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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo Switch in Japan: 2018 vs. 2019 - Final Results

Can someone tell me when the whole "sequels don't move hardware" narrative started? Pretty sure this is demonstrably false with mountains of past evidence on multiple consoles.



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Nuvendil said:
Can someone tell me when the whole "sequels don't move hardware" narrative started? Pretty sure this is demonstrably false with mountains of past evidence on multiple consoles.

FIFA & COD are still pushing PS4/XBO hardware despite being the 7th consecutive year of having those titles.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

RolStoppable said:
Kai_Mao said:

The only thing I worry about is the 3rd party support, especially on the side of the higher tier Japanese developers. With all the success stories surrounding Switch, companies like Capcom are kinda dragging their feet when it comes to supporting Switch with new games (not ports of old games). Games like Granblue Fantasy Vs., Guilty Gear 2020, Project Sakura Wars, etc. are not coming to Switch or even hinted of possibly even being ported to Switch. I know there are games like NMH3, Digimon Survive, and the Trials of Mana remake coming to Switch, but I think there is potential for more, especially now that the userbase is going to be more than sizable enough that bigger companies can't ignore.

Capcom can't be helped and the same will probably continue to hold true to varying degrees for the other big publishers. Square-Enix has at least committed as much as keeping the Octopath Traveler studio on Switch games and their Tokyo RPG factory is multiplat anyway; chances are that they start to dump Kingdom Hearts ports on Switch too. Dragon Quest XII should be a given. Atlus has stuck with the 3DS for a long time, but they obviously have to move on.

Overall, I don't think these publishers are important enough to really harm Switch with their lack of support, because the smaller publishers have already included Switch in their game development. Support will improve over time, but third parties on the whole won't make use of the full potential that's there.

Amnesia said:

1 : WHO really, who doesn't have a Switch, and who was not enough interested by Zelda, will suddenly think : "omg the new sequel of Breath of the Wild is awesome, I want a Switch !!

well, I have an answer : me, so far I only have the Wii U that I bought in end of 2017 just for Zelda, but we are marginal in this situation.

2 : You mean like ARMS and Astral Chain ?...

1. I refer you back to the post of mine that you quoted. The 3DS sold another 11m units with next to nothing left. That's close to half of its lifetime sales.

2. I named Ring Fit Adventure as an example, so why do you even ask?

But Ring Fit is a fluke, there is not many jokers like this.



RolStoppable said:
Amnesia said:

But Ring Fit is a fluke, there is not many jokers like this.

Even if that were true, Switch will cross 20m without breaking a sweat.

My prediction is 23 so I am not impressed lol.

23,5 actually, minus half millions for Lite overshipment at previous Q.



Amnesia said:

1 : WHO really, who doesn't have a Switch, and who was not enough interested by Zelda, will suddenly think : "omg the new sequel of Breath of the Wild is awesome, I want a Switch !!

well, I have an answer : me, so far I only have the Wii U that I bought in end of 2017 just for Zelda, but we are marginal in this situation.

2 : You mean like ARMS and Astral Chain ?...

You've not helped your own argument with the Zelda example here because BOTW has sold more than any other Zelda game before it meaning people who had no interest in the games before bought the Switch to play it. Before BOTW the series averaged 4m your logic would have dictated not more than that would have bought the game now the new game is going to pass 20m even over 2 years on meaning it's selling to people who weren't interested in the series before hand this can snowball onto the sequel the same way Modern Warfare did for the Cod games and GTA3 did for the games that came after it as people who didn't try BOTW can be interested as the huge success gathers more mainstream interest.



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RolStoppable said:
Amnesia said:

My prediction is 23 so I am not impressed lol.

23,5 actually, minus half millions for Lite overshipment at previous Q.

I am talking about lifetime sales in Japan.

Ah ok. Sure yes, I place a bet for a 100 millions for the Switch, if Japan stays at 22-23% of worldwide sales, the 20 are done easily.



Just posted Week 47 numbers



186k, now a 1.1M lead... but next week is Smash week, so it actually may loose a bit over the following weeks.



2 weeks without update ?



Coolback said:
2 weeks without update ?

Yeah, it's time @PAOerfulone updates this thread - though I suspect he waits for adjustments right now to not have to change them over and over again.