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Forums - Sales Discussion - Year end NPD predictions

I expect PS4 to finish little ahead of Switch and both to be healthy ahead of X1.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

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Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

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Intrinsic said:
Miyamotoo said:

With new informations from Resetera, saying that PS4 will probably do similar numbers like last year, I changed my predictions:

Nov
PS4- 1.6 million
NSW- 1.25 million
XBO- 1.05 million

Dec
PS4- 1.15 million
NSW- 2 million
XBO- 1.05 million

YTD
PS4- 5.75 million
NSW- 5.75 million
XBO- 4.2 million

I feel the PS4 will be up this year for November and december. But not as much as it could have been if there as more of that spiderman bundle. So i have it for around 1.8M in nov, Up YOY but only by around 13%. 

Which may seem bad when compared the the switch that may be up by as much as 50% in nov taking it to around 1.3M.

I believe that even though stock of the $199 PS4 was limited, there are a lot of other games this year that would push for all round better sales that were not there last year. RDR2, Spiderman, GOW, CODBO4 will al have sight tack on effects on sales.

We will see, Benji said that PS4 and Switch in November will be much closer than people think.



Acevil said:

November:

PS4 - 1.6-1.8 million
Switch - 1 million - 1.1 Million
XBO - 1million - 1.2 million

December

PS4 - 1.4 million
Switch - 1.8 million - 2 million
XBO - 1 million

He asked for a prediction not a range 



Kerotan said:
Acevil said:

November:

PS4 - 1.6-1.8 million
Switch - 1 million - 1.1 Million
XBO - 1million - 1.2 million

December

PS4 - 1.4 million
Switch - 1.8 million - 2 million
XBO - 1 million

He asked for a prediction not a range 

Hes predicting it will fall in that range



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Kerotan said:

He asked for a prediction not a range 

Hes predicting it will fall in that range

When does the predictions or predictions of range close? What's the latest you can submit.. 



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Kerotan said:
zorg1000 said:

Hes predicting it will fall in that range

When does the predictions or predictions of range close? What's the latest you can submit.. 

I was told it would be 2 mins right before whenever you put yours up.

Yup, you're that kinda lucky. 



Kerotan said:
zorg1000 said:

Hes predicting it will fall in that range

When does the predictions or predictions of range close? What's the latest you can submit.. 

What Intrinsic said



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Nov
PS4-1.6 million
NSW-1.4 million
XBO-1.2 million

Dec
PS4-1.1 million
NSW-2.2 million
XBO-1.2 million



quickrick said:


Nov
PS4-2.0 million
NSW-1.1million
XBO-1 million

Dec
PS4-1.3 million
NSW-1.5 million
XBO-1.0 million

changing my prediction

Nov
PS4-1.7 million
NSW- 950k
XBO-900k

Dec
PS4-1.3 million depending on deals
NSW-1.4 million
XBO-1.0 million



November.

PS4 > NS > XB

December.

NS > PS4 > XB