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November NPD 2018 Thread

Forums - Sales Discussion - November NPD 2018 Thread

I originally thought PS4 would be higher but reports seem to indicate stock wasn't higher than last BF so...

PS4 1650K
NSW 1100K
XB1 1000K



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What do you think about this results ?

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8929210

Last edited by Oneeee-Chan!!! - on 13 December 2018

Oneeee-Chan!!! said:

What do you think about this results ?

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8929210

Should be as inaccurate as October's results for the NPD prediction tool for pretty much the same reasons.



Megiddo said:
MasonADC said:

Truly bold ps4 numbers 

Not sure that a 10% bump is particularly bold, when you have people in this thread going with 100% bumps for other consoles.

Probably do to retailer insights from some insiders on Resetera. Now obviously this isnt set in stone as it's just based on the data they have access to but here is what their data is showing

PS4 & XBO-down slightly YoY

NSW-up alot YoY



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Megiddo said:

Not sure that a 10% bump is particularly bold, when you have people in this thread going with 100% bumps for other consoles.

Probably do to retailer insights from some insiders on Resetera. Now obviously this isnt set in stone as it's just based on the data they have access to but here is what their data is showing

PS4 & XBO-down slightly YoY

NSW-up alot YoY

This is the same insider who said that he wasn't absolutely certain that the PS4 would win November last year, correct?

And people still put any sort of weight on what he says?

Here's what we actually know.

1)Amazon on Sunday took 3 times longer to sell out of Spider-Man bundles this year than it took for them to sell out of the PS4 slim last year.

2)Unlike last year Sony wasn't only relying on one SKU on sale. It also had the RDR 2 Pro bundle and the CoD BLOPS 4 slim bundle.

3)The Brickseek inventory results for Thanksgiving/Black Friday were hilariously tilted in Sony's favor, outnumbering Switch consoles 5:1 to 10:1 depending on location.

4)This year includes Cyber Monday which just means more sales altogether.

I look at the data above and the absolutely miserable history of the insider when it comes to November NPD and I think it's far, far, far, far more "bold" to think that PS4 is going to drop 25% YoY (as a lot of predictions in this thread have it) compared to being up 10%.



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PS4 - 1500K
Switch - 1450K
XB1 - 1350K



Megiddo said:
zorg1000 said:

Probably do to retailer insights from some insiders on Resetera. Now obviously this isnt set in stone as it's just based on the data they have access to but here is what their data is showing

PS4 & XBO-down slightly YoY

NSW-up alot YoY

This is the same insider who said that he wasn't absolutely certain that the PS4 would win November last year, correct?

And people still put any sort of weight on what he says?

Here's what we actually know.

1)Amazon on Sunday took 3 times longer to sell out of Spider-Man bundles this year than it took for them to sell out of the PS4 slim last year.

2)Unlike last year Sony wasn't only relying on one SKU on sale. It also had the RDR 2 Pro bundle and the CoD BLOPS 4 slim bundle.

3)The Brickseek inventory results for Thanksgiving/Black Friday were hilariously tilted in Sony's favor, outnumbering Switch consoles 5:1 to 10:1 depending on location.

I look at the data above and the absolutely miserable history of the insider when it comes to November NPD and I think it's far, far, far, far more "bold" to think that PS4 is going to drop 25% YoY (as a lot of predictions in this thread have it) compared to being up 10%.

Your post is coming off a bit hostile, all I did was answer your question.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Megiddo said:

This is the same insider who said that he wasn't absolutely certain that the PS4 would win November last year, correct?

And people still put any sort of weight on what he says?

Here's what we actually know.

1)Amazon on Sunday took 3 times longer to sell out of Spider-Man bundles this year than it took for them to sell out of the PS4 slim last year.

2)Unlike last year Sony wasn't only relying on one SKU on sale. It also had the RDR 2 Pro bundle and the CoD BLOPS 4 slim bundle.

3)The Brickseek inventory results for Thanksgiving/Black Friday were hilariously tilted in Sony's favor, outnumbering Switch consoles 5:1 to 10:1 depending on location.

I look at the data above and the absolutely miserable history of the insider when it comes to November NPD and I think it's far, far, far, far more "bold" to think that PS4 is going to drop 25% YoY (as a lot of predictions in this thread have it) compared to being up 10%.

Your post is coming off a bit hostile, all I did was answer your question.

You said insiders, plural. Are there more people than Benji who are commenting?

Also, potential NPD leak period starts tonight or is it next Thursday?



Megiddo said:
zorg1000 said:

Probably do to retailer insights from some insiders on Resetera. Now obviously this isnt set in stone as it's just based on the data they have access to but here is what their data is showing

PS4 & XBO-down slightly YoY

NSW-up alot YoY

This is the same insider who said that he wasn't absolutely certain that the PS4 would win November last year, correct?

And people still put any sort of weight on what he says?

Here's what we actually know.

1)Amazon on Sunday took 3 times longer to sell out of Spider-Man bundles this year than it took for them to sell out of the PS4 slim last year.

2)Unlike last year Sony wasn't only relying on one SKU on sale. It also had the RDR 2 Pro bundle and the CoD BLOPS 4 slim bundle.

3)The Brickseek inventory results for Thanksgiving/Black Friday were hilariously tilted in Sony's favor, outnumbering Switch consoles 5:1 to 10:1 depending on location.

4)This year includes Cyber Monday which just means more sales altogether.

I look at the data above and the absolutely miserable history of the insider when it comes to November NPD and I think it's far, far, far, far more "bold" to think that PS4 is going to drop 25% YoY (as a lot of predictions in this thread have it) compared to being up 10%.

I agree, still surprised by the number of people who still put stock in Benji.



[PS4] 1650K
[XB1] 990K
[NSW] 1100K