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ULTIMATE BOLD Prediction [2018] Super Smash Bros Will Sell 15mil WW... In under a MONTH!

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - ULTIMATE BOLD Prediction [2018] Super Smash Bros Will Sell 15mil WW... In under a MONTH!

tbone51 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:
tbone51 finally made a prediction that is too bold even for me. If he said 10m, then I would totally be all in. But 15m? I fold. Too rich for my blood.

The thing is 10mil is too easy. We all know the floor is 9mil like worse case scenario and 10mil-12mil os most likely where its gonna be. 15mil is pushing it especially because its literally under a month as well as itll mean ssbu will outsell the best smash bros game in a timeframe thats crazy AF lmao.

 

Believe in me that believes in you that believes in my BOLD predictions. If not grab a seat at the Crow Feast Table. 

Well, I'm just doing some rough estimates here.  The front page of VGC has the install base of Switch at about 22m.  Add about 10m more after the holidays and you've got roughly 32m.  When you say that 15m people are going to buy Smash you are saying that almost 50% of Switch owners want Smash.  No way I can believe that.  Smash is big but not that big.

If you were saying that about 50% of Switch owners want Mario Kart, then I might, MIGHT, believe that.  But Smash is not Mario Kart.  I can even believe 25m lifetime, because I think Switch is going to have a huge install base (and I think Mario Kart will be like 40m - 50m lifetime).  But 15m in one month with around a 30m-ish install base?  Nope, I just can't buy that.


EDIT:  Just want to say I really love this sentence, "Believe in me that believes in you that believes in my BOLD predictions."  That's great!  You could be a motivational speaker.

Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - on 25 November 2018

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I've changed my mind 7.5m is probably the lowest I think is feasible now. Changing my prediction to 9m.

Proud owner of a PS4 Pro, Nintendo Switch, Xbo S and a dated gaming pc.

This would truly be the Ultimate prediction 

Last edited by MasonADC - on 25 November 2018

Barkley said:
I've changed my mind 7.5m is probably the lowest I think is feasible now. Changing my prediction to 9m.

Edit: you already did it lol. My bad

MasonADC said:
I see Europe being higher than I thought so I change my prediction to 9.5 million

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237459&page=1

 

Predict here to change it



tbone51 said:
Barkley said:
I've changed my mind 7.5m is probably the lowest I think is feasible now. Changing my prediction to 9m.

Edit: you already did it lol. My bad

MasonADC said:
I see Europe being higher than I thought so I change my prediction to 9.5 million

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237459&page=1

 

Predict here to change it

I clicked on the wrong thread lol thanks 



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wombat123 said:
I'd only say 15m shipped is possible if Smash Ultimate gets the #1 spot in the U.S. Amazon yearly chart for video games (it's at #5 right now).

Its number 2 now!



Very unrealistic prediction, 15M ain't happening in 24 days with that install base.

10M very likely.

tbone51 said:
wombat123 said:
I'd only say 15m shipped is possible if Smash Ultimate gets the #1 spot in the U.S. Amazon yearly chart for video games (it's at #5 right now).

Its number 2 now!

Wow number 1 right before the ge released LMFAO



tbone51 said:
wombat123 said:
I'd only say 15m shipped is possible if Smash Ultimate gets the #1 spot in the U.S. Amazon yearly chart for video games (it's at #5 right now).

Its number 2 now!

I finally stick with a prediction and then it goes to #1 like, an hour afterwards.



It's a BOLD tbone prediction, I'd be a fool not to believe it could happen

quickrick said: 

ps4 will beat switch by around 100k March npd or slightly less.

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454

List as Google Doc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing