I doubt it though.

The baseline has dropped considerably compared to last year, and it's only due to the flurry of great games throughout the year that it sold so well, as each one of them boosted sales enough to get close to last year's sales. But next year the baseline is certainly even lower, and the outlook in terms of great games looks much weaker to me than it did this year. While I'm sure PS4 will come with a pricedrop (50$, I don't expect Sony to permanently cut 100$ just yet) and maybe a superslim (that one really depends on sufficient 7nm yiels and capacities), I don't think that will be enough to keep the sales going that well. It will still do well, but I don't think it can still do 15M+, more like 13-15M

I doubt it though.

The baseline has dropped considerably compared to last year, and it's only due to the flurry of great games throughout the year that it sold so well, as each one of them boosted sales enough to get close to last year's sales. But next year the baseline is certainly even lower, and the outlook in terms of great games looks much weaker to me than it did this year. While I'm sure PS4 will come with a pricedrop (50$, I don't expect Sony to permanently cut 100$ just yet) and maybe a superslim (that one really depends on sufficient 7nm yiels and capacities), I don't think that will be enough to keep the sales going that well. It will still do well, but I don't think it can still do 15M+, more like 13-15M

I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility. Still a few cards that can be played and I won't bet against a machine that continues to defy. Not a guarantee, but not out of the question either.

We'll have to see if Dreams and Days Gone are really the only games that will come out next year or if Death Stranding/Ghost of Tsushima/The Last of Us 2 come out (not all of those, but maybe one or two of them)

We'll have to see if Dreams and Days Gone are really the only games that will come out next year or if Death Stranding/Ghost of Tsushima/The Last of Us 2 come out (not all of those, but maybe one or two of them)

I mean there has to be a reason why sony only does this $199 PS4 thing for one month in the year... it probably means the PS4 still currently cost them a little over $199 to make (maybe $230). 

Reportedly, in 2013 Sony had a $45 profit on each console sold when the PS4 was $399, yet alone comparing to manufacturing costs. That should be some reliable data to be able to find Sony's profit today. 

Source: https://www.eetimes.com/document.asp?doc_id=1320199&image_number=1

I am from Germany, I don't think we've had any price tag just in the near of €199 since 2013. At least to me, Sony is still selling the PS4 at a above average price tag here, between €279 (not for the PRO, though) and €449 for bundles. The PRO, unless discounted, is still being sold between €349 and €399. And that's €.

Sony is probably making the best money right now.

EDIT and sort of correction of myself: Right now the two biggest retailers in Germany are selling the standalone 500GB Slim at €199, the standalone 1TB PRO (no bundle) at €299. But that's got to be the very first time I have ever seen it that low. 

Reportedly, in 2013 Sony had a $45 profit on each console sold when the PS4 was $399, yet alone comparing to manufacturing costs. That should be some reliable data to be able to find Sony's profit today. 

Source: https://www.eetimes.com/document.asp?doc_id=1320199&image_number=1

I am from Germany, I don't think we've had any price tag just in the near of €199 since 2013. At least to me, Sony is still selling the PS4 at a above average price tag here, between €279 (not for the PRO, though) and €449 for bundles. The PRO, unless discounted, is still being sold between €349 and €399. And that's €.

Sony is probably making the best money right now.

EDIT and sort of correction of myself: Right now the two biggest retailers in Germany are selling the standalone 500GB Slim at €199, the standalone 1TB PRO (no bundle) at €299. But that's got to be the very first time I have ever seen it that low.