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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo Switch in Japan: 2018 vs. 2019 - Final Results

Bofferbrauer2 on 19 June 2019

34k, slightly more than last week, but 10k below last year.

It's high time that SMM2 and YW4 end the drought for the Switch.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 19 June 2019

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

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PAOerfulone on 19 June 2019

Just posted Week 24 numbers.



Hardware Comparison Threads:

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Bofferbrauer2 on 20 June 2019
Mar1217 said:
Well that hurts ... until SMM2 releases in two weeks ! Or maybe even Yokai Watch 4, who knows ?

Probably not with YW4, as Nintendo also announced a promotion already for the week after it's release, so that will certainly steal some sales even though it's not massive (a 3000 Yen gift card for free when buying a console - so essentially 30$/€ off). In fact, it's possible that sales will drop WoW because of this despite the YW4 release.

On the other hand, SMM2+Promotion the week after means that there will be a big boost in sales then.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Bofferbrauer2 on 20 June 2019
RolStoppable said:
forest-spirit said:

So out of the last six weeks Switch has been down four times and the total for this period is -8.460 units. As for the last three weeks it has been down three times in a row but not by a significant amount and the numbers have improved for each week. Add to that that all this has done to the YoY difference is changing the lead from 344.490 to 336.030 and the fact that bigger titles will start to drop in a few weeks beginning with Mario Maker 2 and I'd say things look quite positive.

The next two weeks can be expected to be down year over year, because last year's E3 had lots of SSBU info that this year's E3 isn't matching with any title. A deficit of ~20k units for the next two weeks combined wouldn't be surprising. But then Super Mario Maker 2 hits and last year's baseline should be matched or exceeded, so your conclusion is correct.

The release of Dragon Quest XI S will help to make this year's September and October better than last year's even without a price cut or revision. If neither a price cut or revision happens in 2019, then I expect Switch to finish between 3.6-3.8m for the year because a new Pokémon is no match for a Pokémon remake and a new SSB; so basically weaker sales in December that will eat away at the lead that has been built priorily. With a price cut and/or revision, I expect 4m+ for the year.

But probably stronger than either of those on it's own. So it just needs another big release during that time to get similar results to last year.

Speaking of which, how do the Mario & Sonic at the Olympic games series fare in Japan? Could they bring in at least some of the needed boost to equal last year's sales? How about Luigi's Mansion?

I understand neither of those two is as big as a Pokemon or Smash title, but couldn't they reach a similar effect, when taken together? Especially since I expect the baseline to be somewhat higher from the game releases in late summer.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

PAOerfulone on 20 June 2019
Bofferbrauer2 said:

But probably stronger than either of those on it's own. So it just needs another big release during that time to get similar results to last year.

Speaking of which, how do the Mario & Sonic at the Olympic games series fare in Japan? Could they bring in at least some of the needed boost to equal last year's sales? How about Luigi's Mansion?

I understand neither of those two is as big as a Pokemon or Smash title, but couldn't they reach a similar effect, when taken together? Especially since I expect the baseline to be somewhat higher from the game releases in late summer.

Both of those two put together are not even half as big as Pokemon or Smash Bros.

Luigi's Mansion 2 did somewhere around 1.1-1.4 million in Japan. The highest that Mario and Sonic ever reached over there was around 440k, and that was on the DS - the highest selling system of all time in Japan. Rio 2016 did close to 300k on the 3DS.

Don't get me wrong, those are good, respectable numbers for a sports spinoff/crossover, but certainly not something that could sell consoles. 
Luigi's Mansion 3 would be doing a lot of the heavy lifting and I think that people will certainly buy Switch units to play that game, but nowhere near the amount that would buy one for Pokemon or Smash Bros.



Hardware Comparison Threads:

Current Thread

Is Hardware Getting TOO Powerful?

Older Threads:

PlayStation/Xbox/Switch: 2022 Edition

PlayStation/Xbox/Switch Hardware Battle: 2021 Edition!
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2019 vs. 2020
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2017 vs. 2018
PlayStation 4: 2015 vs. 2016 vs. 2017

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Bofferbrauer2 on 20 June 2019
PAOerfulone said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

But probably stronger than either of those on it's own. So it just needs another big release during that time to get similar results to last year.

Speaking of which, how do the Mario & Sonic at the Olympic games series fare in Japan? Could they bring in at least some of the needed boost to equal last year's sales? How about Luigi's Mansion?

I understand neither of those two is as big as a Pokemon or Smash title, but couldn't they reach a similar effect, when taken together? Especially since I expect the baseline to be somewhat higher from the game releases in late summer.

Both of those two put together are not even half as big as Pokemon or Smash Bros.

Luigi's Mansion 2 did somewhere around 1.1-1.4 million in Japan. The highest that Mario and Sonic ever reached over there was around 440k, and that was on the DS - the highest selling system of all time in Japan. Rio 2016 did close to 300k on the 3DS.

Don't get me wrong, those are good, respectable numbers for a sports spinoff/crossover, but certainly not something that could sell consoles. 
Luigi's Mansion 3 would be doing a lot of the heavy lifting and I think that people will certainly buy Switch units to play that game, but nowhere near the amount that would buy one for Pokemon or Smash Bros.

Speaking of Pokemon, do you think Sword and Shield will do much better than PLG?



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Amnesia on 26 June 2019

lol...Did I say a month ago that the Switch had really started its decline and I was mocked for this opinion.



peachbuggy on 26 June 2019
Amnesia said:
lol...Did I say a month ago that the Switch had really started its decline and I was mocked for this opinion.

Is this because of last weeks' Famitsu numbers which are usually published around about now? I've been looking for them and haven't seen any yet.



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In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

Amnesia on 26 June 2019
peachbuggy said:
Amnesia said:
lol...Did I say a month ago that the Switch had really started its decline and I was mocked for this opinion.

Is this because of last weeks' Famitsu numbers which are usually published around about now? I've been looking for them and haven't seen any yet.

Even with Yokai 4, the Switch is significantly decreasing in sales. Price cut and/or Switch 2 is necessary to just maintain sales.



peachbuggy on 26 June 2019
Amnesia said:
peachbuggy said:

Is this because of last weeks' Famitsu numbers which are usually published around about now? I've been looking for them and haven't seen any yet.

Even with Yokai 4, the Switch is significantly decreasing in sales. Price cut and/or Switch 2 is necessary to just maintain sales.

Oh. I haven't seen those sales yet. That bad? If so, then agreed about the price cut, in Japan at least.



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!