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ZhugeEX "Xbox One sales around 41m"

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CGI-Quality said:
colafitte said:

Considering how bad Xbox did the last 2 years, 9M at the end of its life seems like a lot for me. 

Not impossible. What this really means is Xbox needs more than just BC and Game Pass to really make a point next time around. They need compelling, exclusive, software to generate early hype while maintaining an affordable price, key marketing, and a system that doesn't get trounced in the spec department (though this is highly unlikely anyway). 

With the right combination, hitting 60-80m next gen would probably be achievable.

I can see the next Xbox reaching 60M but I think the times of Xbox reaching 80M are past gone. 

What do you expect XBO doing in 2019 and in 2020 before next gen Xbox launch? 



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colafitte said:
CGI-Quality said:

Not impossible. What this really means is Xbox needs more than just BC and Game Pass to really make a point next time around. They need compelling, exclusive, software to generate early hype while maintaining an affordable price, key marketing, and a system that doesn't get trounced in the spec department (though this is highly unlikely anyway). 

With the right combination, hitting 60-80m next gen would probably be achievable.

I can see the next Xbox reaching 60M but I think the times of Xbox reaching 80M are past gone. 

What do you expect XBO doing in 2019 and in 2020 before next gen Xbox launch? 

Roughly 4-5 million each year (perhaps a bit less next). 



                                                                                                                                            

So XboxOne only sold around 8 million per year from launch to now? That's not very good at all especially with all the effort they put in with a redesigned model with 6tflops.



I had Xbone pegged for 60-65m lifetime but that's starting too look a little over-optimistic.

One thing's for sure, they need to drop the "Xbox One" branding and pick a new name for their next system, the words "Xbox One" have come to be associated with inferiority. Even after all these years they've been unable to outrun the shadow of 2013's monumental blunders.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 24 January 2019

curl-6 said:

I had Xbone pegged for 60-65m lifetime but that's starting too look a little over-optimistic.

One thing's for sure, they need to drop the "Xbox One" branding and pick a new name for their next system, the words "Xbox One" have come to be associated with inferiority.

I know just the right name for that !

It shall be called : "Xbox Windows 10" :O



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CGI-Quality said:
colafitte said:

I can see the next Xbox reaching 60M but I think the times of Xbox reaching 80M are past gone. 

What do you expect XBO doing in 2019 and in 2020 before next gen Xbox launch? 

Roughly 4-5 million each year (perhaps a bit less next). 

If XBO sells 5M in 2019 I just see impossible to sell 4M in 2020 if next gen comes around November.

But anyway around 50M is still a good number for a console, and if it is profitable, Microsoft is happy. 



Drakrami said:
So XboxOne only sold around 8 million per year from launch to now? That's not very good at all especially with all the effort they put in with a redesigned model with 6tflops.

The issue there was software. A redesigned model can only do so much, especially when another console exists that does it just good enough and has a far higher market response to boot. I told people that it would take more than BC, Game Pass, and UHD players to really make dents in the situation and that turned out to be correct. But, that's the glass half empty look at it. 41 million in five years may be quite a drop from the 360, but it is not the total disaster that many of Xbox's ardent critics would lead you to think.



                                                                                                                                            

colafitte said:
CGI-Quality said:

Eh, I imagine 50m being obtained by launch time, especially considering the pegged timeframe points to 2020. 

You think so?. XBO seems to have sold around 6'5M in 2018. If XBO sells, let's say, 5M in 2019, it will need 4M before next XBOX launch in 2020 (all of this if next XBO launch in 2020 and not in 2019).

I really think it won't reach 50M before that.

I agree and I was working the figures out in my head earlier. Unless they wait until 2021 to launch. 

RolStoppable said:
This means that Switch will most likely pass the XB1 in LTD sales before 2019 is over. I'd say for sure, but Nintendo's release schedule remains a mystery and therefore the first 6-9 months of the year could be quite meh.

Indeed and that would be great for Switch but really bad for Xbox. They'll have a tough time next gen vs Switch and the PS5. 

CGI-Quality said:
colafitte said:

You think so?. XBO seems to have sold around 6'5M in 2018. If XBO sells, let's say, 5M in 2019, it will need 4M before next XBOX launch in 2020 (all of this if next XBO launch in 2020 and not in 2019).

I really think it won't reach 50M before that.

9 million in nearly two years? I see it happening.

I can't see it. It will be down this year on already low sales WW and next year numbers will only include pre season. That's assuming the next Xbox comes out before the holidays. 



Drakrami said:
So XboxOne only sold around 8 million per year from launch to now? That's not very good at all especially with all the effort they put in with a redesigned model with 6tflops.

Not one game takes advantage of that GPU, exclusives would do that. It also has a bigger bottleneck than the pro, it is a big ass doorstep.



Mar1217 said:
curl-6 said:

I had Xbone pegged for 60-65m lifetime but that's starting too look a little over-optimistic.

One thing's for sure, they need to drop the "Xbox One" branding and pick a new name for their next system, the words "Xbox One" have come to be associated with inferiority.

I know just the right name for that !

It shall be called : "Xbox Windows 10" :O

They could just put it into the surface group.