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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo FY Q3 Results (Switch 32.3m LT, Smash Bros 12m, Pokemon 10m..)

zorg1000 said:
colafitte said:

For Wii in 2009 i see 65'0M sold and 67'45M so around another 2'5M difference. DS in 2006-2009 was a phomenon like no other, so comparing Swith to DS on those years is unfair. That thing sold like anything seen before those years. As for 3DS...only 2011 had more than 8M shipped in that quarter (and i have to rememeber you, that Switch did shipped not only more than 8, but more than 9M) and was not the first holiday after the price cut for 3DS so a lot of people waited to buy the handheld after that?

So PS4 is an outlier, DS was a phenom and 3DS had a price cut........sounds like excuses.

Indeed they sound, i must admit. But that year for PS4 is the only one in PS4 history, DS was in fact a phenom like no other, especially during holiday season and 3DS sold a lot better after that price cut in August 2011 (and like PS4 in 2015 it was their only year where everything we say adds up).

That's why from data and experience, i think Switch performance in 2018 looks more like Wii 2009 and 2010 than those other ones. Or like PS4 last 2 years where they shipped more than 9M and there was more than 3M on shelves. I have more situations in my favor than yours. But ey, i could be wrong, i'm just chosing between options based only in a "feeling" i have. I can't prove nor use evidential data. I'm not saying is impossible. I just said i doubt it.

The shame is, that if Nintendo doesn't decide to announce sell through numbers worldwide we will never know....



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forest-spirit said:
Marth said:
Attach rates
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe: 46.5%
Super Mario Odyssey: 42.6%
Smash Bros Ultimate: 37.4%
Breath of the Wild: 36.2%
Pokemon LetsGo: 31%
Splatoon 2: 25.6%
Super Mario Party: 16.4%
1-2-Switch: 8.9%

Wowza. I almost feel special for not owning Mario Kart, Smash Bros. or Pokémon.

Join us, forest-spirit. Gooble gobble, one of us, one of us



PwerlvlAmy said:
Only thing bad about any of this info we've gotten is the actual anemic line up for this year

On paper:

Daemon X Machina
Yoshi
Luigi's Mansion 3
Fire Emblem Three Houses
Pokemon Gen 8
Bayonetta 3
Animal Crossing
Town
SMT V

Sounds pretty damn amazing. But then we go to realistic based off what we know now

Daemon X Machina - No release window
Yoshi - End of March
Luigi's Mansion 3 - No release window
Fire Emblem Three Houses - Anywhere from April to June
Pokemon Gen 8 - Late 2019, possibly delayed due to Gamefreak saying they have issues deving for Switch)
Bayonetta 3 - No release window or year
Animal Crossing -No release window
Town - No release window
SMT V -No year,no window, does this still even exist?

 With the bad news for MP4 getting the fan base down, lack of games early 2019, complete radio silence on all fronts from Nintendo(no communication,no directs). You have to wonder if Nintendo just doesn't know how to keep momentum anymore when they have it. This seems to be their achilles heel, they never can figure out how to maintain momentum and drop the ball.

Then full picture of games by month is looking like

January was:

NSMB Wii U Port - NSMB Deluxe
Remaster of last gen game - Vesperia
Lackluster Spin off game - Travis Strikes again
Dragon Marked For Death

Feb: (most are digital)

VRally 4
The Book Of UnWritten Tales 2
Away Journey To The Unexpected
Monster Energy Supercross
Dreamworks Dragons
Steins Gates Elite
Aragami
Trials Fusion


March:

Dead Or Alive Xtreme 3
Our World Is Ended
The Princess Guide
Xenon Racer
Yoshi's Crafted World

April:

Darksiders Remastered
FFX-X2
Dragons Dogma
Mortal Kombat 11
Final Fantasy 12
Super Dragon Ball Heroes

May:

Team Sonic Racing

June:

Crash Team Racing


So as we stand right now, Switch's next decent month for games wont be till April unless we get word otherwise.

Except the Metroid Prime 4 delay has been met with a more favorable reception and it didn't hurt that the game had NO release year so there was more of a chance the game would not release this year. Fans apparently were understanding of the situation and are excited (though some are a bit cautious due to the turnover over the years) that Retro Studios are now partaking in development of the game.

I kinda get where you are coming from in terms of early 2019 games, but that doesn't seem to deter Nintendo at this time. They already have a lot of positive news in regards to their holiday sales, despite the change in their hardware forecasts. They have an idea of how/when they want to announce more details about their upcoming games. They do not make announcements just because some minority group demand it.

You will just have to get a word from Senior Managing Executive Officer, Shinya Takahashi, about what's coming up from Nintendo, as he oversees all Switch software. :P



The Switch is doing a really good job of proving the absurdity of the common argument "x series has never sold more than y million, so future entries won't exceed that."

Time and again people act as though the highest selling previous entry of a series is the ceiling for that IP til the end of time. Well, BOTW, Odyssey, Splatoon 2, Mario Tennis Aces, Smash Ultimate, and Xenoblade 2 say hi... 

Last edited by curl-6 - on 31 January 2019

Kai_Mao said:
PwerlvlAmy said:
Only thing bad about any of this info we've gotten is the actual anemic line up for this year

On paper:

Daemon X Machina
Yoshi
Luigi's Mansion 3
Fire Emblem Three Houses
Pokemon Gen 8
Bayonetta 3
Animal Crossing
Town
SMT V

Sounds pretty damn amazing. But then we go to realistic based off what we know now

Daemon X Machina - No release window
Yoshi - End of March
Luigi's Mansion 3 - No release window
Fire Emblem Three Houses - Anywhere from April to June
Pokemon Gen 8 - Late 2019, possibly delayed due to Gamefreak saying they have issues deving for Switch)
Bayonetta 3 - No release window or year
Animal Crossing -No release window
Town - No release window
SMT V -No year,no window, does this still even exist?

 With the bad news for MP4 getting the fan base down, lack of games early 2019, complete radio silence on all fronts from Nintendo(no communication,no directs). You have to wonder if Nintendo just doesn't know how to keep momentum anymore when they have it. This seems to be their achilles heel, they never can figure out how to maintain momentum and drop the ball.

Then full picture of games by month is looking like

January was:

NSMB Wii U Port - NSMB Deluxe
Remaster of last gen game - Vesperia
Lackluster Spin off game - Travis Strikes again
Dragon Marked For Death

Feb: (most are digital)

VRally 4
The Book Of UnWritten Tales 2
Away Journey To The Unexpected
Monster Energy Supercross
Dreamworks Dragons
Steins Gates Elite
Aragami
Trials Fusion


March:

Dead Or Alive Xtreme 3
Our World Is Ended
The Princess Guide
Xenon Racer
Yoshi's Crafted World

April:

Darksiders Remastered
FFX-X2
Dragons Dogma
Mortal Kombat 11
Final Fantasy 12
Super Dragon Ball Heroes

May:

Team Sonic Racing

June:

Crash Team Racing


So as we stand right now, Switch's next decent month for games wont be till April unless we get word otherwise.

Except the Metroid Prime 4 delay has been met with a more favorable reception and it didn't hurt that the game had NO release year so there was more of a chance the game would not release this year. Fans apparently were understanding of the situation and are excited (though some are a bit cautious due to the turnover over the years) that Retro Studios are now partaking in development of the game.

I kinda get where you are coming from in terms of early 2019 games, but that doesn't seem to deter Nintendo at this time. They already have a lot of positive news in regards to their holiday sales, despite the change in their hardware forecasts. They have an idea of how/when they want to announce more details about their upcoming games. They do not make announcements just because some minority group demand it.

You will just have to get a word from Senior Managing Executive Officer, Shinya Takahashi, about what's coming up from Nintendo, as he oversees all Switch software. :P

It really doesnt matter how good their holiday season was though if they lose all momentum from a crappy 2019 start  imo lol



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PwerlvlAmy said:
Kai_Mao said:

Except the Metroid Prime 4 delay has been met with a more favorable reception and it didn't hurt that the game had NO release year so there was more of a chance the game would not release this year. Fans apparently were understanding of the situation and are excited (though some are a bit cautious due to the turnover over the years) that Retro Studios are now partaking in development of the game.

I kinda get where you are coming from in terms of early 2019 games, but that doesn't seem to deter Nintendo at this time. They already have a lot of positive news in regards to their holiday sales, despite the change in their hardware forecasts. They have an idea of how/when they want to announce more details about their upcoming games. They do not make announcements just because some minority group demand it.

You will just have to get a word from Senior Managing Executive Officer, Shinya Takahashi, about what's coming up from Nintendo, as he oversees all Switch software. :P

It really doesnt matter how good their holiday season was though if they lose all momentum from a crappy 2019 start  imo lol

Eh, its not the greatest start, but there are games out there from January-March, the final quarter of the fiscal year.

Think what you want about NSMBUD, it appears to be doing its job in intriguing new and current owners of the Switch as it appears to be selling reasonably fine.

Could Nintendo do better? Sure. Is it only January heading into February? Yes, it's only January heading into February. Plus, you still have the evergreens (now including Smash Bros. Ultimate) that are continuing to sell exceptionally well and carry the message about the Switch. They even posted a new TV spot this month along with presenting indie highlights from Nintendo of Europe. Hell, they even announced a couple new open tournaments (Smash and Splatoon 2) to maintain their media presence. So it's not like the whole month went by and Nintendo has not said #$%&.

Nintendo will present their upcoming games when they are ready to at a time they believe is appropriate from their marketing and strategy perspective. If its February, then its February. You're not gonna get monthly or weekly messages about the next Animal Crossing or Pokemon, anyway, until around the time near launch. :P



colafitte said:
zorg1000 said: 

 

I guess the ongoing debate about Europe sales is over, at Nintendo's briefing going on at the moment they said Japan was up 4%, North America up 18% & Europe up 40% YoY.

Also Asia (excluding Japan) is seeing strong growth, it made up 1.4% of 3DS but currently makes up 7% of Switch sales.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
colafitte said:

 

I guess the ongoing debate about Europe sales is over, at Nintendo's briefing going on at the moment they said Japan was up 4%, North America up 18% & Europe up 40% YoY.

Also Asia (excluding Japan) is seeing strong growth, it made up 1.4% of 3DS but currently makes up 7% of Switch sales.

Is Europe just Europe or EMAA??

If Europe is 40% up, then... VGC should show....exactly 4'8M, so on point.

 

I WAS WRONG GUYS, YOU CAN THROW ME OUT OF THE WINDOW NOW. 

 

If Europe is just Europe do we have ROTW numbers? So we can deduce worldwide numbers.

 

Edit: Can you post the source of the info please?



delete post

 



colafitte said:
zorg1000 said:

I guess the ongoing debate about Europe sales is over, at Nintendo's briefing going on at the moment they said Japan was up 4%, North America up 18% & Europe up 40% YoY.

Also Asia (excluding Japan) is seeing strong growth, it made up 1.4% of 3DS but currently makes up 7% of Switch sales.

Is Europe just Europe or EMAA??

If Europe is 40% up, then... VGC should show....exactly 4'8M, so on point.

 

I WAS WRONG GUYS, YOU CAN THROW ME OUT OF THE WINDOW NOW. 

 

If Europe is just Europe do we have ROTW numbers? So we can deduce worldwide numbers.

 

Edit: Can you post the source of the info please?

Just Europe and ya I'll try to

Edit: I just dislocated my knee so kinda busy at the moment lol



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.