Quantcast
PS4/XBO/NS - 2018 vs. 2019 - Week 40 Numbers Added;

Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4/XBO/NS - 2018 vs. 2019 - Week 40 Numbers Added;

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Thank you for starting another one of these threads.  Much appreciated.

PAOerfulone said:
According to my first calculations for this thread: By the 4th week of last year, the PS4, Xbox One, and Nintendo Switch sold through roughly 7.15%, 4.97%, and 5.75% of their yearly sales respectively.

Applying those same percentages to this year, given the first 4 weeks of data we have now, this is what all three systems would sell in 2019:

PlayStation 4 - 14,644,360
Xbox One - 4,827,667
Nintendo Switch - 20,292,569

Those numbers are a pretty good baseline.  Then make adjustments based on other factors.  For example

1) Switch's 2018 line-up is going to be their weakest one until Switch's successor comes out.  Meanwhile their 2019 line-up is already looking stronger, and we still haven't heard what kind of third party games are coming.  Most likely the third party output will be a lot better this year too.  Also there are rumors of a new Switch model being released this year.  So 20m is actually a very conservative estimate.  25m+ will be more accurate.

2) PS4 arguably had their best game line-up in 2018.  On the other hand, they are far overdue for a price cut.  Assuming one comes this year, it will probably balance out the weaker (but still respectable) game line-up.  So 15m is probably about right for them.

3) XB1?  Is it even getting exclusives this year?  Then again it didn't get many last year either.  So 5m is really the maximum in sales for XB1, but it might only get 3-4m.

The PS4 pricecut effect depends entirely whether $250 or $200

 

$250 and I see it doing 15m

 

$200 and I see 16m+



I am Iron Man

Around the Network
PAOerfulone said:
According to my first calculations for this thread: By the 4th week of last year, the PS4, Xbox One, and Nintendo Switch sold through roughly 7.15%, 4.97%, and 5.75% of their yearly sales respectively.

Applying those same percentages to this year, given the first 4 weeks of data we have now, this is what all three systems would sell in 2019:

PlayStation 4 - 14,644,360
Xbox One - 4,827,667
Nintendo Switch - 20,292,569

As others have said, this is really interesting. I look forward to see this updated.

Nice thread



Week 6 Numbers Added



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

PS4 is down a lot already, really shows how big the MHW boost was last year. And still, I fear the console is slightly overtracked (about 1-200k)

On the other hand Switch looks a bit low, as Japan making up more than half of the console's boost over last year doesn't make very much sense to me. But again, not by very much yet, I think it's just 50-100k off



Bofferbrauer2 said:
PS4 is down a lot already, really shows how big the MHW boost was last year. And still, I fear the console is slightly overtracked (about 1-200k)

On the other hand Switch looks a bit low, as Japan making up more than half of the console's boost over last year doesn't make very much sense to me. But again, not by very much yet, I think it's just 50-100k off

That is an odd range for the PS4 to be over tracked between 1k-200k? Why so large?



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

Around the Network
TheBlackNaruto said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
PS4 is down a lot already, really shows how big the MHW boost was last year. And still, I fear the console is slightly overtracked (about 1-200k)

On the other hand Switch looks a bit low, as Japan making up more than half of the console's boost over last year doesn't make very much sense to me. But again, not by very much yet, I think it's just 50-100k off

That is an odd range for the PS4 to be over tracked between 1k-200k? Why so large?

I think he means 100k-200k lol



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
TheBlackNaruto said:

That is an odd range for the PS4 to be over tracked between 1k-200k? Why so large?

I think he means 100k-200k lol

Ahhhhh okay lol. Because I was like 1k-200k? What int eh world lol. But okay 100k-200k makes more sense.



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

TheBlackNaruto said:
zorg1000 said:

I think he means 100k-200k lol

Ahhhhh okay lol. Because I was like 1k-200k? What int eh world lol. But okay 100k-200k makes more sense.

Yeah, sorry, it's supposed to mean 100-200k. Sounded better in my head than written down



Bofferbrauer2 said:
TheBlackNaruto said:

Ahhhhh okay lol. Because I was like 1k-200k? What int eh world lol. But okay 100k-200k makes more sense.

Yeah, sorry, it's supposed to mean 100-200k. Sounded better in my head than written down

You are all good man lol!



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

Do you think I overestimate the FFVII + Yoshi CW boost ?



Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
WR on TGM alternative mode : Fastest ITEM S9 rank ( <-- Just got massacred by the 2nd most powerfull player in the world )
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary