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Japan Sales Week 1, December 31 - January 6, 2019.

Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan Sales Week 1, December 31 - January 6, 2019.

Anyone who was saying sony needed to cut the price of the console in order to sell exactly like during the promotion period wasn't looking at the whole picture here.
During the promotion period = $50 price cut + 2 free games(including recent titles like Spiderman and GOW) = more than $100.

I don't think Sony is stupid enough to cut the price nearly over $100 in order to maintain the momentum in 2019. $50 permanent price cut is possible in 2018 but it's hardly going to replicate the same number of what current deal able to pull off without 2 free games.

 

zorg1000 said: 
LGBTDBZBBQ said: 
Switch is going to destroy everything this year if Pokemon mainline game doesn't look like an ass like Pokemon Let's Go.

10-11m LTD in 2019 and closer to 20m at the final LTD

10-11m end of 2019 isnt very ambitious, all that requires is 2017/2018 level sales.

2017, 3.3m

2018, 3.5m/6.8m

2019, 3.2-4.2m/10-11m

I'm not saying that's wrong but "destroy everything" to me sounds like sales will explode, not slight decline-moderate increase.

Well,  selling nearly 2-3m more than your nearest competition console combined with all platforms together is still fit in the definition of destroying everything. 

Last edited by LGBTDBZBBQ - on 10 January 2019

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colafitte said:
Switch is going to be closer to 2017 and 2018 than exploding to DS levels. I expect 3'5-4'0M again this year. Software though, it will go trough the roof for Switch exclusives.

I would be surprised to see any decline but I'm definitely not expecting it to nearly double last year. I'm going with 4-4.5 million



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

colafitte said:
Switch is going to be closer to 2017 and 2018 than exploding to DS levels. I expect 3'5-4'0M again this year. Software though, it will go trough the roof for Switch exclusives.

It's too early to make predictions for Switch hardware in Japan without knowing what the rumored 2019 revision will be and how much of a price-cut it will get.  If things stay the same price-wise, then I think your 4m prediction is logical based on the software that's going to come out but if Nintendo is able to get the price of the Switch close to the high-end 'impulse buy' territory of $199.99 then sales expectations for the year will be significantly higher.



Mnementh said:

The percentages for the changes in sales seem wrong. Smash is noted as down, but had 253K here. DQ Builders 2 is noted as +30%, but was at 80K. Are - and + switched?

I copied paste this one from era. I will use the translated game as future reference for my plan to create new format on the following weeks for the weekly thread. 

And as other have said aswell. 

Last edited by NoCtiS_NoX - on 10 January 2019

wombat123 said:
colafitte said:
Switch is going to be closer to 2017 and 2018 than exploding to DS levels. I expect 3'5-4'0M again this year. Software though, it will go trough the roof for Switch exclusives.

It's too early to make predictions for Switch hardware in Japan without knowing what the rumored 2019 revision will be and how much of a price-cut it will get.  If things stay the same price-wise, then I think your 4m prediction is logical based on the software that's going to come out but if Nintendo is able to get the price of the Switch close to the high-end 'impulse buy' territory of $199.99 then sales expectations for the year will be significantly higher.

Yeah, my prediction is based on Switch not having any price cut, because like i said multiple times, I think Nintendo is going for the pure profit. If of couse, Switch is going to be $200....buff, we will see historical sales in Japan, but do you really think it will happen?



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No stopping Smash atm in Japan. Great PS4 numbers,even better Switch sales. Good stuff.

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colafitte said:
wombat123 said:

It's too early to make predictions for Switch hardware in Japan without knowing what the rumored 2019 revision will be and how much of a price-cut it will get.  If things stay the same price-wise, then I think your 4m prediction is logical based on the software that's going to come out but if Nintendo is able to get the price of the Switch close to the high-end 'impulse buy' territory of $199.99 then sales expectations for the year will be significantly higher.

Yeah, my prediction is based on Switch not having any price cut, because like i said multiple times, I think Nintendo is going for the pure profit. If of couse, Switch is going to be $200....buff, we will see historical sales in Japan, but do you really think it will happen?

They will eventually try to reach that sub-$200 price point but I dont expect it this year. If they do reduce the price this year, I would expect $249.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
colafitte said:

Yeah, my prediction is based on Switch not having any price cut, because like i said multiple times, I think Nintendo is going for the pure profit. If of couse, Switch is going to be $200....buff, we will see historical sales in Japan, but do you really think it will happen?

They will eventually try to reach that sub-$200 price point but I dont expect it this year. If they do reduce the price this year, I would expect $249.

Mmmm, if the low the price to $249 this year....mmmm, 4M+ is a lock i guess. But still i think lowing the price is a sign of "weakness" and Switch is not weak at all in Japan. I really think Nintendo is going to try reach 4M for $300 all year.



 

colafitte said:
zorg1000 said:

They will eventually try to reach that sub-$200 price point but I dont expect it this year. If they do reduce the price this year, I would expect $249.

Mmmm, if the low the price to $249 this year....mmmm, 4M+ is a lock i guess. But still i think lowing the price is a sign of "weakness" and Switch is not weak at all in Japan. I really think Nintendo is going to try reach 4M for $300 all year.

I can’t imagine Nintendo trying to sell Animal crossing and Pokémon at $300 entry point, especially now with the games at $60. Bold move on their part if they do 



MasonADC said:

 

colafitte said:

Mmmm, if the low the price to $249 this year....mmmm, 4M+ is a lock i guess. But still i think lowing the price is a sign of "weakness" and Switch is not weak at all in Japan. I really think Nintendo is going to try reach 4M for $300 all year.

I can’t imagine Nintendo trying to sell Animal crossing and Pokémon at $300 entry point, especially now with the games at $60. Bold move on their part if they do 

I really think Switch is capable to do it, even if they come short, selling 3'6, 3'7 or 3'8M at full price will be more succesful that selling half the year at $250 and selling 4-4'5M i think. And Nintendo is full confident right now on Switch success.