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Predict Switch November NPD

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How much will Switch sell in November NPD?

Less than 800k 0 0.00%
 
800k-900k 1 1.92%
 
900k-1 million 5 9.62%
 
1 million-1.1 million 8 15.38%
 
1.1 million-1.2 million 13 25.00%
 
More than 1.2 million 25 48.08%
 
Total:52
Ever since Nintendo released their PR for Black Friday its cause much controversy among folks here at VGC and other gaming forums. So instead of fighting whether or not the numbers are correct, post what you think it's gonna sell. 

Link to PR: http://fortune.com/2018/11/28/nintendo-switch-sales-thanksgiving/

Last year Switch sold between 770-800k with no Black Friday deals. 


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So was it verified that the Switch sold 770-800k last year?



I'll just stick to my prediction of 1 million -1.1 million.



 

I predicted 1.25m for November and 2m for december. But given that Cyber Monday is actually included in the November NPD this year instead of December, unlike last year, this might put November higher and december a little lower than I predicted.

But whatever I'll stick with 1.25m.



Predictions (Made July 2019)

LTD: PS4 - 130m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 52m       2019 : PS4 - 15m, Switch - 18.8m, XBO - 4.8m        2020: Switch - 22m (Peak Year)


I agree with 1 million to 1.1 million.



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The poll numbers are way too low.

People were saying that Switch sold 800k+ between Thanksgiving and Cyber Monday. Add in a Pokemon launch and you should have options at least going up to 1.5 mil.

Below 800k shouldn't even be an option as it's lower than Nintendo's own press release.

The floor is 900k and that's extremely questionable since there are still 5 days of unaccounted for sales if you do believe the PR.

Last edited by Megiddo - on 30 November 2018

I don't see PR lying about breaking Nintendo's previous record which was 800k.



1.3, just a guess



Megiddo said:

The poll numbers are way too low.

People were saying that Switch sold 800k+ between Thanksgiving and Cyber Monday. Add in a Pokemon launch and you should have options at least going up to 1.5 mil.

Below 800k shouldn't even be an option as it's lower than Nintendo's own press release.

The floor is 900k and that's extremely questionable since there are still 5 days of unaccounted for sales if you do believe the PR.

Doesn't matter what the poll numbers are as all the possible options are covered. Over 1.2M is listed there too. So just make your prediction or cast your vote.

I predicted 1.3M for nov and 1.5M for december.

Seems about right to me now having now seen nintendos PR which is indicating sales of around 800K-900K after cyber monday and still leaving around 1 week of sales. Which also means december sales should be lower considering cyber monday is added to november this year.

So yh, gonna stick with my 1.3M prediction even though now I think it will probably be around 1.2M.



1.4mil



Pocky Lover Boy!