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Kingdom Hearts 3 FW sales prediction

Forums - Sales Discussion - Kingdom Hearts 3 FW sales prediction

LGBTDBZBBQ said:
Nautilus said:
Gonna do 4 millions FW worldwide, for sure.This is the most hyped KH ever, in my opinion.Not only that, but the popular disney worlds there will help it sell outside the fanbase.


Honestly, this game will sell at least 10 millions LT.

FFXV 24-hour shipments+Digital = 5m.

Current LTD = 8.4m(PC/PS4/XB1).

I don't think 10m is realistic for a single player JRPG if FFXV is struggling to reach that sales number. This isn't the same as MHW situation where the potential of sales was held back by the hardware and region, multiplayer focused games tend to do better in the west. 

KH3 isn't going to outsell FFXV and nowhere near MHW numbers. 

Depends a lot on word of mouth. FFXV alienated a lot of its fan base by only focusing on the boy band main characters. I don't see KH3 making that same mistake



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Megiddo said:
LGBTDBZBBQ said:

FFXV 24-hour shipments+Digital = 5m.

Current LTD = 8.4m(PC/PS4/XB1).

I don't think 10m is realistic for a single player JRPG if FFXV is struggling to reach that sales number. This isn't the same as MHW situation where the potential of sales was held back by the hardware and region, multiplayer focused games tend to do better in the west. 

KH3 isn't going to outsell FFXV and nowhere near MHW numbers. 

Depends a lot on word of mouth. FFXV alienated a lot of its fan base by only focusing on the boy band main characters. I don't see KH3 making that same mistake

That's true. If KH3 surprises me and outperforms FFXV, I'll feel pretty vindicated in my feelings on how shitty FFXV's story is.



HylianSwordsman said:
Replicant said:

This is Monster Hunter World all over again.

I highly doubt it will be a repeat of MHW. I'd love to be proved wrong there, as it's one of my favorite series, and a MHW style reaction would be amazing. Random people at work that never played a Japanese game in their life were talking about MHW when it came out. It was crazy. KH3 won't get that treatment, as much as I'd love that. I haven't heard a single soul outside this forum mention KH3. Not even from my friends I used to nerd out talking about KH and exchange fan theories with and shit. It's just not getting talked about. No one seems to care anymore. It's honestly a bit depressing.

I certainly don't expect KH3 to sell over 10 mill copies either, if that's how you interpreted my post.

But your prediction of it selling under 2 mill lifetime reminded me so much of the doom and gloom predictions about MHW. Of course, you could be right about KH3 selling under 2 mill lifetime. I doubt it but at least we'll know for sure eventually as time will tell.



Replicant said:
HylianSwordsman said:

I highly doubt it will be a repeat of MHW. I'd love to be proved wrong there, as it's one of my favorite series, and a MHW style reaction would be amazing. Random people at work that never played a Japanese game in their life were talking about MHW when it came out. It was crazy. KH3 won't get that treatment, as much as I'd love that. I haven't heard a single soul outside this forum mention KH3. Not even from my friends I used to nerd out talking about KH and exchange fan theories with and shit. It's just not getting talked about. No one seems to care anymore. It's honestly a bit depressing.

I certainly don't expect KH3 to sell over 10 mill copies either, if that's how you interpreted my post.

But your prediction of it selling under 2 mill lifetime reminded me so much of the doom and gloom predictions about MHW. Of course, you could be right about KH3 selling under 2 mill lifetime. I doubt it but at least we'll know for sure eventually as time will tell.

No! 2 million first week! 4 million lifetime! No wonder you thought I was ridiculous.



HylianSwordsman said:
Replicant said:

I certainly don't expect KH3 to sell over 10 mill copies either, if that's how you interpreted my post.

But your prediction of it selling under 2 mill lifetime reminded me so much of the doom and gloom predictions about MHW. Of course, you could be right about KH3 selling under 2 mill lifetime. I doubt it but at least we'll know for sure eventually as time will tell.

No! 2 million first week! 4 million lifetime! No wonder you thought I was ridiculous.

Oh, sorry.

"The last game got just over 4 million lifetime. This one will get even less than that."
I read it as "This won't get even half of that". My mistake.

Last edited by Replicant - on 20 January 2019

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4.2M WW across all platforms



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Replicant said:
HylianSwordsman said:

No! 2 million first week! 4 million lifetime! No wonder you thought I was ridiculous.

Oh, sorry.

"The last game got just over 4 million lifetime. This one will get even less than that."
I read it as "This won't get even half of that". My mistake.

I later said it would get half its sales first week, which is probably where you got that. I think it'll be close, but end up just under KH2. As I said elsewhere, I'd love for it to be the next MHW and blow everyone away.



HylianSwordsman said:
Replicant said:

Oh, sorry.

"The last game got just over 4 million lifetime. This one will get even less than that."
I read it as "This won't get even half of that". My mistake.

I later said it would get half its sales first week, which is probably where you got that. I think it'll be close, but end up just under KH2. As I said elsewhere, I'd love for it to be the next MHW and blow everyone away.

Yeah, you're probably right.



600K Japan, 800k US, 400k EU 2M WW for first week. However after first week I expect a really big drop



Depending on reviews, 3 Million+ first week for KH3 on PS4 is possible.

Edit: 2 Million+ is more reasonable, 2.5 Million is the high end.

Last edited by PotentHerbs - on 20 January 2019