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Forums - Sales Discussion - Worldwide Charts Yearly Total - December 8th

drinkandswim on 11 January 2019
Kerotan said:
drinkandswim said:
Looks like Smash will finish second for the year. Switch should finish second barring a Christmas miracle.

It will have a hard time breaking into the top 3.

Should be close.

COD 7.5 450k average per week= total 8.85

Fifa 7.8 364k average per week= total 8.9

smash 4.4 million as of december 8th

USA 2 million from 9th through 29th (estimated)

Japan 1.1 million (media create)

Europe 1 million (estimated)

ROTW 500k (estimated)

Total estimated Smash through Dec 29th= 9 million

 



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Kerotan on 11 January 2019
drinkandswim said:
Kerotan said:

It will have a hard time breaking into the top 3.

Should be close.

COD 7.5 450k average per week= total 8.85

Fifa 7.8 364k average per week= total 8.9

smash 4.4 million as of december 8th

USA 2 million from 9th through 29th (estimated)

Japan 1.1 million (media create)

Europe 1 million (estimated)

ROTW 500k (estimated)

Total estimated Smash through Dec 29th= 9 million

 

Definitely. The release of Smash has really made the last few weeks of this thread to be very interesting. Have we 2 or 3 weeks of tracking left? 



drinkandswim on 11 January 2019
Kerotan said:
drinkandswim said:

Should be close.

COD 7.5 450k average per week= total 8.85

Fifa 7.8 364k average per week= total 8.9

smash 4.4 million as of december 8th

USA 2 million from 9th through 29th (estimated)

Japan 1.1 million (media create)

Europe 1 million (estimated)

ROTW 500k (estimated)

Total estimated Smash through Dec 29th= 9 million

 

Definitely. The release of Smash has really made the last few weeks of this thread to be very interesting. Have we 2 or 3 weeks of tracking left? 

3 from these Global numbers. 2 left on the hardware I believe.



Clank on 11 January 2019

Pokemon Lets Go at 5.4M combined (6th place) and Mario Kart 5.06M at 7th... Just amazing after 1 year.

So if pokemon sales dont drop too much it could reach top 5 beating GOW (5,7M), or even MK could beat both, I expect 6.2M or so for MK at the end...

Also Mario Party could reach top 10 (japan sales for the weeks left were huge 350k)

What do u guys think?



colafitte on 11 January 2019
Clank said:

Pokemon Lets Go at 5.4M combined (6th place) and Mario Kart 5.06M at 7th... Just amazing after 1 year.

So if pokemon sales dont drop too much it could reach top 5 beating GOW (5,7M), or even MK could beat both, I expect 6.2M or so for MK at the end...

 

What do u guys think?

That if you only want to compare retail numbers you're are probably going to be right.

But like i said before, leaving behind digital sales benefits a lot more a game like Pokemon than a game like GOW. GOW with digital sales should be at least around 7'5M if not more. Pokemon Let's Go digital sales should be a lot less in comparison, so probably it will end around 10% more that what you expect at retail, so let's say around 7M.



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COKTOE on 11 January 2019
colafitte said:

Another thing it seems i going to be spot on, or almost spot on.

After saying Spiderman was going to sell 10M by the end of the year, back in August, and saying PS4 was going to sell 18'0M in 2018 to consumers back in December. I said this before Smash launch:

"I expected 4M worldwide sold first week (since launch until first sunday) and around 8'5M worldwide at the end of the year so this seems to be on track. Smash is not that popular in Europe as in North America and Japan, but I expect huge sales in USA. For the first week, something like 2'0M US, 700k Europe, 900 JP and around 400k (maybe a little less) in the rest of the world."

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8934678

The only place where i'm not going to be practically 100% perfect is Japan because it did better than i expected.

So another good prediction made. Next one, Switch selling 16'3M to consumers and 9-10 units shipped for Q3.

Nicely done.



- "If you have the heart of a true winner, you can always get more pissed off than some other asshole."

Clank on 11 January 2019
colafitte said:
Clank said:

Pokemon Lets Go at 5.4M combined (6th place) and Mario Kart 5.06M at 7th... Just amazing after 1 year.

So if pokemon sales dont drop too much it could reach top 5 beating GOW (5,7M), or even MK could beat both, I expect 6.2M or so for MK at the end...

 

What do u guys think?

That if you only want to compare retail numbers you're are probably going to be right.

But like i said before, leaving behind digital sales benefits a lot more a game like Pokemon than a game like GOW. GOW with digital sales should be at least around 7'5M if not more. Pokemon Let's Go digital sales should be a lot less in comparison, so probably it will end around 10% more that what you expect at retail, so let's say around 7M.

Oh I see, yea my bad then idk much still about digital+retail... But are for example all those switch with pkmn bundles count as digital? And I guess in the nintendo website figures they include digital sales right? Because I found pretty big different between sun and moon at retail 14M and figures there 16M... Thanks :)



colafitte on 11 January 2019
COKTOE said:
colafitte said:

Another thing it seems i going to be spot on, or almost spot on.

After saying Spiderman was going to sell 10M by the end of the year, back in August, and saying PS4 was going to sell 18'0M in 2018 to consumers back in December. I said this before Smash launch:

"I expected 4M worldwide sold first week (since launch until first sunday) and around 8'5M worldwide at the end of the year so this seems to be on track. Smash is not that popular in Europe as in North America and Japan, but I expect huge sales in USA. For the first week, something like 2'0M US, 700k Europe, 900 JP and around 400k (maybe a little less) in the rest of the world."

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8934678

The only place where i'm not going to be practically 100% perfect is Japan because it did better than i expected.

So another good prediction made. Next one, Switch selling 16'3M to consumers and 9-10 units shipped for Q3.

Nicely done.

Thanks! although i ended it eating crow for not expecting that much in Japan in other thread. So one for the other, Karma giving balance...XD.



colafitte on 11 January 2019
Clank said:
colafitte said:

That if you only want to compare retail numbers you're are probably going to be right.

But like i said before, leaving behind digital sales benefits a lot more a game like Pokemon than a game like GOW. GOW with digital sales should be at least around 7'5M if not more. Pokemon Let's Go digital sales should be a lot less in comparison, so probably it will end around 10% more that what you expect at retail, so let's say around 7M.

Oh I see, yea my bad then idk much still about digital+retail... But are for example all those switch with pkmn bundles count as digital? And I guess in the nintendo website figures they include digital sales right? Because I found pretty big different between sun and moon at retail 14M and figures there 16M... Thanks :)

The official number Nintendo gave of 3M in 3 days for Pokemon Let's Go (both version) were with digital included yes. And here VGC counted combined first week 2'6M sales in the same days (i think). So around 13% of the sales would be digital.



colafitte on 11 January 2019

Top 20 software retail sales in Spain:

1 FIFA 19 PS4 530.000
2 RED DEAD REDEMPTION 2 PS4 340.000
3 SPIDER-MAN PS4 279.000
4 CALL OF DUTY: BLACK OPS IIII PS4 199.000
5 POKEMON LET'S GO PIKACHU/EEVEE SWITCH 189.000
6 GOD OF WAR PS4 186.000
7 SUPER MARIO ODYSSEY SWITCH 151.000
8 GTA V PS4 148.000
9 MARIO KART 8 DELUXE SWITCH 145.000
10 FIFA 18 PS4 144.500
11 SUPER SMASH BROS ULTIMATE SWITCH 138.000
12 FAR CRY 5 PS4 111.000
13 CALL OF DUTY: WWII PS4 93.000
14 SPLATOON 2 SWITCH 84.000
15 THE LEGEND OF ZELDA: BREATH OF THE WILD SWITCH 82.000
16 ASSASSIN'S CREED ODYSSEY PS4 80.000
17 GRAN TURISMO SPORT PS4 74.000
18 ASSASSIN'S CREED ORIGINS PS4 72.000
19 DONKEY KONG COUNTRY: TROPICAL FREEZE SWITCH 57.000
20 CRASH BANDICOOT N SANE TRILOGY PS4 55.000

Source: Vandal.net

https://vandal.elespanol.com/noticia/1350717648/ventas-espana-los-20-juegos-mas-vendidos-del-2018-con-cifras/