that feat in part by attaching themselves to another, better-known rival in some way, like Kamala Harris did vis-a-vis Joe Biden, Julian Castro did vis-a-vis Beto O'Rourke, etc. etc.

Actually my impression of Gillibrand improved strong after the debate. That includes that she inserted herself into discussion, I am not mad at her because she had something to say as she did so. Also that she cozied up to Sanders was a plus in my book, I understood her the first time as an economic progressive. You have to see, the most I knew about her before, was that she took donations from big money (negative) or that she helped bring down Al Franken (positive). Other than that I didn't knew much about her. Know I know she is strong in favor of medicare for all. That I do like a lot.



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jason1637 said:
New poll.
Biden still has a strong lead, Harris is at 3rd place now, and DeBlasio finally hit 1%.

I'm not sure that these 538 polls OF DEBATE VIEWERS are necessarily a wholly accurate reflection of where public opinion is. I noticed that, going into the debates, 538's poll of the viewership had 41% of them supporting Biden, whereas his Real Clear Politics polling average at the time was 32%. So, in other words, Biden supporters were more likely to watch the debates than those of some of the other candidates. In other words, let's see what other polls of ALL Democratic-leaning voters have to say. We'll assuredly see the first of those this coming week. I suspect they'll generally find Biden's national poll numbers to have fallen into the 20s.