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Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan Sales Week 1, December 31 - January 6, 2019.

zorg1000 on 10 January 2019
colafitte said:
Switch is going to be closer to 2017 and 2018 than exploding to DS levels. I expect 3'5-4'0M again this year. Software though, it will go trough the roof for Switch exclusives.

I would be surprised to see any decline but I'm definitely not expecting it to nearly double last year. I'm going with 4-4.5 million



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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wombat123 on 10 January 2019
colafitte said:
Switch is going to be closer to 2017 and 2018 than exploding to DS levels. I expect 3'5-4'0M again this year. Software though, it will go trough the roof for Switch exclusives.

It's too early to make predictions for Switch hardware in Japan without knowing what the rumored 2019 revision will be and how much of a price-cut it will get.  If things stay the same price-wise, then I think your 4m prediction is logical based on the software that's going to come out but if Nintendo is able to get the price of the Switch close to the high-end 'impulse buy' territory of $199.99 then sales expectations for the year will be significantly higher.



NoCtiS_NoX on 10 January 2019
Mnementh said:

The percentages for the changes in sales seem wrong. Smash is noted as down, but had 253K here. DQ Builders 2 is noted as +30%, but was at 80K. Are - and + switched?

I copied paste this one from era. I will use the translated game as future reference for my plan to create new format on the following weeks for the weekly thread. 

And as other have said aswell. 

Last edited by NoCtiS_NoX - on 10 January 2019

colafitte on 10 January 2019
wombat123 said:
colafitte said:
Switch is going to be closer to 2017 and 2018 than exploding to DS levels. I expect 3'5-4'0M again this year. Software though, it will go trough the roof for Switch exclusives.

It's too early to make predictions for Switch hardware in Japan without knowing what the rumored 2019 revision will be and how much of a price-cut it will get.  If things stay the same price-wise, then I think your 4m prediction is logical based on the software that's going to come out but if Nintendo is able to get the price of the Switch close to the high-end 'impulse buy' territory of $199.99 then sales expectations for the year will be significantly higher.

Yeah, my prediction is based on Switch not having any price cut, because like i said multiple times, I think Nintendo is going for the pure profit. If of couse, Switch is going to be $200....buff, we will see historical sales in Japan, but do you really think it will happen?



PwerlvlAmy on 10 January 2019

No stopping Smash atm in Japan. Great PS4 numbers,even better Switch sales. Good stuff.



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zorg1000 on 10 January 2019
colafitte said:
wombat123 said:

It's too early to make predictions for Switch hardware in Japan without knowing what the rumored 2019 revision will be and how much of a price-cut it will get.  If things stay the same price-wise, then I think your 4m prediction is logical based on the software that's going to come out but if Nintendo is able to get the price of the Switch close to the high-end 'impulse buy' territory of $199.99 then sales expectations for the year will be significantly higher.

Yeah, my prediction is based on Switch not having any price cut, because like i said multiple times, I think Nintendo is going for the pure profit. If of couse, Switch is going to be $200....buff, we will see historical sales in Japan, but do you really think it will happen?

They will eventually try to reach that sub-$200 price point but I dont expect it this year. If they do reduce the price this year, I would expect $249.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

colafitte on 10 January 2019
zorg1000 said:
colafitte said:

Yeah, my prediction is based on Switch not having any price cut, because like i said multiple times, I think Nintendo is going for the pure profit. If of couse, Switch is going to be $200....buff, we will see historical sales in Japan, but do you really think it will happen?

They will eventually try to reach that sub-$200 price point but I dont expect it this year. If they do reduce the price this year, I would expect $249.

Mmmm, if the low the price to $249 this year....mmmm, 4M+ is a lock i guess. But still i think lowing the price is a sign of "weakness" and Switch is not weak at all in Japan. I really think Nintendo is going to try reach 4M for $300 all year.



MasonADC on 10 January 2019

 

colafitte said:
zorg1000 said:

They will eventually try to reach that sub-$200 price point but I dont expect it this year. If they do reduce the price this year, I would expect $249.

Mmmm, if the low the price to $249 this year....mmmm, 4M+ is a lock i guess. But still i think lowing the price is a sign of "weakness" and Switch is not weak at all in Japan. I really think Nintendo is going to try reach 4M for $300 all year.

I can’t imagine Nintendo trying to sell Animal crossing and Pokémon at $300 entry point, especially now with the games at $60. Bold move on their part if they do 



colafitte on 10 January 2019
MasonADC said:

 

colafitte said:

Mmmm, if the low the price to $249 this year....mmmm, 4M+ is a lock i guess. But still i think lowing the price is a sign of "weakness" and Switch is not weak at all in Japan. I really think Nintendo is going to try reach 4M for $300 all year.

I can’t imagine Nintendo trying to sell Animal crossing and Pokémon at $300 entry point, especially now with the games at $60. Bold move on their part if they do 

I really think Switch is capable to do it, even if they come short, selling 3'6, 3'7 or 3'8M at full price will be more succesful that selling half the year at $250 and selling 4-4'5M i think. And Nintendo is full confident right now on Switch success.



jonathanalis on 10 January 2019

1 or 2 weeks to Smash smash Splatoon numbers.

And PS4 YtD is amazing. Seems its biggest yet on japan.