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Will Mario Maker 2 become a 10+ million seller?

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I predict it will sell...

Less than 10 million 22 20.56%
 
Over 10 million 85 79.44%
 
Total:107

Yes, but it'll take at least between 2 years and half or 3 to reach the milestone.



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I think it will. Mario Maker is the only Wii U game that still has an active community and that community will quickly (have to) switch over to the new title. If Nintendo can highlight to the not-so-hardcore new Switch owners that you can play a lot of levels and not just create them, this will be an evergreen title. The audience of people who want to make Mario levels may be limited. But the audience of people who want to play them is huge.



I think it probably will. It was a game that was really held back by the lackluster WiiU, but people were interested, and it was one of the only things on WiiU that actually saw some hype.

Personally I loved the original, and before Breath of the Wild it was easily my most played WiiU game. Building levels was great! I’ll get the second game as well, but I am wondering how much I’ll be able to play without an online subscription...



i say its even going to do 15m life time. First game was popular as hell on a console no one cared about. Now you stick that winning formula on a device people care for? oh ya its gonna sell tons



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Yes. Mario Maker sold 4+ million copies on the WiiU, so it can certainly make more on a console that will have many times the WiiU's numbers.



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According to VGC Super Mario Maker sold 3.45 million copies on WiiU and 3.23 million on 3DS (most of the owners of the two versions are probably the same). Given, with digital sales on WiiU might be at 4 million. But selling more double and half in the next installment seems a bit much.

For comparison: VGC has Splatoon at 4.71 million, Nintendo reported Splatoon 2 at 8.27 million copies end of December. So a software that was a new IP on WiiU like Mario Maker, that has sold more on WiiU and got like Mario Maker an expanded sequel. Yet, it failed to reach 10M. And it seems unlikely Splatoon will get there, 2M left is a big chunk of sales to make.

So no, I think it is unlikely Mario Maker 2 will reach 10 million. It is very likely it will sell more than 5 million, it may even double sales, but 10M seems to far out of reach.



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Darwinianevolution said:
Yes. Mario Maker sold 4+ million copies on the WiiU, so it can certainly make more on a console that will have many times the WiiU's numbers.

Perhaps it will beat the Wii U version in 1 month. 



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Mnementh said:
According to VGC Super Mario Maker sold 3.45 million copies on WiiU and 3.23 million on 3DS (most of the owners of the two versions are probably the same). Given, with digital sales on WiiU might be at 4 million. But selling more double and half in the next installment seems a bit much.

For comparison: VGC has Splatoon at 4.71 million, Nintendo reported Splatoon 2 at 8.27 million copies end of December. So a software that was a new IP on WiiU like Mario Maker, that has sold more on WiiU and got like Mario Maker an expanded sequel. Yet, it failed to reach 10M. And it seems unlikely Splatoon will get there, 2M left is a big chunk of sales to make.

So no, I think it is unlikely Mario Maker 2 will reach 10 million. It is very likely it will sell more than 5 million, it may even double sales, but 10M seems to far out of reach.

It’s 2D Mario, and the first new 2D Mario on Switch. That’s enough said imo



No. It's a level editor and will rely on usergenerated content. Most fans of 2D Mario will skip the game because they want professional content AND coherent world building, that's why the included professional levels in Super Mario Maker 2 won't be good enough.



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