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PR: Nintendo Switch Best Selling week Ever (US) (8.2mil+Sold Switches LTD) [Update: 8.6mil+]

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - PR: Nintendo Switch Best Selling week Ever (US) (8.2mil+Sold Switches LTD) [Update: 8.6mil+]

quickrick said:
Nuvendil said:

Worth noting Nintendo has lowballed in the hundreds of thousands before.  One theory floating is that these numbers are the Black Friday weekend numbers + numbers for the rest of the year.  So the sales they know for sure they have with the rest of November left out.  Which would be strangebut again, Nintendo has done weird PR before.  i mean, if Switch is only at 1 mil for the month, it's not just Benji that got it wrong, Switch being up substantially was called by multiple people.  EVERYONE would have to have been wrong.  

And just to reinforce the oddity, it seems Mochizuki of Wall Street Journal in Japan is declining to translate the 8.2 mil part and report it until he can get clarification so apparently even he's confused.

benji just said no way nintendo would leave numbers out, and you might have a point if nintendo said 8 million, but they said 8.2 million, so it's 50/50.

It is a tossup, yeah, I was just pointing out strange things have happened before.



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Nuvendil said:
quickrick said:

benji just said no way nintendo would leave numbers out, and you might have a point if nintendo said 8 million, but they said 8.2 million, so it's 50/50.

It is a tossup, yeah, I was just pointing out strange things have happened before.

it worth noting that the last article from nintendo/business wire for December LTD  was spot on. 



Miyamotoo said:

Black Friday week sales history

Wii
2006: 476,000 (Launch)
2007: 350,000 / 36%
2008: 800,000 / 39%
2009: 550,000 / 44%
2010: 600,000 / 47%
2011: +500,000 / +58% (500K just on Black Friday, whole week unknown)
2012: 300,000 / 71%

 

Nintendo reported that Switch had best week ever for Nintendo, better than Wii also.

Not the same 5 days, no..., please stop giving bad info. Those numbers are from different days....



Ba-BAM!! :D



Some days I just blow up.

It's amusing being able to tell the people who only read the title/PR spin and the people who are actually trying to understand the data.

If that 8.2 mil LTD US sales is even close to accurate, that's not a great start for the holidays.



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So it's like 900k for november up until now?



quickrick said:
Nuvendil said:

It is a tossup, yeah, I was just pointing out strange things have happened before.

it worth noting that the last article from nintendo/business wire for December LTD  was spot on. 

Well there is a third option that Benji pointed out:  PS4 and Xbone are actually comfortably *down*.  Benji and others like him track through extrapolation based on data they have.  The accuracy is dependent on properly understanding the marketshare they are accounting for in the stores they track.  It's entirely possible that what looked like a very strong year in hardware was actually fairly mediocre overall.   But the people providing estimates underestimated the marketshare they were tracking and thus overestimated the total sales happening across the industry.



Nuvendil said:
quickrick said:

it worth noting that the last article from nintendo/business wire for December LTD  was spot on. 

Well there is a third option that Benji pointed out:  PS4 and Xbone are actually comfortably *down*.  Benji and others like him track through extrapolation based on data they have.  The accuracy is dependent on properly understanding the marketshare they are accounting for in the stores they track.  It's entirely possible that what looked like a very strong year in hardware was actually fairly mediocre overall.   But the people providing estimates underestimated the marketshare they were tracking and thus overestimated the total sales happening across the industry.

I don't believe in benji data honestly, ever since he said switch had a chance to win last november and it got out sold by nearly a million, i'm just not a believer and if these numbers are true, he should stop. 



quickrick said:
Nuvendil said:

Well there is a third option that Benji pointed out:  PS4 and Xbone are actually comfortably *down*.  Benji and others like him track through extrapolation based on data they have.  The accuracy is dependent on properly understanding the marketshare they are accounting for in the stores they track.  It's entirely possible that what looked like a very strong year in hardware was actually fairly mediocre overall.   But the people providing estimates underestimated the marketshare they were tracking and thus overestimated the total sales happening across the industry.

I don't believe in benji data honestly, ever since he said switch had a chance to win last november and it got out sold by nearly a million, i'm just not a believer and if these numbers are true, he should stop. 

All he said this month:

- Switch had a huge boost YoY in regards to BF week (proven true)
- Switch was outselling the PS4 earlier in the month
- PS4 had a huge BF week but at best will be sorta flat for the month or down a bit
- PS4 probably takes the month still but by a narrower margin than last year
- Xbox likely down YoY

All of these can be true, and switch still sell 1-1.2 million. 



 

Switch selling about as expected, should be pretty close to my prediction. Switch will have to rely heavily on December.