Rumor has it that The Last of Us: Part 2 is releasing in 2019. I think it may release in the fall- around September- about 6 months after Days Gone’s release to give that game some breathing room. If Sony bundles TLOU2 for Black Friday and the holidays at that $199 price point - it’s going to move a ton of consoles!
It will certainly be a solid mover during the holidays but sales will diminish being the 3rd year of $199 bundles.
2016 saw PS4 sell 6.2 million in the holiday season
2017 saw PS4 sell 5.9 million in the holiday season
2018 saw PS4 sell 5.6 million in the holiday season
Holiday sales have decreased from 2016-2018 despite having better deals, which isnt a bad thing, its completely expected out of a console to decline in the 5th & 6th holiday seasons and I'm expecting that trend to continue regardless of how good the bundles/price cuts are this year.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.