People are already predicting success for the PS5 without knowing a damn thing about it. Reminds me of the talk just before the PS3 launch.
On the other hand we already know that the Switch is a successful console that is selling comparably to the PS4. Isn't it more logical prediction that the Switch will have the top spot for the next 4+ years?
And about PS3, it's worth noting that it was their biggest screw up, and it was still the top selling console in the world for several years.
Last edited by Hiku - on 25 January 2019
Most people presume that Sony learned from the PS3 launch the hard way not to repeat that mistake again.
And presuming they don't, it's a fairly safe bet to expect that PS5 will do fairly well. Hell, even if they repeat that mistake, it may still do well since their worst selling console sold 87m.
The reason for that is consistency. Even down to the name of the console, it's very consistent in that we know what to expect. A standard home console, the same controller with some minor additions (only the PS3, again, tried something different initially with the boomerang), and all third parties on board since day -1.
It's a formula that has worked very well for them so far, and at this time there's no indication of it being a bad approach.
With Nintendo it's very hit or miss, because they often go a different route than the norm, whether its the controller/the way you play games, the storage media, or the console itself. And third parties on their home console is always a questionmark after SNES.
Will the newest Nintendo home console get the latest Final Fantasy or Resident Evil, etc? That's never been a question for the newest Playstation, but something everyone expects since before it even launches. And for good reason.
Now when it comes to Switch, there's still a lot of question marks about which games it will get or not.
This week for example has two huge releases for 'every other system' in Resident Evil 2 and Kingdom Hearts 3, both sitting high on Metacritic right now.
When PS5 and XB2 are around the corner, that means developers are already working on, or planning, new games that are even more demanding than the ones that are not on Switch today. So all things considered I don't think it's a clearcut safer bet to assume that Switch will handle the next 4+ years better than PS5.
3DS's two best years in the US were it's first two, so you never know how a system will sell. Especially one with many uncertainties. Though personally I think that in 2019 Switch will sell at least around the same as this year.
I don't know how Switch will do compared to PS5 though, but I feel it's safe to assume PS5 will do just fine, based on history, because it follows the same blueprint.