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Official 2020 US Election: Democratic Party Discussion

Forums - Politics Discussion - Official 2020 US Election: Democratic Party Discussion

Great post Mnementh. Looking at those who haven't qualified for the third debate it looks like Yang, Booker, and Gabbard are probably gonna end up qualifying.
Cory was smart to go on the attack last week against Biden since it's garnering him more press. I feel like he'll do good in tonights debate.
Also it's crazy that Biden only has 8k more donors than Yang. Says a lot about how far Yang has come and how much of an establishment candidate Biden is.



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CosmicSex said:
One thing that annoys me about the process is the polling. First, I never get asked and second, some polls only track people with landlines... which is like nearly no one. I cant think of a more inaccurate method... oh but I'm sure there is one lol.

This is false for many years already, and Nate Silvers from 538 has extensively discussed about it if you want to check for yourself. In fact the last landline-only polls as a relevant source of data in the US date to 2008 - 2010 when they were recognizably dissonant from election results by the media, anyway.

Not to mention polls work with statistical samples to portray reality. Out of a population of 300,000,000 adults, the chances you are polled in an election cycle, if there's some 200,000 people interviewed between all of the polls, is about 0.0066%.



 

 

 

 

 

Mnementh said:

endorsements

For this I take the data from the 538-endorsement-tracker. They apply each office a point-value, based on importance. The above graph shows the point-value of the endorsements and a percentage of the complete pool. Overall just 16% of the possible endorsements are taken, so there is room for change. Maybe the debates will bring in new endorsements.

You switched Cory Booker and Kamala Harris, FYI.



Debate stream is up. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJ6MrDO0kgY



So far, all candidates have done well.



Massimus - "Trump already has democrat support."

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Beto has got destroyed by DeBlasio, Delaney and Castro.



jason1637 said:
Debate stream is up. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJ6MrDO0kgY

Watching in on NBC instead, since they have also a liveticker factchecking their claims.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/live-blog/first-democratic-debate-2019-live-updates-night-one-n1021236



jason1637 said:

Beto has got destroyed by DeBlasio, Delaney and Castro.

Yeah, at this rate he'll be the big loser over the day

Maybe then he'll run as senator for Texas again. The Democrats need more Senators, not presidential candidates.



Trumps reaction:

And that's just the start of a slew of posts

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 26 June 2019

SpokenTruth said:
So far, all candidates have done well.

I have a hard time agreeing in regards to Beto. A yes or no question becomes a 2 minute story that still doesn't answer the question