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Forums - Sales Discussion - Japan Sales Week 50 Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - December 10 -16 2018

Ultimate is coming to smash some inklings! To get that best selling Switch game in Japan.



Pocky Lover Boy! 

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Beast mode activated. 2 weeks around 300k, I don't know how it wouldn't sell at least 1 million per week WW



Predictions (actual)

Week 47-125k (108k)

Week 48-150k (120k)

Week 49-325k (281k)

Week 50-325k (281k)

Week 51-375k

Week 52-200k

Total-1.5m

YTD-3.75m



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Here is the week 50 update in terms of the two big consoles in Japan's path to be able to reach the commonly stated (in these sales threads) estimates for 2018 sales (2 mil for PS4, 4 mil for Switch) .

  TWS GD YTD % Goal AWN (Change)
PS4 81,594 -86,334 1,577,808 78.9% (+4.1) 211,096 (+43,168)
Switch 281,213 -118,960 3,080,694 77.0% (+7.0) 459,653 (+59,480)

TWS - This week's sales
GD - Goal differential, the difference between the average week needed from last week compared to this week's sales
YTD - Units sold in 2018 so far including this week's sales
AWN - Average weekly sales needed to reach the estimate for the console.

Switch continues amazing sales by staying flat the week after Smash. PS4 with a slight rise. Switch is now over 3 million and PS4 is now over 1.5 million. In terms of percentages the Switch is now less than 2% away from overtaking the PS4 which should easily happen in next week's numbers. For my predictions I expected a soft decline after Smash but was off once more and the PS4 has already far surpassed what I thought it would do before the big promotion was announced..

Personal Estimates


NS: 120k, 145k, 240k, 200k, 295k, 250k = 1.25m would end just above 3.5 mil for the calendar year.

PS4: 20k, 25k, 30k, 25k, 40k, 30k = 170k would end up just above 1.5 mil for the calendar year.

I expected a large rise after this week for the Switch, and I still do. Week 51 should be massive.



RolStoppable said:
Switch now at 3.08m for the year, so exceeding 3.5m is certainly doable. Only minor year over year growth, but that makes it easier for year 3 to beat year 2.

Next week Switch will pass the PS4 Amateur in LTD sales.

That should be a lock. last year had 404k over the last two weeks. Switch aint having a worse 2 week period to end the year than it did last year.



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Hiku said:
I wonder if 148k is acceptable for Judge Eyes?
It's a new IP, but uses the Yakuza engine and even much of the same assets (the city).

It's 20k higher than the Fist of the North Star initial week, so I'd say it's a solid initial week sales.



Hiku said:
I wonder if 148k is acceptable for Judge Eyes?
It's a new IP, but uses the Yakuza engine and even much of the same assets (the city).

It is solid, if the west has correlated effect of also doing well (also legs?). If this title final total is too heavy on Japan (assuming it settles at 200,000), I imagine they would be disappointed, namely since remaking Yakuza has been more beneficial to them overall. 



 

Jranation said:
Ultimate is coming to smash some inklings! To get that best selling Switch game in Japan.

Splat2 is 3.08mil (ship+digital). Smash wont pass it, splat2 should add another 200k+ or more for the quarter



tbone51 said:
Jranation said:
Ultimate is coming to smash some inklings! To get that best selling Switch game in Japan.

Splat2 is 3.08mil (ship+digital). Smash wont pass it, splat2 should add another 200k+ or more for the quarter

How far is it from both DQ games? 



 

Excellent sales for Nintendo. Hopefully next week, Nintendo Switch can pull off 320,000…if not something around 380,000!