That's a cool interesting point. If it holds the same percentage increase then H2 2019 will sell 2.365 times more in H2 giving a total of 20.4 million sold for 2019. Which would give it a 2.4 million lead. So we'll see if that trend continues in the same way. The Switch should win, it's just without doing background it was interesting to see PS4 has a million lead in it's 5th year over Switch this year.
Do you think Switch Lite would be tallied up with Switch sales? It's not as if they're just selling the switch controller without the dock. It doesn't support any output to a TV, no joycons etc, so it's a dedicated handheld device that will over time I assume replace the 3DS.
It makes no meaningful difference either way but interesting to see if people would add those sales to the Switch.
I have been thinking about this. When Nintendo projected 18m for the current fiscal year, I thought it was stupidly low. However if that only counts the Switch and not the Switch Lite, then I think 18m is about right. Kind of depends on what they meant.
They had to have known that Switch Lite was releasing, but then they also count Switch Lite as part of the same family, not a separate console, like DS Lite was to the original DS. So maybe they were figuring that Switch Lite would eat into the flagship Switch's sales as some people that might otherwise have stopped holding out for an all handheld version and bought the flagship Switch suddenly had their hopes answered and would be buying the Lite. But then again, they should be counting or hoping to count the Lite's sales in with the flagship Switch's sales, so why would they lowball it? My thought is that maybe they're waiting to see how public perception plays out, so that if shareholders regard Lite's sales separately and want to see the target met with just the flagship console, they have a lower goalpost to fall back on, but if things play out as they hope and they convince everyone that Lite is just a Switch that doesn't hook to the TV or detach controllers, then they get to add the Lite's sales to the flagship Switch and absolutely blow past their goalpost, impressing investors either way. It would be like getting to add 3DS and Wii U together as a single sales target back in that era, which would have been a godsend then, but is just a thick layer of icing on an already sweet cake nowadays.