It won't be that bad for X1 simply because its better supported. I think Wii U production really ended in 2016, before Switch even released. It certainly seems that way based on sales.

Also, X1 is actually being supported whether it be by MS or 3rd parties. The subscription services appear to be really good to their revenue as well.

Wii U sold mostly between 30-40k a week. The XBO ain't that much above that anymore, and by next year could very well reach those weekly sales - especially after the successor has been announced.

And yeah, production ended in Fall 2016 for the Wii U.

I think XB1 will sell more, but it will be close. I expect XB1 sales to fall off a lot during the next two years.

It'll be close I think, it may just miss it by a bit or pass it just barely. 

I think it will, but we have to look at then vs now. SNES beat it's main competitor in sales. Meanwhile, XB1 is looking to end the generation in 3rd place. And that's with Switch launching a good three years after XB1.

Xbox is pretty much a regional brand at this point. Sony outsells them five to one in Europe. Japan doesn't buy Xboxes at all.

At the current rate it is selling, it will fall short if the NextBox is announced to be officially releasing next year.

Depends on the month, summer is historically slow. Earlier in the year the X1 was selling 60-100K a week. I have a gut feeling we could see a sales increase during November and December, but that's speculation of course.

So again, it just really depends on what MS does. With good deals and continued support, it will fly past SNES. If MS treats X1 like Wii U, then it won't happen. Its kinda like we're just making guesses on whether or not MS will support the X1.

I used to think the X1 GPU was to weak for continued support in the 9th gen. However, we see Switch owners getting excited about sub-HD games. That tells me X1 can continue support regardless how low the resolutions get.

When gen 9 arrives and people start all of a sudden counting Switch as a gen 9 console, it will fall in 2nd place again.

Keep in mind that the Switch also is portable, so you can't compare that directly without that context. Switch owners are more amazed that you can play those games on the go now, or on a broader context, on a Nintendo platform, period, things that don't apply with the XBO.

And for the deals, Microsoft is doing those almost all the frigging time. They don't show up very much in the weekly sales, but without them, weekly sales would already be dangerously close to Wii U weekly sales. Just check the NPD prediction tool for the last couple months, without any deals, the XBO can't even get close to 200 points daily, while PS4 and especially the Switch stay far above that line at any time. I know that's just the US, but in XBO case, that's already almost 2/3 of the sales, so it's performance there matters a lot.

It will be available for purchase until 2022. Can you see it not selling 7 million in that time? 2.3 million for the remainder of the year... Easy.

2.3 for next year? Easy. It's the year after it may fall below that... Which will probably not matter by that point.