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ULTIMATE BOLD Prediction [2018] Super Smash Bros Will Sell 15mil WW... In under a MONTH!

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - ULTIMATE BOLD Prediction [2018] Super Smash Bros Will Sell 15mil WW... In under a MONTH!

It's possible, but I'm more inclined to believe in 12m shipped in December.

Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

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So with PLG moving 3m in 3 days (another game that exceeded what people thought it would move) one wonders what Smash will move next week.

Wyrdness said:
So with PLG moving 3m in 3 days (another game that exceeded what people thought it would move) one wonders what Smash will move next week.

Pokemon FW sales known

660k japan 

130k UK

64k Spain

3mil WW

 

Smash will do 1mil in japan and im guessing UK at least 150k and spain 65k at least too. The US will make a heavy difference. Sell through will easily be over 4mil. 5mil is safe bet. 6-7mil sell through FW (im going with 10mil ship+ day1)



At this point I wouldn't bet against this.

Smash Bros Brawl sold 13 millions lifetime on Wii. Smash Bros Wii U/3DS sold a combined of 14.5 millions.

What make you think that Smash Bros Switch is going to obliterate these score in less than a month and is going to outsell ,Odyssey, Zelda and MK8?

8-9 millions would already be a big achievement.

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Lucas-Rio said:
Smash Bros Brawl sold 13 millions lifetime on Wii. Smash Bros Wii U/3DS sold a combined of 14.5 millions.

What make you think that Smash Bros Switch is going to obliterate these score in less than a month and is going to outsell ,Odyssey, Zelda and MK8?

8-9 millions would already be a big achievement.

Because thats not BOLD. 15mil is and itll happen :P



Theres bold predictions then theres idiotic brain dead predictions. Smash wont even move 7 mil for the month. Smash as a franchise just isnt up there with the likes of Pokemon, Mario Kart, Zelda, and 3D Mario. Smash simply wont move that many units. 5 mil for the month is believable especially for a console with just 22 mil in the wild.

ratolmc said:
Theres bold predictions then theres idiotic brain dead predictions. Smash wont even move 7 mil for the month. Smash as a franchise just isnt up there with the likes of Pokemon, Mario Kart, Zelda, and 3D Mario. Smash simply wont move that many units. 5 mil for the month is believable especially for a console with just 22 mil in the wild.

Every smash except the original has outsold the Zelda games on that console. 



ratolmc said:
Theres bold predictions then theres idiotic brain dead predictions. Smash wont even move 7 mil for the month. Smash as a franchise just isnt up there with the likes of Pokemon, Mario Kart, Zelda, and 3D Mario. Smash simply wont move that many units. 5 mil for the month is believable especially for a console with just 22 mil in the wild.

Want to make a bet that it will past 7 million for the month?



ratolmc said:
Theres bold predictions then theres idiotic brain dead predictions. Smash wont even move 7 mil for the month. Smash as a franchise just isnt up there with the likes of Pokemon, Mario Kart, Zelda, and 3D Mario. Smash simply wont move that many units. 5 mil for the month is believable especially for a console with just 22 mil in the wild.

I'm willing to give you Pokemon and Mario Kart, but Zelda and 3D Mario is just false.

Before Breath of the Wild, Zelda was the weakest franchise, in terms or sales, out of Nintendo's biggest, A-tier, 1st party offerings. It never had an entry that even passed 9 million in sales. Smash Bros. already had 2 of them, Brawl and 3DS. Smash 3DS far outsold every other Zelda game on the system and Brawl outsold Twilight Princess and Skyward Sword combined. For the longest time, in terms of sales, Zelda noticeably lagged behind Nintendo's other major franchises, including Smash Bros. Because franchises like Mario Kart, Smash Bros. Pokemon, and 3D Mario had widespread, mainstream appeal, whereas Zelda appealed more towards the dedicated gaming crowd. It's the more "hardcore" Nintendo franchise so to speak. It wasn't until Breath of the Wild where the series was able to break out of its shell and ascend to the levels it is reaching now. Levels that Smash Bros. have been at for over decade. 

As for 3D Mario, that series and Smash have had a constant back and forth.

N64: Mario 64 > Smash 64
GCN: Melee > Sunshine
Wii: Brawl > Galaxy 1 > Galaxy 2
3DS: 3D Land > Smash 3DS
WiiU: 3D World > Smash Wii U

Throughout Smash Bros. history, the series has constantly been neck and neck, back and forth with 3D Mario and far above 3D Zelda, pre-Breath of the Wild. 



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