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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo Switch in Japan: 2018 vs. 2019 - Final Results

PAOerfulone said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

And with that Direct, the gap will just get bigger and bigger

Edit: How much did the 3DS do in it's best year? 4.8M? Because if the Switch continues like that it might get rather close call between the two.

Hohooo, yes it will. Yoshi may not move much units when it drops in late March. But the baseline should maintain its level with a few drops here and there until Mario Maker 2 comes out. Then, with Three Houses & Dragon Quest XI S one month later, this summer should be quite the increase of last summer. 

As for your second question, the 3DS' best year, according to VGC, was close to 5.5 million in 2012. That's a BIG year and even with the Switch's current lineup planned for this year, it will be very difficult/highly unlikely to reach those levels. But, I expect the Switch to start noticeably closing the gap on the 3DS in 2020 regardless.

Somehow, I was under the impression the 4.88M of 2013 was it's best year. I agree 5.5M is just too much, 4.8M seems much more achievable by now.

I mean, Dragon Quest, Pokemon and Animal Crossing coming out in the same year? Plus a plethora of other games? Looks to me like the switch will be on fire starting summer and then go straight to ludicrous speed in fall when the 3 big ones will release.



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When we look at this, last NPD january and last worldwide numbers, it looks like something massive is happening to Switch.



Latest adjustments have been made: Now 2019 is up by very close to 200k.



(In my best Lisa Loud impersonation)

According to my calculations, by the 7th week of 2018, the Nintendo Switch had sold through approximately 11.474054% of its total yearly sales in Japan. If the same percentage were to hold for this year, the Switch, in Japan for the year 2019, would sell 5,214,251 units. Considering the software lineup Nintendo currently has planned, the chances of them selling these many units is more likely than unlikely, I would say.



Looks like the Switch is on track to beat the 4.88M of 2013 3DS now.



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Week 8 numbers have been added and 2019 is now up over 200k



PAOerfulone said:
(In my best Lisa Loud impersonation)

According to my calculations, by the 7th week of 2018, the Nintendo Switch had sold through approximately 11.474054% of its total yearly sales in Japan. If the same percentage were to hold for this year, the Switch, in Japan for the year 2019, would sell 5,214,251 units. Considering the software lineup Nintendo currently has planned, the chances of them selling these many units is more likely than unlikely, I would say.

Given the software coming out later this year, I think Switch will sell at least 5.5m in Japan and probably more.  I mean, their software line-up already looks strong based on NA and European standards.  Now add Dragon Quest on top of that.  Switch is going to have a hell of a year in Japan.



 

The_Liquid_Laser said:
PAOerfulone said:
(In my best Lisa Loud impersonation)

According to my calculations, by the 7th week of 2018, the Nintendo Switch had sold through approximately 11.474054% of its total yearly sales in Japan. If the same percentage were to hold for this year, the Switch, in Japan for the year 2019, would sell 5,214,251 units. Considering the software lineup Nintendo currently has planned, the chances of them selling these many units is more likely than unlikely, I would say.

Given the software coming out later this year, I think Switch will sell at least 5.5m in Japan and probably more.  I mean, their software line-up already looks strong based on NA and European standards.  Now add Dragon Quest on top of that.  Switch is going to have a hell of a year in Japan.

Yokai watch arguably, too.



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peachbuggy said:

 

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Given the software coming out later this year, I think Switch will sell at least 5.5m in Japan and probably more.  I mean, their software line-up already looks strong based on NA and European standards.  Now add Dragon Quest on top of that.  Switch is going to have a hell of a year in Japan.

Yokai watch arguably, too.

Any idea when the next one is coming out?



Pokemon is coming, plus other Pokemon related games as they mentioned briefly in the direct today.