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Japan Sales Week 51 Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - December 17-23, 2018

Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan Sales Week 51 Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - December 17-23, 2018

I don't know how anyone can be disappointed with these numbers. They are highly impressive for the Japanese Market and Nintendo is slaughtering the competition.



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PS4 is doing pretty good for itself.



drinkandswim said:
I don't know how anyone can be disappointed with these numbers. They are highly impressive for the Japanese Market and Nintendo is slaughtering the competition.

Its disappointing because historically week 51 has decent growth over week 50 whereas this year it is flat.



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zorg1000 said:
drinkandswim said:
I don't know how anyone can be disappointed with these numbers. They are highly impressive for the Japanese Market and Nintendo is slaughtering the competition.

Its disappointing because historically week 51 has decent growth over week 50 whereas this year it is flat.

It is still a fine week. Also I need switch to do 200,000 to be close to my prediction of 1.05 million I might be off by 25,000, but next week should see possible steep declines. 


(Oh wait the prediction was based on VGC numbers for December and December was 5 weeks on VGC. so it will most likely beat my prediction easily by 100,000.)

Last edited by Acevil - on 26 December 2018

 

zorg1000 said:
drinkandswim said:
I don't know how anyone can be disappointed with these numbers. They are highly impressive for the Japanese Market and Nintendo is slaughtering the competition.

Its disappointing because historically week 51 has decent growth over week 50 whereas this year it is flat.

I think we should look at it in a different way. The Switch has done consistent numbers for about 3 weeks now. It is one single plateau that could be considered a peak spread out over those weeks instead of one big peak at week 51. All in all, the sales are still better than last year.



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Mordred11 said:
PS4 is doing pretty good for itself.

So true, it is holding on quite nicely, actually up YOY for the Week. Overall, it is pretty close to flat YOY in total. 

It will be very interesting to see how things go in January with KH3. 

 

I still say Sony absolutely has to set themselves up to offer a Mobile PlayStation sometime in the future, if they want to stay competitive in Japan long term. A 7nm Ryzen/Navi Mobile PlayStation 5 Tablet would be very possible at launch, and then a 3nm PlayStation 5 Phone in 2023 on a 3nm Ryzen/Navi Mobile revision would give PS5 a huge shot in the arm in Japan at the mid cycle refresh. Hopefully Kenichiro Yoshida and John Kodera have good long term business sense. They will be facing competition in Microsoft, Nintendo, and even Apple and Google, who will be offering games on a much wider range of form factors than just a dedicated home based console. Offering more options, and allowing people to game the way that suits their lifestyle will be key to maintaining and possibly growing the success that they have seen with PS4.



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Thought hardware would be at least 350K...



Acevil said:
zorg1000 said:

Its disappointing because historically week 51 has decent growth over week 50 whereas this year it is flat.

It is still a fine week. Also I need switch to do 200,000 to be close to my prediction of 1.05 million I might be off by 25,000, but next week should see possible steep declines. 

Ya ~280k is a great week regardless, just less than expected



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
drinkandswim said:
I don't know how anyone can be disappointed with these numbers. They are highly impressive for the Japanese Market and Nintendo is slaughtering the competition.

Its disappointing because historically week 51 has decent growth over week 50 whereas this year it is flat.

Yeah Switch numbers were already elevated for two previous weeks due to Smash. Its still selling 3 times it's Weekly average.



OTBWY said:


Some more information regarding totals. The Switch is within less than a million away from the PS4s total. 

System This Week Last Week Last Year YTD Last YTD LTD
NSW 278.701 281.213 269.684 3.359.395 3.178.100 6.672.014
PS4# 75.793 81.594 67.257 1.653.601 1.742.105 7.546.004
3DS# 26.936 20.037 80.637 522.211 1.625.220 24.344.990
PSV# 3.939 2.647 14.041 174.154 336.843 5.962.034
XB1# 377 1.051 719 15.929 12.494 104.365

Switch is just below 59% market share for the year. Currently YTD for all consoles combined is 5.723m, so if the total ended up at 6m, Switch would have to account for 3.6m in order to reach 60%; that's not realistic, because Switch would have to sell 240k in the final week while all other consoles combine for only 37k. In order to cross 59% at a total of 6m, Switch would have to sell 180k while the rest combines for 97k; that's realistic, because it results in weekly market share of 65% for Switch, a figure that is below recent values.

Or put another way, if Switch's weekly market share next week is 65% or more, its market share for the year will definitely cross 59%. That's 13 percent points higher than in 2017.



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